Beyond the Hashes: Cal

By Chad Peltier on September 15, 2013 at 12:30p
18 Comments
Hard to complain about a 3/149 stat line

Just two years removed from Bauserball, 24.5 points per game and 5.12 yards per play, the Buckeyes are winning thanks to an explosive offense that plugs and plays, no matter who is in at the skill positions.

It was the confluence of Guiton and the Herman/Meyer system that just produced the sixth-most prodigious outing in Buckeye quarterback history: 368 total yards (276 passing and 92 on the ground), with a 66% completion rate, and absolutely perfect timing on the option all night.

And it wasn't just Guiton, but Hall, Devin Smith, and Dontre all turned heads tonight on offense, breaking a serious number of explosive plays against a Cal defense that never really considered trying to stop the Buckeyes last night. 

  Yards/Play Yards/Points Points/Play
Offense vs. Cal 6.98 11.7 .59

The offense had a prolific performance against Cal and Kenny G deserves praise as the fearless field general, but the numbers indicate that it was a little more inefficient than it looked on the surface. The Buckeyes' 6.98 yards per play was better than the 6.4 against SDSU, but both points-based metrics were slightly worse. That indicates that the Buckeyes could rack up the yardage, but not necessarily the points – the opposite of last season

  Yards/Play Yards/Points Points/Play
Defense Vs. Cal 5.59 14.8 .37

It's actually a little difficult to try and put the defense's performance in to perspective. On the one hand, the Buckeyes held Sonny Dyke's squad to just .37 points per play, which is about half a point per play more than last season's average. On the other hand, their 5.59 yards per play is a yard and a half more than the Buckeyes gave up to SDSU and a half yard more than last year. 

Qualitatively, the Buckeyes still struggled with the same screens and quick slants that they have for a few years (but, to be fair, even the best defenses struggle with this stuff). 

So is This a Championship-Caliber Defense?

That leads me to a question several posed in the forums following the game last night – despite getting gashed by a true freshman quarterback for 371 passing yards, is this defense championship material? Can the offense carry the load against a team like Bama, Oregon, or Clemson? 

Cam Newton's 2010 Auburn team provides a fairly decent blueprint: good, but not stellar defense, plus an overwhelming number of points. Auburn held opponents to 5.36 yards per play and .35 points per play. That means that Auburn averaged roughly the same numbers as Ohio State against Cal – likely the best offense the team faces all season.  

Against Cal, the defense gave up 3.6 yards per rush and seven yards per pass. These aren't world-beating numbers, but they're something to build off of. I don't think this unit is championship-caliber yet, but we'd probably be singing a different tune if not for a few explosive plays and poor excuses for tackling.

I was very encouraged by the play of a couple of guys in particular. Noah Spence keeps (somewhat quietly, actually) racking up sacks, Bennett is consistently disruptive inside, Bosa is playing lights-out for a freshman, Christian Bryant was perhaps the best defensive back on the field, and Shazier deserved his "damn" nickname based on team-leading tackles, a forced fumble, and a sack.  

EXPLOSIONS IN THE SKY

That was a very exciting game to watch, mostly due to the number of explosive plays on both sides of the ball. The Buckeyes had nine of them, including three in the first two drives. We finally saw Dontre's pretty insane ability to get the edge and make defenders' angles look silly. That's 59 yards rushing on five carries and 48 yards receiving on three carries, or 13.4 yards per touch. 

Of course, the defense also gave up four explosive plays, but it definitely seemed like more watching it live. Some of this can be explained by field position. Half of the Bears' scoring drives began at their 40 yard line or better, giving that explosive offense a short field to work with. 

Regardless, it's great to win the explosive play ratio 9:4 – it's difficult to lose when you double the other team in this category. 

(There'S Not A) Quarterback Controversy?

Vrabel still got some upsDespite giving up 34, the defense had some to celebrate

Kenny G really played his heart out against Cal, throwing some excellent balls and being the nation's best at running the speed option. We've discussed this previously, but Guiton probably was forced to be an excellent decision maker in this offense because he lacks Braxton's insane physical abilities. 

All of this led Twitter to wonder how many schools across the Big Ten Guiton would start for (like eight or nine). 

However, that doesn't mean there's any real quarterback controversy at Ohio State. Let's compare their two starts this season: 

  Comp % Yards AVG TD INT QBR
Braxton v. Buffalo 15/22 178 8.1 2 1 71.1
Kenny V. Cal 21/32 276 8.6 4 0 85.5

It's clear that the coaches really trust Kenny in the passing game with his 32 passing attempts, but I don't think it's necessarily more than they trust Braxton. One thing I noticed when reviewing last season's stats is just how different the distribution of carries and receptions and overall gameplanning was in the first game compared with the rest of the season. Honestly, we're comparing just two performances against inferior opponents, where the Buckeyes noticeably eased off the gas in the second half against Buffalo (and SDSU). 

I'm not sure if Braxton's Heisman chances are diminished after missing two games, but he's still going to put up some crazy numbers for the rest of the season – and we know the offense will be in great hands whenever he's on the sidelines. 

Note Time

  • Hall was crazy efficient with his 30 carries, with a 73% running back success rate. Dontre was at 80% on five carries. Unfortunately for Rod Smith's future workload, he came in at 33% on three carries. Is anyone else still surprised Dunn has yet to enter a game? 
  • Ohio State had seven penalties for 56 yards. Only two of those penalties were inconsequential, with the other five either ending in points for Cal or a punt for the Buckeyes. 
  • The Buckeyes ran an absurd 87 plays in 33:55, which is a play every 23.4 seconds – even faster than last week. 
  • The Buckeyes forced three three-and-outs and gave up just one of their own. A 3:1 three-and-out ratio is a sure recipe for success. 
  • Northwestern, who beat Cal 44-30, averaged .63 points per play and allowed .3 points per play on defense. Both were slightly better than the Buckeyes, though Northwestern also received three Goff interceptions. 
18 Comments

Comments

toledobuckeyefanjim's picture

Don't dump on the defense. There aren't going to be too many defenses that can stop the Cal hurry-up-and-throw offense. Cal will score a lot of points on everyone they play, even Oregon in two weeks. The second half was much better. I'm sure the coaches got together to make adjustments, and, for the most part, the defense was better in the second half than in the first.
But I'm still troubled by some of the tackling. You have to wrap up the ball carrier, not bounce into or off of him to stop him. Some of those hits reminded me of last year's tackling.
 
 

tressel12's picture

Great read as usual. I loved it when they showed a replay of UFM mouthing the words "Faster, Faster." This offense is certainly fun to watch!

Because I couldn't go for three. -- Woody Hayes

Idaho Helga's picture

How many B1G schools would start Guiton?
Michigan
Michigan
Michigan
Michigan
Michigan State
Michigan
Nebraska
And all the ones that start with an "I"

GV9's picture

Maybe this article should've been titled... 
"Cal: Beyond the Hashish."  
But all kidding aside, that was one hell of an entertaining game to watch.  

otrain2416's picture

I'm not surprised Dunn hasn't entered the game yet after Meyers comment last week. His offense is very complicated from a RBs standpoint with all the motion, reads, blocking they have to do. Meyer sees a future with Dunn and it would be a waste of eligability this year if he doesn't know the offense yet like Meyer indicated, especially when Hyde, Hall, Smith, and to some what of an extent Wilson are all ahead of him on the depth chart. If he's smart he'll do what Tyvis Powell did last year: Redshirt get bigger, stronger, faster, learn the playbook, and come out guns blazing to compete for the starting RB job in 2014

TheBadOwl's picture

Yup. Powell is an obvious example, but guys like Dodson and Elfein are on the two-deep now after redshirting. And Warren Ball has now overtaken Dunn after redshirting.

When I walked in this morning and saw the flag was at half mast I thought, "Alright, another bureaucrat ate it." but then I saw it was Li'l Sebastian. Half mast is too high. Show some damn respect.

Buckeyejason's picture

Keep Guiton in the rest of the year. He's too good to put back on the sidelines at this point.

BUCKEYES BABY!

Buckeyejason's picture

Ehh nothing...Guiton's a better QB at this point in time.

BUCKEYES BABY!

otrain2416's picture

When Braxton is injured yes when he's healthy no. Your talking about a guy who lit up Cals defense that gave up 553 yards (308 passing which is more than Guiton threw) the previous week to Portland state. As good as Guiton played you forget he mishandled a few snaps, fumbled a handoff, and even had a false start against him which could cost us in a close game. Also his big run on 4th and 1 where he gets tackled short of the goal line a healthy Braxton takes that one to the house. Guiton is a great QB (I will not take that away from him) and would start at probably 75-80% of FBS schools right now, unfortunately for him Braxton Miller is in front of him and OSU isn't one of them.

MassiveAttack's picture

I'm not disagreeing with you straight out, but Braxton has only played 1 game this year.  Kenny has played 2.  Additionally, how can you sit your QB who finished 5th in Heisman voting last year?  I think its reasonable to consider some type of platoon system.  I'm not looking at Northwestern as a blueprint, but they have successfully used two quarterbacks for several years.

otrain2416's picture

Yeah that's definitely an interesting point i never considered about the PT thus far, but its still early. I'm curious how would you run a dual QB system with our offense? I feel like the only way to run a 2 Qb system with our guys is basically start Guiton and use Braxton like Denard was last year at scUM, although I don't think he has the durability to be a pure runner carrying the ball a lot. Two things that detour me from doing that is I can't really think of a 2 Qb system off the top of my head that has won a championship and I think there says a lot about a Qb getting in a rhythm throwing the ball with his WR so I don't think rotating them would be beneficial.  From what I saw the first game and the first series of the 2nd game Braxton looks like a whole different passer which is why I still think he should be the starter. The one play that sticks out in my mind is the 2nd game right before he got hurt where he stepped up in the pocket as it was collapsing and put one right on the money through a tiny hole in the defensive coverage the defense to our TE. That confidence and accuracy is a complete 180 from where he was last year. If Braxtons passing game was comparable to last year I would definitely be on the Guiton bandwagon but I think he's made some big strides.

NorthernOhioBuckeye's picture

I can't really think of a 2 Qb system off the top of my head that has won a championship

 

2006 Florida Gators

otrain2416's picture

I stand corrected good point

CentralFloridaBuckeye's picture

Imagine this....Kenny G at QB with Braxton at the H back position.  Either could throw.  Plus Braxton has the incredible moves.  I think it would be hard for any D to defend that. 

BuckGuy003's picture

What are we?! Mic*igan!!!?

MassiveAttack's picture

I would love to see some combination of this from time to time, but I would not like to see Braxton removed from the QB position on the roster.  I think that would devastating consequences from a confidence and chemistry standpoint.  IMHO.

pjtobin's picture

This was a awesome game. I hope we get better on both sides of the ball. I think we will. Getting Xbrax and Hyde back will help our o. And little things on d will help tighten it up. 

Bury me in my away jersey, with my buckeye blanket. A diehard who died young. Rip dad.