Run Up the Damn Score: Blowing Out Michigan Pays Dividends for Ohio State

By Ramzy Nasrallah on February 15, 2017 at 1:05 pm
ohio state michigan 2015
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Last November Curtis Samuel galloped into the endzone to clinch the most exciting Ohio State-Michigan game since 2013.

His teammates mobbed him and Ohio Stadium raucously celebrated a classic edition of The Game sealed on its final play. It would be the last touchdown the Buckeyes would score in 2016.

Three years earlier Tyvis Powell broke 100,000 local hearts simultaneously at the goal line. Ohio State covered up the ensuing onside kick and the game was over. His undefeated Buckeyes would advance to the B1G Title Game and Orange Bowl. They lost both.

devin gardner lol
Michigan's heartbreaking losses are apparently contagious.

Samuel and Powell delivered two of the most iconic moments in the rivalry's rich history. Their timeless feats of football heroism saved Ohio from the sum of all fears - a loss to Michigan, and in the most agonizing of circumstances: A 50/50 battle that hinged on a single play at the game's climax. They're frozen in time among the greatest moments in Buckeye football history...as long as you blind yourself to what happened next.

That's because those two Buckeye teams combined to go 0-3 in their respective postseason games. And those losses are not outliers over the past 30 years, either - they're the norm, as there is a mystifying trend between close/bad Michigan games and even worse Decembers and Januarys.

Ohio State has lost to, tied or narrowly defeated Michigan (narrowly = by one score or less) 16 times over the past three decades. It has only won 25% of the time after those games.

MICHIGAN NAILBITERS & LOSSES WILL HAUNT
YEAR THE GAME OUTCOME POSTSEASON RESULTS
2016 W: OSU 30 UM 27 (2OT) L: 31-0 vs. Clemson in Fiesta Bowl
2013 W: OSU 42 UM 41 L(2): B1G CG, Orange Bowl
2011 L: UM 40 OSU 34 L: 24-17 vs. Florida in Taxslayer Bowl
2006 W: OSU 42 UM 39 L: 41-14 vs. Florida in BCS Title
2005 W: OSU 25 UM 21 W: 34-20 vs. Notre Dame in Fiesta Bowl
2002 W: OSU 14 UM 9 W: 31-24 (2OT) vs. Miami in Fiesta Bowl
2001 W: OSU 26 UM 20 L: 31-28 vs. South Carolina in Outback Bowl
2000 L: UM 38 OSU 26 L: 24-7 vs. South Carolina in Outback Bowl
1997 L: UM 20 OSU 14 L: 31-14 vs. Florida State in Sugar Bowl
1996 L: UM 13 OSU 9 W: 20-17 vs. Arizona State in Rose Bowl
1995 L: UM 31 OSU 23 L: 20-14 vs. Tennessee in Citrus Bowl
1993 L: UM 28 OSU 0 W: 28-21 vs. BYU in Holiday Bowl
1992 T: OSU 13 UM 13 L: 21-14 vs. Georgia in Citrus Bowl
1991 L: UM 31 OSU 3 L: 24-17 vs. Syracuse in Hall of Fame Bowl
1990 L: UM 16 OSU 13 L: 23-11 vs. Air Force in Liberty Bowl
1989 L: UM 28 OSU 18 L: 31-14 vs. Auburn in Hall of Fame Bowl
LAST 30 YEARS 16 close wins + losses 4-13 postseason record

For those of you who take offense to combining losses and close wins against Michigan - yeah you're right, they're not even close to being the same thing - the numbers don't improve when you separate them: The Buckeyes are a dismal 2-5 in the postseason following nailbiters and an absolutely dreadful/Purdue-ish 2-8 after losses.

Conversely - and Praise Be to Jim Tressel - Ohio State has beaten Michigan to within an inch of shedding its outdated arrogance nine glorious times (defined as double-digits/commanding victory) over the same span. The postseason results following those blowouts have been remarkably better:

BEATING THE HELL OUT OF MICHIGAN IS GOOD AND IMPORTANT
YEAR BIG WIN OVER MICHIGAN POSTSEASON RESULTS
2015 OSU 42 UM 13 W: 44-28 vs. Notre Dame in Fiesta Bowl
2014 OSU 42 UM 28 W(3): B1G CG, Sugar Bowl, CFP
2010 OSU 37 UM 7 W: 31-26 vs. Arkansas in Sugar Bowl
2009 OSU 21 UM 10 W: 26-17 vs. Oregon in Rose Bowl
2008 OSU 47 UM 7 L: 24-21 vs. Texas in Fiesta Bowl
2007 OSU 14 UM 3 L: 38-24 vs. LSU in BCS CG
2004 OSU 37 UM 21 W: 33-7 vs. Oklahoma State in Alamo Bowl
1998 OSU 31 UM 16 W: 24-14 vs. Texas A&M in Sugar Bowl
1994 OSU 22 UM 6 L: 24-17 vs. Alabama in Citrus Bowl
LAST 30 YEARS Nine comfortable wins 8-3 postseason record

Even if you remove Ohio State's 3-0 run to conclude 2014 (and why in the hell would you ever do that) Buckeyes that have blown out Wolverines still have more postseason wins than the ones who eeked out wins and lost to Michigan, combined.

Among those three losses, Ohio State blew its lead against Alabama with under 5 minutes left. It gave away that Texas game in the closing minutes as well. Dominating Michigan has been the strongest indicator of a strong finish over the past three decades.

Squeaking by has not been kind. Losing has been disastrous; a double-whammy on the season.So simply beating Michigan isn't enough.

A guy named Urban Meyer put it best back in 2012:

When you look at the results, ripping their hearts out in a tenuous, epic battle could be damaging to Ohio State in the postseason - whether it's due to peaking too early or getting dangerously satisfied with the season while it's still in progress.

So Michigan must be dominated on the final Saturday of November. Demoralized. Destroyed. Ground into a fine paste. It's about more than just pride.

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