House Money: From Madison to Athens, Loaded Week Four Slate is Bound to Have Major Playoff Implications

By 11W Staff on September 19, 2019 at 3:05 pm
Georgia's ground game will look to pound the Irish Saturday night in Athens.
Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports
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Last week wasn't a whole lot of fun as it featured zero Top-25 matchups and plenty of meh action across the country. The most important game of the weekend – at least according to everyone who's reading this – ended in victory as Ohio State continues to look like one of the best teams in America. 

Justin Fields, J.K. Dobbins, and the Ohio State defense are all playing at a high level, and the Buckeyes will have another cakewalk this weekend before heading to Lincoln and really kicking off Big Ten play. Ryan Day and his crew were favored by 15 over the Hoosiers last week. David was the lone staff member who had Indiana covering in what turned out to be a 51-10 whooping.

Mike Locksley and the Terps took a big step in the wrong direction against Temple. The previously prolific offense struggled to move the ball and was stuffed at the goal-line multiple times. Maryland was an eight-point road favorite and only Chris correctly sided with the Owls. 

We also took it on the chin from a couple of SEC games. We were mostly liking the Crimson Tide to cover the 26-point spread on the road against South Carolina, but the Gamecocks managed to cover with a 47-23 defeat. Kevin was the lone forecaster who correctly had Kentucky covering (+9) against Florida. The Gators won by eight points in Lexington.

It was really a rough week all around as we went 34-56 overall with Kevin and Chris being the only selectors finishing above the .500 mark. Wertheim, Regimbal, and Chris are at the top of the board for the season thus far. Jones is hoping for better days ahead.

This week is looking so much better as it includes three matchups between Top-25 opponents; each of which may help to shape the eventual conference championship and playoff pictures.

  • Just a reminder that all of our submissions are against the spread rather than a straight pick'em. The lines are from www.sportsbook.ag and are collected on Mondays of each week. There's always a chance that the lines will move in the days leading up to kickoff.
11W Staff Picks: Week Four
  KEVIN CHRIS RAMZY HOPE JONES ELLIS WERTHEIM REGIMBAL VANCE
LAST WEEK: 6-4 6-4 2-8 4-6 4-6 3-7 3-7 4-6 2-8
OVERALL: 14-15 16-13 15-14 13-16 11-18 14-15 17-12 16-13 13-16
ACCURACY: 48% 55% 52% 45% 38% 48% 59% 55% 45%
#10 Utah (-4.5) @ USC UTAH UTAH UTAH UTAH USC UTAH USC UTAH UTAH
Michigan State (-9) @ Northwestern NW MSU NW NW MSU NW NW NW MSU
#9 Florida (-14) vs. Tennessee FLOR TENN FLOR FLOR TENN FLOR TENN FLOR FLOR
#13 Wisconsin (-3) vs. #11 Michigan WISC WISC WISC MICH MICH WISC MICH WISC WISC
Ole Miss (-2.5) vs. #23 California CAL MISS CAL CAL CAL CAL CAL CAL MISS
#6 Ohio State (-39) vs. Miami (OH) OSU OSU OSU OSU OSU OSU MIAMI OSU OSU
#17 Texas A&M (-4) vs. #8 Auburn TAMU TAMU TAMU AUB TAMU AUB AUB AUB AUB
#22 Washington (-6) @ BYU BYU BYU BYU WASH WASH BYU WASH WASH WASH
#12 Texas (-5) vs. Oklahoma State TEX OKST TEX TEX TEX TEX TEX TEX OKST
#3 Georgia (-14) vs. #7 Notre Dame UGA UGA UGA UGA ND ND UGA ND ND

I love a college football Saturday when the games are spread out nicely throughout the day. This weekend falls into that category and we'll get a nice little appetizer Friday night when No. 10 Utah heads to USC. The unbeaten Utes have one of the country's top defenses and most of the 11W staff has them covering on the road.

Moving into Saturday, you'll have the luxury of watching the Badgers and Wolverines do battle at high noon before the Buckeyes take care of business a 3:30. Is Michigan's true freshman tailback Zach Charbonnet going to play? Will Josh Gattis finally prove his worth and get the offense rolling? We're fairly split on this matchup and Michigan hasn't won in Madison since 2001. 

Florida is a two-touchdown favorite over the Volunteers. Gator quarterback Feleipe Franks suffered an awful ankle injury last week and will miss the rest of the season. Kyle Trask took over under center and looked good against Kentucky. One-time Buckeye commit Emory Jones should also see the field a bit this weekend in Gainesville. 

Ohio State is nearly a 40-point favorite against a Redhawk team that ranks 128th in total offense. David's got Miami covering in what should be Ohio State's last scrimmage before heading to Lincoln and really get into Big Ten play. Miami was up 10-0 on the road at Cincinnati last week until the Bearcats rallied to a 35-13 victory.

Auburn will be taking on Texas A&M at 3:30 from College Station. The Tigers are unbeaten on the season while the Aggies lone loss came at the hands of Clemson. Jimbo Fisher is a four-point home favorite against true freshman quarterback Bo Nix. We're mostly feeling Auburn here.

The nightcap is going to be a good one a well with a pair of solid matchups. Texas hosting Oklahoma State is interesting as the Cowboys have topped the Horns four years in a row and are looking for a third-consecutive win in Austin. Tom Herman comes in as a five-point home favorite and most are siding with the Longhorns.

Georgia taking on Notre Dame is the headliner for the weekend even though the Bulldogs are favored by a hefty two touchdowns at home. The Irish aren't getting much credit in this battle of top-10 teams though they nearly topped the Dawgs in South Bend back in 2017. Most are expecting Georgia to gash Notre Dame on the ground, but our staff is split on this contest in Athens.

How do you see the big one in Madison going down? Will Notre Dame be able to put up a fight on the road against Kirby and Co.?

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