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Is PSU a Quality Win?

+2 HS
ziplock007's picture
11/10/25 at 5:04p in the OSU Football Forum
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Preseason: PSU was named the team to beat in the B1G.  #2/3 in the Polls.

  • Top 10 talent
  • Had a still-well-paid coach
  • Signed a Defensive Coordinator to largest contract of any CFB assistant

Currently: winless in conference.

  • But, 5 plays away from being 8-1 and a top 5 team.
    • (they are many many many plays away from being 9-0, OSU had a field day)
  • Nearly had the biggest quality win in conference, inches from besting Indiana.

So, is Penn State a quality win for OSU?  According to SP+ rankings, yes it is.  In fact, Penn State is THE BEST winless in conference team in CFB and it's not even close.

PSU is 20th in S&P betwixt 6-3 Missouri and Washington.

  • OSU counts at Washington as a quality win
  • Missouri was the last team to beat OSU in the postseason
Winless in Conference SP+ (out of 136)
Team Conf Record Conf Rec SP+
Penn State B1G 3-6 0-6 20
Arkansas SEC 2-7 0-5 38
Mich St. B1G 3-6 0-6 76
Purdue B1G 2-8 0-7 84
Texas St. Sun Belt 3-9 0-5 98
Boston College ACC 1-9 0-6 110
Tulsa American 2-7 0-6 119
Okla St. Big 12 1-8 0-6 126
Nevada Mtn West 1-8 0-5 128
Mid. Tenn St. Conf USA 1-8 0-5 131
Georgia St. Sun Belt 3-6 0-5 133
Charlotte Sun Belt 1-8 0-6 134
Sam Houston Conf USA 1-8 0-5 135
UMass MAC 0-9 0-5 136
AVERAGE   1.7 - 7.3 0-5.6 105

The Average SP+ of winless in conference Teams: 105 (out of 136)
Penn State's SP+: 20 (out of 136)

YES, OSU and Indiana are coming off a win vs. a Top 20 SP+ team :)

UPDATE - PSU, as it stands now, is the 3rd best team on schedule (SP+ only)

OSU's Schedule vs SP+
Opponent Team SP+
1 Texas 14
2 Grambling St LOL
3 Ohio 95
4 Washington 21
5 Minnesota 60
6 Illinois 23
7 Wisconsin 90
8 PSU 20
9 Purdue 84
10 UCLA 77
11 Rutgers 64
12 TCUN 18

Note: this discounts Washington State (0-1 in PAC 12, but 4-5)... They are in the 2 team PAC12.

This is a forum post from a site member. It does not represent the views of Eleven Warriors unless otherwise noted.

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