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Mock BCS Rankings - Week 12

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I_Run_The_Dave's picture
November 19, 2019 at 10:22am
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Mock BCS Rankings - Week 11

Mock BCS Rankings - Week 12
Team Record BCS Rank BCS Average AP Poll AP Avg Coaches Coaches Avg Computer Computer Avg
LSU 10-0 1 0.9929 1 0.9949 1 0.9938 1 0.9900
Ohio St 10-0 2 0.9591 2 0.9536 2 0.9538 2 0.9700
Clemson 11-0 3 0.9271 3 0.9304 3 0.9311 3 0.9200
Georgia 9-1 4 0.8525 4 0.8665 4 0.8511 4 0.8400
Alabama 9-1 5 0.8018 5 0.8149 5 0.8406 7 0.7500
Oregon 9-1 6 0.7775 6 0.8020 6 0.8006 8 0.7300
Oklahoma 9-1 7 0.7494 8 0.7381 7 0.7502 6 0.7600
Penn St 9-1 8 0.7233 9 0.6645 9 0.6652 4 0.8400
Utah 9-1 9 0.6632 7 0.7452 8 0.7243 14 0.5200
Florida 9-2 10 0.5831 10 0.6349 10 0.6345 15 0.4800

This week the top 3 remains the same, but for the first time OSU lost points in both the BCS average and in the computer average, despite keeping roughly the same amount of points in the human polls.  Georgia appears at #4 this week, jumping Alabama and Oregon, mostly due to human polls responding to the CFP committee's rankings.  Utah also makes an appearance here for the same reason.

Relative to the computers, Utah and Florida appear to be over-valued, while Penn State appears to be under-valued.  I think had Minnesota lost prior to beating Penn State, we would see Penn State higher, mostly because they were ranked lower to not have to put Minnesota as high last week.  Then poll inertia happens and PSU stays near the bottom of the 1-loss teams.  If the computers had their way, you'd see Cincinnati and Michigan in the top 10, with Minnesota, Baylor, and Notre Dame also ahead of Utah and Florida.  This season's annual Florida Michigan bowl game is looking to be as competitive as ever.

Mock BCS Rankings With CFP - Week 11
Team Record BCS Rank BCS Average CFP Rank
LSU 9-0 1 0.9898 1
Ohio St 9-0 2 0.9623 2
Clemson 10-0 3 0.9139 3
Alabama 8-1 4 0.7980 5
Oregon 8-1 5 0.7776 6
Georgia 8-1 6 0.7656 4
Minnesota 9-0 7 0.7474 8
Penn St 8-1 8 0.6853 9
Baylor 9-0 9 0.6646 13
Oklahoma 8-1 10 0.6401 10

So last week the committee made the bold move of putting Georgia above both Alabama and Oregon at #4.  It's bold because none of the polls or the computers had Georgia above Alabama, and the computers actually had them both much lower at 8 and 9.  I think the committee wanted to make a statement that Alabama is not a shoo in to the playoff this year.  I do not expect that to change this week, I think you will see the top 4 remain the same and in the same order.  It will be interesting to see if Alabama stays at 5 - I don't think they should be penalized for losing Tua until we see how the backup performs.

Look for Oklahoma to shoot up the rankings this week after knocking Baylor out.  The committee never respected Baylor, so maybe Oklahoma doesn't move much, but they could be as high as 6.  And who will replace Minnesota in the top 10?  Given the committee's reluctance to rank Minnesota in the first place, you have to think they will drop out.  Will it be Florida?  Michigan?  Notre Dame?  Wisconsin?  If I were a gambling man, I'd pick the SEC team, but how these 2 loss teams are ordered will be interesting to see.

This is a forum post from a site member. It does not represent the views of Eleven Warriors unless otherwise noted.

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