IF the Bucks win out, many scenarios for Playoff contention have Ohio State competing with the loser of the ACC Championship for that last spot. Currently, the FiveThirtyEight website gives the Bucks a 56% chance to make the Playoffs and the loser of the ACC Championship a 17% chance regardless of ACC Champion (which also assumes Bama and OU win out). I'm not quite that optimistic, but IF the Committee views Ohio State as a comparable team to the ACC Championship loser after including OSU's B1G Championship, there could be several statistical metrics that go into the analysis that determines who is selected. I went to NCAA.com and pulled out their standard list of metrics (without modification) for OSU, Clemson, and Miami. You can decide for yourself which ones might be important to the Committee. I also included ESPN's FPI Ranking and Game Control Rankings.
Statistic | Buckeyes | Clemson | Miami |
Total Offense | 4 | 26 | 35 |
Passing Offense | 20 | 57 | 38 |
Team Passing Efficiency | 7 | 47 | 43 |
Scoring Offense | 3 | T-23 | 34 |
Total Defense | 8 | 7 | 40 |
Rushing Defense | 12 | 14 | 51 |
Passing Yards Allowed | 15 | 12 | 45 |
Team Passing Efficiency Defense | 27 | 12 | 7 |
Scoring Defense | 22 | 3 | 15 |
Turnover Margin | T-53 | T-44 | 1 |
3rd Down Conversion Pct | 4 | 12 | 118 |
4th Down Conversion Pct | T-15 | 2 | T-15 |
3rd Down Conversion Pct Defense | 14 | 5 | 56 |
4th Down Conversion Pct Defense | T-59 | 84 | T-19 |
Red Zone Offense | 36 | 24 | 14 |
Red Zone Defense | 22 | 34 | T-63 |
Net Punting | 11 | 86 | 93 |
Punt Returns | 117 | 23 | 7 |
Kickoff Returns | 15 | 115 | 54 |
First Down Offense | 1 | T-29 | T-89 |
First Down Defense | T-18 | 11 | T-49 |
Fewest Penalties Per Game | T-106 | T-44 | T-42 |
Fewest Penalty Yards Per Game | 120 | 46 | T-72 |
Time of Possession | 91 | 63 | 112 |
ESPN FPI Ranking | 2 | 3 | 12 |
ESPN Game Control | 11 | 4 | 12 |