Lot of food for thought in this article
For the sake of this article we will dissect the evolution of J.T. Barrett (dependent variable) as well as the wide receivers, offensive line, schemes, stats and coaches (independent variables) from the 2014 and 2016 seasons with hopes to put this theory of “regression” to bed, one way or the other.
So what does this all mean? The main point of this analysis is to remember that correlation is not causation. Just because the numbers don't stack up does not mean Barrett has regressed as a passer. Personnel changes and coaching changes drastically effect the flow of the offense year after year, and it will be the same story next year. I didn’t even break down the differences in wind and weather from season to season!
As you saw within the video breakdowns of each section, Barrett looks to be the same passer from a mechanics standpoint. He has learned to diagnose the defense and has it ingrained within his brain to not turn the ball over. Once he learns to anticipate his throws on a consistent basis, he will become a legitimate NFL prospect. Until then, he is among the winningest college football quarterbacks of all-time. Not a bad consolation prize when he announced he is returning for his senior season.
[MOD edit: Great article, but please give more than a link and run. I added a couple teaser quotes to help you out. From the 'Help' window on every new Forum post = "Give some thought to your post. Posting a single link doesn't cut it."]