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FiveThirtyEight "Destiny" Rankings

+8 HS
Brutus's Hat's picture
October 19, 2021 at 9:36am

I used the Projections for the playoffs on 538 to project if a team wins out, their odds of making the playoffs. I have categorized them into groups.

This assumes that each team wins the remainder of its games and nothing else.

Certainly in with winning out (99%+)

  • Georgia
  • Oklahoma
  • Alabama
  • Ohio State
  • Michigan
  • Oklahoma State
  • Michigan State
  • Penn State

Almost certainly in with winning out (95-99%)

  • Iowa
  • Wake Forest
  • Baylor

Decent chance with winning out (60-95%)

  • Cincinnati
  • Pittsburgh
  • Oregon
  • NC State
  • Iowa State
  • Auburn
  • Minnesota
  • Purdue

There's a chance (20-60%)

  • Texas A&M
  • Notre Dame
  • Ole Miss
  • Kentucky
  • Clemson
  • Utah
  • SMU
  • LSU

The model isn't perfect for sure. Of course the odds of going undefeated the rest of the season for many of these teams is very low.

This is a forum post from a site member. It does not represent the views of Eleven Warriors unless otherwise noted.

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