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Final Mock BCS Rankings of 2019 Season

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I_Run_The_Dave's picture
December 9, 2019 at 11:07am
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Mock BCS Rankings - Week 14

Mock BCS Rankings - Final
Team Record BCS Rank BCS Average AP Poll AP Avg Coaches Coaches Avg Computer Computer Avg CFP Rank
LSU 13-0 1 0.9827 1 0.9904 1 0.9877 2 0.9700 1
Ohio St 13-0 2 0.9704 2 0.9600 2 0.9612 1 0.9900 2
Clemson 13-0 3 0.9269 3 0.9297 3 0.9311 3 0.9200 3
Oklahoma 12-1 4 0.8733 4 0.8800 4 0.8800 4 0.8600 4
Georgia 11-2 5 0.7957 5 0.8007 5 0.7963 5 0.7900 5
Florida 10-2 6 0.6981 6 0.7529 7 0.7212 10 0.6200 9
Oregon 11-2 7 0.6893 7 0.7362 6 0.7317 11 0.6000 6
Penn St 10-2 8 0.6293 13 0.5729 12 0.5951 6 0.7200 10
Baylor 11-2 9 0.6283 8 0.6704 8 0.7145 13 0.5000 7
Wisconsin 10-3 10 0.6157 11 0.6091 11 0.6080 9 0.6300 8
Team Record BCS Rank BCS Average AP Poll AP Avg Coaches Coaches Avg Computer Computer Avg CFP Rank
Alabama 10-2 11 0.6014 9 0.6523 9 0.6720 15 0.4800 13
Auburn 9-3 12 0.5814 9 0.6523 13 0.5920 13 0.5000 12
Utah 11-2 13 0.5550 12 0.5865 10 0.6185 16 0.4600 11
Notre Dame 10-2 14 0.5340 14 0.4574 14 0.4745 8 0.6700 15
Memphis 12-1 15 0.5087 15 0.4355 15 0.4105 7 0.6800 17
Michigan 9-3 16 0.4398 17 0.3852 17 0.3643 12 0.5700 14
Minnesota 10-2 17 0.3562 16 0.4161 16 0.4025 20 0.2500 18
Boise St 12-1 18 0.3503 18 0.3226 18 0.3483 17 0.3800 19
Iowa 9-3 19 0.2991 19 0.3187 19 0.2985 18 0.2800 16
Appalachian St 12-1 20 0.2433 20 0.2290 20 0.2308 19 0.2700 20
Navy 9-2 21 0.1709 21 0.1587 21 0.1440 21 0.2100 23
Cincinnati 10-3 22 0.1538 23 0.1181 22 0.1434 22 0.2000 21
USC 8-4 23 0.1040 22 0.1258 23 0.1163 24 0.0700 22
SMU 10-2 24 0.0727 NR 0.0406 NR 0.0375 23 0.1400 NR
Air Force 10-2 25 0.0718 24 0.0626 24 0.0929 25 0.0600 NR

The biggest question this week is whether the committee got the seedings right.  No controversy about whether #4 was right, or team X or team Y getting left out.  With that in mind, it was a pretty clearcut year.  Except for who is at the top, right?  Maybe not.  Last week, the margin between LSU and Ohio State was razor thin (2 poll votes combined between both polls).  Ohio State gave up a computer point to LSU this week as well as the gap widening in the polls.  So we end up with both teams still close, but LSU clearly atop.

For the 6th year in a row, the top 4 teams in the CFP rankings exactly matches the BCS.  This year, the order and matchups are identical, which isn't always the case (but generally has been).  I have highlighted any difference in ranking in the top 10, and for 11-25, I have highlighted differences of more than 2.  Notably, Wisconsin and Penn State are flipped, and the committee does not respect Florida the way the voters do.  I also love seeing 2 service academies represented, even if my own (Army) is left out.  They can still keep the Commander-in-Chief's Trophy away from Navy with a win this weekend, and they took Michigan to OT, so the season isn't lost yet for the Black Knights.

I haven't yet looked through all the bowl matchups outside the top 4, but Alabama/Michigan is intriguing to me.  The BCS, due to poll influence, has a wide gulf between them with Alabama at 11 and Michigan at 16.  However, the committee has the teams at 13/14 and the computers even say Michigan is the better team.  This could be a program defining game for Harbaugh should he win, and could also signal the end of an era for Alabama.  Or it could end up being meaningless, who knows, but don't count out the wolverines in this matchup.  Neither team wants to be there, but Alabama has been known to drop non-playoff bowl games (because, you know, having NFL caliber players is a disadvantage since they are preparing for the NFL and not their bowl game.  Or something...).

This is a forum post from a site member. It does not represent the views of Eleven Warriors unless otherwise noted.

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