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Sharp Money on OSU

+2 HS
Grisle's picture
October 28, 2017 at 3:17pm
13 Comments

The line had been steady at -6 with 65% of the bets on PSU even up til 2am this morning. The line is currently at -7 with 64% of the bets on PSU. This means sharp money has been recently laid on OSU. Sharps aren't always right, even the best bettors only win 57-58% of the time. However, they have that win rate after thousands, tens of thousands and sometimes hundreds of thousands of bets.

For those that wish to know more about how to spot sharp betting trends this will explain it. From Onlinebetting.com

"It is considered to be sharp money when “a wager initiates a line change… regardless of the amount bet.” There are several respected bettors, particularly in Las Vegas, who can move betting lines all by themselves.

However, there is a lot more to finding sharp bets than just seeing when lines move. In fact, often times, when lines move, squares are forcing those lines to move, particularly around key numbers. Keep a close eye on a football game with a betting line of 4.5 or 5. There isn’t all that much difference, mathematically speaking, between a four-point game and a six-point game in the NFL in particular, and bettors who are willing to bet -5 will be just as willing to bet -5.5. This is where the sharps can strike, though.

If over 65% of bettors are on one side, especially if that 65% side is the favored side, and the line either is staying stagnant or is moving in the direction of the 35% side, there is a good chance that the 35% side is the sharp one."

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