Here is the new full breakdown from 2014-2018
https://www.elevenwarriors.com/forum/college-sports/2018/12/100919/recru...
We've all seen it. Teams that can't recruit on an elite level say it all the time. "recruiting rankings don't matter". So I decided to take some time and break it down a little bit.
In the 2018 recruiting class, there were 32 5 stars. 343 4 stars and 1000+ 3 stars. I will be using this class as my base since it's essentially the same give or take a couple.
| Draft Pick | Player | Recruiting Ranking |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | B. Mayfield | 3*/1029 |
| 2 | S. Barkley | 4*/119 |
| 3 | S. Darnold | 4*/148 |
| 4 | D. Ward | 4*/270 |
| 5 | B. Chubb | 3*/734 |
| 6 | Q. Nelson | 4*/61 |
| 7 | J. Allen | 3*/NA |
| 8 | R. Smith | 4*/48 |
| 9 | M. McGlinchey | 4*/172 |
| 10 | J. Rosen | 5*/11 |
| 11 | M. Fitzpatrich | 5*/30 |
| 12 | V. Vea | 3*/587 |
| 13 | D. Payne | 5*/29 |
| 14 | M. Davenport | 2*/2613 |
| 15 | K. Miller | 3*/371 |
| 16 | T. Edmunds | 3*/441 |
| 17 | D. James | 5*/5 |
| 18 | J. Alexander | 3*/941 |
| 19 | L. Vander Esch | N/A |
| 20 | F. Ragnow | 4*/324 |
| 21 | B. Price | 4*/211 |
| 22 | R. Evans | 5*/14 |
| 23 | I. Wynn | 4*/110 |
| 24 | DJ Moore | 3*/354 |
| 25 | H. Hurst | N/A (baseball player) |
| 26 | C. Ridley | 5*/12 |
| 27 | R. Penny | 3*/944 |
| 28 | T. Edmunds | 3*/1109 |
| 29 | T. Bryan | 3*/533 |
| 30 | M. Hughes | 3*/421 |
| 31 | S. Michel | 5*/20 |
| 32 | Lamar Jackson | 3*/409 |
In this draft there were 6 5 Stars, 9 4 Starts and 17 3 stars or lower.
| Star | # | total | % |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3&U | 17 | 1500 | 1.13 |
| 4 | 9 | 343 | 2.62 |
| 5 | 6 | 32 | 18.75 |
Since I am using 3 stars and below I am going to designate the that figure as 1500 but it is actually far greater than that.
You can see all likely hoods of being drafted in the first down is really low but nearly 1 in 5 5 stars are drafted in the first round while 4 star is 1 in 50 and roughly 1 in 100 3 stars. It should also be noted that 21 of the 32 picks were ranked inside the top 500. That is over 65% of the picks.
To be clear, this break down is not full proof or scientific by any means. It would be much more accurate to do a 5 year break down but that will take a lot of time and effort to do it all manually as I am doing it right now. If there is enough interest, I will put the leg work in but not until I know there is enough interest.
