The 10 Big Ten teams in bowl games are all underdogs. If the Vegas money line odds are a good reflection of the probabilities that each BT team will win their respective match ups, then the Big Ten is roughly projected to win 3.5+/- bowl games. The following table coverts the consensus Vegas.com money line odds ("ML ODDS" column below) into their corresponding win probabilities and then totals all the probabilities:
| Teams | ML ODDS | ML ODDS --> win probability |
|---|---|---|
| ILL | +185 | 0.3508 |
| RUTG | +140 | 0.4166 |
| PSU | +120 | 0.4545 |
| NEBR | +210 | 0.3226 |
| MARY | +450 | 0.1818 |
| WISC | +200 | 0.3333 |
| MSU | +130 | 0.4348 |
| MINN | +190 | 0.3448 |
| OSU | +290 | 0.2564 |
| IOWA | +145 | 0.4082 |
| TOTAL | 3.5038 |
So, would you bet over or under 3.5 Big Ten bowl wins?
