Ohio State Now An Underdog vs. Missouri in Cotton Bowl After Kyle McCord’s Departure

By Dan Hope on December 6, 2023 at 7:05 am
Chip Trayanum and Tommy Eichenberg
125 Comments

Ohio State opened as a 6.5-point favorite for the Cotton Bowl. The Buckeyes are now a betting underdog.

The betting line has moved by more than a touchdown since Kyle McCord entered the transfer portal on Monday morning. While Ohio State was still favored to beat Missouri by 6.5 points at most sportsbooks at that time, the line has steadily moved in the Tigers’ direction since to the point that the Buckeyes are now a 1-point underdog, according to BettingPros’ consensus line.

McCord’s departure is certainly a significant factor in that line movement, as Ohio State will now enter the Cotton Bowl with a first-time starting quarterback, regardless of whether that ends up being redshirt freshman Devin Brown or true freshman Lincoln Kienholz.

The Buckeyes have also already lost another starter to the transfer portal in wide receiver Julian Fleming, while it’s also possible that some of Ohio State’s NFL-bound stars could opt out of the game to preserve their health for the draft. While Ryan Day said Sunday that he’s “expecting everyone to play,” the line movement would suggest that bettors and oddsmakers have doubts.

Missouri coach Eliah Drinkwitz also said that he expects his entire team to play against the Buckeyes, saying the Tigers’ seniors told him it was their plan “to finish one more game together.”

While Ohio State is now a betting underdog, the Buckeyes will enter the Cotton Bowl as the higher-ranked team, as the Buckeyes were ranked seventh in the final CFP rankings and the final AP Top 25 and Coaches Poll before bowl season while the Tigers were slotted ninth in all three rankings.

Historically, the Buckeyes have often thrived as an underdog, winning eight of their last 12 teams when their opponent is favored by sportsbooks. However, Ohio State is just 1-4 as an underdog under Ryan Day, losing its last three games as an underdog including its most recent game against Michigan, which sent the Buckeyes to the Cotton Bowl rather than this year’s College Football Playoff.

Ohio State’s Last 12 Games As An Underdog
Year Game Opponent Line Result
2023 REGULAR SEASON MICHIGAN +3 MICHIGAN 30, OHIO STATE 24
2022 COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYOFF SEMIFINAL GEORGIA +4.5 GEORGIA 42, OHIO STATE 41
2020 NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP GAME ALABAMA +9.5 ALABAMA 52, OHIO STATE 24
2020 COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYOFF SEMIFINAL CLEMSON +7 OHIO STATE 49, CLEMSON 28
2019 COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYOFF SEMIFINAL CLEMSON +2.5 CLEMSON 29, OHIO STATE 23
2018 REGULAR SEASON MICHIGAN +3.5 OHIO STATE 62, MICHIGAN 39
2014 NATIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP GAME OREGON +6 OHIO STATE 42, OREGON 20
2014 COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYOFF SEMIFINAL ALABAMA +7.5 OHIO STATE 42, ALABAMA 35
2014 BIG TEN CHAMPIONSHIP GAME WISCONSIN +4 OHIO STATE 59, WISCONSIN 0
2014 REGULAR SEASON MICHIGAN STATE +3.5 OHIO STATE 49, MICHIGAN STATE 37
2012 REGULAR SEASON WISCONSIN +1 OHIO STATE 21, WISCONSIN 14
2012 REGULAR SEASON MICHIGAN STATE +2 OHIO STATE 17, MICHIGAN STATE 16
Lines via Covers.com
125 Comments
View 125 Comments