OK, now that we have seen how the bracket is teed up, we know the options if OSU is the 1 seed. For these purposes, let's assume OSU beats Indiana. If OSU loses, I think they could be 2, 3 or 4 depending what happens with Georgia and TTU and how the committee handles things, so it's not worth gaming all of that out.
As the 1 seed, OSU would face the 8 or the 9 seed in the first game. Here are your possibilities for those seeds:
- Oklahoma (I think highly likely to stay 8 or 9)
- Notre Dame (if they get in, they will be 9 or 10)
- Miami (if the committee decides to slot in Miami and ND they will maybe slide Miami into 9)
- A&M (would have to drop as a result of Alabama beating Georgia - could happen for sure)
- TTU (could drop all the way to 8 if they lose to BYU)
- BYU (if they beat TTU)
- Alabama (I actually don't think they stay 8 or 9 - they either win and move up, or lose and are 10 or out. Only way they just sit at 9 is if they lose in OT or something)
Then, you look at these teams and think about who could or would win a first round game. I do not think Oklahoma can beat any of these other teams. I don't think BYU can either.
I keep coming back to avoiding ND. I would rather play anyone else on this list than ND in the first game. And fortunately, the way the committee is working, there is a good chance ND is at 10 or out altogether. Sorry, Domers.
Thoughts on the first game?