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What can we expect based on Vegas spread movements?

+8 HS
kgratz's picture
December 28, 2016 at 12:36pm
51 Comments

December 4th the final rankings of the CFP was announced. Ohio St. vs. Clemson and Alabama vs. Washington. Vegas originally posted a line of -3 OSU and -14 Bama. Since then, 56% spread and 64% outright money is on Clemson, while 70% spread is on bama and 69% outright money is on washington. 

Bama vs. Washington Quick Analysis - As more money has come in on the spread, we've seen the line move all the way up to -16.5 bama. It has since been bet back to the original -14 it was posted at.  This is typical of a vegas line, if too much is on one side, the line moves to help balance the winnings/losings. 

OSU vs Clemson Quick Analysis - More money has come in on clemson for the spread and the outright winner... why hasn't the line moved? Vegas has been known to "bet on themselves" in confident spots. Look at last week Chargers/Browns. Chargers opened at -6, the line closed at kickoff at -4.5 with 76% of the money on them. Why did the line move opposite the money? VEGAS ALWAYS KNOWS!!!

Ohio St -3 with no line movement is a great sign for the local team. Right Tackle and WR issues have been fixed, OSU will be playing a home game in the desert, get ready for a great game from the good guys.

 Bet the rent and Go Bucks!

 

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