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MEANINGLESS FAKE BCS RANKINGS - WEEK 15 2020

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I_Run_The_Dave's picture
12/9/20 at 8:52a in the College Sports Forum
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Last week's rankings: MEANINGLESS FAKE BCS RANKINGS!

Although the computers don't care as much how many games you've played (except the Colley Matrix...), the CFP committee certainly does.  Ohio State was 3 last week in the BCS, and despite increasing its lead over Clemson, remains at 4 in the CFP Rankings.  

Mock BCS Rankings - Week 15
Team Record BCS Rank BCS Average AP Poll AP Avg Coaches Coaches Avg Computer Computer Avg CFP Rank
Alabama 9-0 1 0.9994 1 1.0000 1 0.9981 1 1.0000 1
Notre Dame 10-0 2 0.9390 2 0.9561 2 0.9542 3 0.9067 2
Ohio St 5-0 3 0.9120 3 0.9077 4 0.8948 2 0.9333 4
Clemson 9-1 4 0.8916 4 0.8948 3 0.9000 4 0.8800 3
Florida 8-1 5 0.7890 6 0.7955 6 0.8116 5 0.7600 6
Texas A&M 7-1 6 0.7818 5 0.8219 5 0.8168 7 0.7067 5
Cincinnati 8-0 7 0.7554 7 0.7768 7 0.7561 6 0.7333 8
Indiana 6-1 8 0.6358 8 0.6755 9 0.6452 9 0.5867 12
Miami FL 8-1 9 0.6270 9 0.6703 8 0.6774 11 0.5333 10
Georgia 6-2 10 0.6133 12 0.5897 10 0.6368 8 0.6133 9
Iowa St 8-2 11 0.5697 10 0.6110 11 0.6181 12 0.4800 7
Coastal Car 10-0 12 0.5609 11 0.5955 13 0.5406 10 0.5467 13
Oklahoma 7-2 13 0.5072 13 0.5400 12 0.5548 14 0.4267 11
BYU 9-1 14 0.4375 14 0.4600 16 0.3858 13 0.4667 18
USC 4-0 15 0.3820 16 0.4026 15 0.3968 15 0.3467 15
Northwestern 5-1 16 0.3660 15 0.4174 14 0.4406 18 0.2400 14
Louisiana 9-1 17 0.3257 17 0.3613 17 0.3226 17 0.2933 19
Iowa 5-2 18 0.2430 19 0.2735 18 0.2555 20 0.2000 16
Tulsa 6-1 19 0.2247 18 0.2865 19 0.2542 23 0.1333 24
Colorado 4-0 20 0.2038 21 0.1632 22 0.1148 16 0.3333 21
North Carolina 7-3 21 0.1454 20 0.1974 20 0.2387   0.0000 17
Texas 6-3 22 0.1366 23 0.1058 23 0.1039 20 0.2000 20
Wisconsin 2-2 23 0.1314 25 0.0742 25 0.0800 18 0.2400  
San Jose St 5-0 24 0.0910   0.0426   0.0439 22 0.1867  
Liberty 9-1 25 0.0809 22 0.1232 21 0.1194   0.0000  

Other observations:  The computers don't value TAMU's win over Auburn nearly as much as anyone else.  Their highest Computer rank is 6 (Massey) and lowest is 16 (Colley Matrix), and yet somehow the polls and the committee all have them at 5.  Likely because they also beat Florida, whom the computers apparently like.  Cincinnati is the loser there, because the committee had to push them down in order to place TAMU above the team they beat.  Also, Iowa State?

Iowa State at 7 is a real head scratcher.  They are at best 10th in the computers and unranked at worst, and no human poll has them higher than 10 either.  Not sure what the committee is thinking here.  I guess having a Big XII represented in the top 10 is important?  More important than having 2 Big Ten teams (or less than 4 SEC teams) apparently.

Speaking of Big Ten teams, Indiana is not feeling the love despite beating Wisconsin without its apparently all-world quarterback.  Maybe that's more an indictment on Wisconsin, but the apparent Big Ten East Champions*** are valued much less by the CFP committee than the human polls or computers.  Maybe because they lost to us, I guess, and we ain't played nobody (or we haven't played enough nobodies)?

Obviously, nothing really counts this year.  USC and/or Colorado could win out (I think their game against each other was cancelled) and either could crash the party.  It's funny to talk about Ohio State and say "You can't leave an undefeated Power 5 team out" and then look at the PAC and giggle to yourself.  But either of those teams could end up with as many or more games played than us, with arguably a stronger SOS (thanks PSU/MSU/scUM).  Whose to say USC doesn't belong?

The best way to think about it, as my wife continuously tells me, is that nothing counts this year.  It would be great to claim a national championship, but it's as much a stroke of luck this year as anything.  Ohio State did everything right to avoid Covid and is a big part of even having a season.  So now we are on the wrong side of a stupid rule made to prevent 3-0 Purdue from jumping 6-1 Wisconsin despite not playing each other, which didn't actually end up happening.  And people have the gall to say "we didn't follow the rules" and we shouldn't get to play.  Um, actually we did, unless you wanted us to voluntarily infect Illinois are risk further spread within our own program.  But sure, we intentionally canceled a game just to stick it to Indiana!  We sure showed them!  Good thing we didn't have to settle it on the field! (oh wait...)

So anyways, now we need a little luck (or bad luck somewhere else) to get to play this weekend, or have our conference mocked for catering to us by changing the rules, despite the ACC flaunting it (and trying to claim Notre Dame as their own).  But again, this year doesn't count and we shouldn't get all worried about it.  Let's win the games we can win, kicked Covid's ass, and return to some semblance of normalcy next year.

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