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Meyer and Day Recruiting Review: Defense Edition

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datanut's picture
June 24, 2022 at 3:34am
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Here's my stab at a basic review of both Urban Meyer's and Ryan Day's recruiting at Ohio State on the defensive side of the ball. I got the data for the 2012-2023 Ohio State 247 recruiting profiles and found the average recruit rating for each position group in each recruting class. And like the previous post I gave Urban the 2012-2018 recruting classes and Day the 2019-2023 classes. For each position group I found the average recruit rating for each year (if there was a recruit for that position group in that year). I also found the top 5-10 recruits in each position group under each coach.

Defensive Recruiting Overview

Disclaimer: ATH recruits were not included in the below calculations; they have their own section at the bottom of this post. I did check to see how the ATH recruits would've affected the defensive rating average based on it the recruit ended up playing on defense and it would change Urban's average defensive recruit's rating to 0.9292977 and Day's average to 0.932538 FWIW.

AVG. DEFENSIVE RECRUIT COMPARISON
Year Meyer Avg Day Avg
2012 0.936758  
2013 0.937823  
2014 0.944600  
2015 0.900992  
2016 0.914962  
2017 0.956145  
2018 0.941414  
2019   0.917800
2020   0.917267
2021   0.954260
2022   0.957156
2023   0.923525
AVG 0.93330 0.93669
TOP 11 DEFENSE RECRUITS FOR URBAN AND DAY
Rank Urban Recruit Year Position Score   Day Recruit Year Position Score
1 Noah Spence 2012 WDE 0.9975   J.T. Tuimoloau 2021 DL 0.9989
2 Nick Bosa 2016 SDE 0.9965   Jack Sawyer 2021 DL 0.9980
3 Chase Young 2017 WDE 0.9957   C.J. Hicks 2022 LB 0.9948
4 Jeff Okudah 2017 CB 0.9955   Sonny Styles 2022 S 0.9937
5 Baron Browning 2017 OLB 0.9940   Zach Harrison 2019 SDE 0.9933
6 Shaun Wade 2017 CB 0.9904   Kenyatta Jackson 2022 Edge 0.9784
7 Raekwon McMillan 2014 ILB 0.9896   Jakailin Johnson 2021 B 0.9745
8 Adolphus Washington 2012 DT 0.9895   Michael Hall Jr. 2021 DL 0.9742
9 Taron Vincent 2018 DT 0.9884   Omari Abor 2022 Edge 0.9724
10 Vonn Bell 2013 S 0.9876   Jordan Hancock 2021 CB 0.9680
11 Tyreke Johnson 2018 S 0.9876   Cody Simon 2020 ILB 0.9660

Disclaimer: Vonn Bell and Tyreke Johnson had the same composite rating so I broke the tie based on 247 rating.

I think this is going to be a surprise for most people (it at least was for me), but Ryan Day has actually had a higher average rating for defensive recruits as well when compared to Urban Meyer, even if Urban's top 10 consistently matches or bests Day's top 10. The biggest reason I can find for Day's higher average is that 8 Urban recruits (Damon Arnette, Tracy Sprinkle, Rashod Berry, Rodjay Burns, Tre Avery, Luke Roberts, DaVon Hamilton, Darius Slade) have a lower rating than Day's lowest rated recruit (Ty Hamilton). Even though 43.75% of Urban's defensive recruits are rated > 0.95 compared to 41% for Day, it wasn't enough to overcome the fact that 28.75% of Urban's recruits were also rated < 0.9 (compared to 25.64% for Day). Basically, Day's floor is higher for his defensive recruits but Urban's ceiling is a bit higher as well (at least as of this moment). 

DL Recruiting Overview

Disclaimer: The following positions in 247 were used for DL calculations: SDE, WDE, DT, DL, Edge. Since 24/7 moved to DL and Edge positions, I didn't calculate DE and DT calculations; instead I just did the DL as a whole.

AVG. DL RECRUIT COMPARISON
Year Urban Avg Day Avg
2012 0.961540  
2013 0.913800  
2014 0.894267  
2015 0.889533  
2016 0.958867  
2017 0.958000  
2018 0.949733  
2019   0.918400
2020   0.908433
2021   0.974975
2022   0.962000
2023   0.885300
AVG 0.92998 0.94091
TOP 10 DL RECRUITS FOR URBAN AND DAY
Rank Urban Recruit Score Year Position   Day Recruit Score Year Position
1 Noah Spence 0.9975 2012 WDE   J.T. Tuimoloau 0.9989 2021 DL
2 Nick Bosa 0.9965 2016 SDE   Jack Sawyer 0.9980 2021 DL
3 Chase Young 0.9957 2017 WDE   Zach Harrison 0.9933 2019 SDE
4 Adolphus Washington 0.9895 2012 WDE   Kenyatta Jackson 0.9748 2022 Edge
5 Taron Vincent 0.9884 2018 DT   Michael Hall Jr. 0.9742 2021 DL
6 Joey Bosa 0.9819 2013 SDE   Omari Abor 0.9724 2022 Edge
7 Tyreke Smith 0.9816 2018 WDE   Caden Curry 0.9506 2022 Edge
8 Jonathon Cooper 0.9811 2016 WDE   Hero Kanu 0.9502 2021 DL
9 Tommy Togiai 0.9721 2018 DT   Darrion Henry-Young 0.9321 2020 DT
10 Haskell Garrett 0.9678 2017 DT   Jacolbe Cowan 0.9297 2020 DT

Again to my surprise, Day's average DL recruit is rated higher than Urban's average DL recruit and it's not as close as I thought it would be. Again, the top 10 might be misleading due to the pure volume of Urban's DL recruits (32 DL recruits compared to 15 for Day). 53.3% of Day's DL recruits are rated over 0.95, compared to 46.875% for Urban. 25% of Urban's class is over 0.975 compared to 20% for Day but that wasn't enough to overcome the fact that 37.5% of Urban's DL recruits were rated < 0.9 (26.6% for Day).

We're still waiting for DL recruiting in the 2023 class to take off. There are a number of recruits the staff are currently actively pursuing (Keon Keeley, Matayo Uiagalelei, Jason Moore, Damon Wilson, etc.) who would all find themselves on Day's top 10 DL recruits leaderboard. Hopefully the staff can get the job done.

LB Recruiting Overview

AVG. LB RECRUIT COMPARISON
Year Urban Avg Day Avg
2012 0.915375  
2013 0.962400  
2014 0.964133  
2015 0.948350  
2016 0.923850  
2017 0.946700  
2018 0.935775  
2019   0.922650
2020   0.929400
2021   0.961500
2022   0.975550
2023   N/A yet :)
AVG 0.93998 0.94326
TOP 10 LB RECRUITS FOR URBAN AND DAY
Rank Urban Recruit Score Year Position   Day Recruit Score Year Position
1 Baron Browning 0.9940 2017 OLB   C.J. Hicks 0.9948 2022 LB
2 Raekwon McMillan 0.9896 2014 ILB   Cody Simon 0.9660 2020 ILB
3 Justin Hilliard 0.9851 2015 OLB   Reid Carrico 0.9615 2021 LB
4 Teradja Mitchell 0.9771 2018 ILB   Gabe Powers 0.9563 2022 LB
5 Mike Mitchell 0.9747 2013 OLB   Cade Stover 0.9487 2019 OLB
6 Dante Booker 0.9743 2014 OLB   Kourt Williams 0.9291 2020 OLB
7 Keandre Jones 0.9544 2016 OLB   Tommy Eichenberg 0.8966 2019 ILB
8 Trey Johnson 0.9501 2013 ILB   Mitchell Melton 0.8931 2020 OLB
9 Joshua Perry 0.9454 2012 OLB   N/A N/A N/A N/A
10 Camren Williams 0.9353 2012 OLB   N/A N/A N/A N/A

At this point I just feel like I should've copy pasted what I was going to write because, once again, Ryan Day edged out Urban Meyer. This time for the average LB recruit's rating for each coach. 50% of Day's LB recruits have had greater than a 0.95 rating, compared to 42% for Urban. This was enough to overcome the fact that 25% of Day's LB recruits have had less than a 0.9 rating, compared to 15.79% for Urban.

Similar to the DL, we're still waiting on LB recruiting to take off for the 2023 class. Specifically, most fans are hoping for the trifecta of Troy Bowles, Tackett Curtis, and Arvell Reece, all of who currently have a rating > 0.9 and whose average would be 0.9473. With their current rating all 3 of these LB recruits would make Day's top 10 (with 2 of them being top 4). Fingers crossed Knowles and company can continue building on their momentum.

CB Recruiting Overview

AVG. CB RECRUIT COMPARISON
Year Urban Avg Day Avg
2012 0.949100  
2013 0.960233  
2014 0.978350  
2015 0.895800  
2016 0.865133  
2017 0.955800  
2018 0.893350  
2019   N/A
2020   0.892700
2021   0.971250
2022   0.910800
2023   0.954000
AVG 0.92508 0.93513
TOP 10 CB RECRUITS FOR URBAN AND DAY
Rank Urban Recruit Score Year Position   Day Recruit Score Year Position
1 Jeff Okudah 0.9955 2017 CB   Jakailin Johnson 0.9745 2021 CB
2 Shaun Wade 0.9904 2017 CB   Jordan Hancock 0.9680 2021 CB
3 Damon Webb 0.9830 2014 CB   Dijon Johnson 0.9540 2023 CB
4 Eli APple 0.9749 2013 CB   Jyaire Brown 0.9237 2022 CB
5 Marshon Lattimore 0.9737 2014 CB   Ryan Turner 0.8979 2022 CB
6 Cameron Burrows 0.9729 2013 CB   Lejond Cavazos 0.8927 2020 CB
7 Eric Glover-Williams 0.9538 2015 CB   N/A N/A N/A N/A
8 Armani Reeves 0.9491 2012 CB   N/A N/A N/A N/A
9 Kendall Sheffield 0.9438 2017 CB   N/A N/A N/A N/A
10 Gareon Conley 0.9329 2013 CB   N/A N/A N/A N/A

Day's average CB recruit is also slightly higher rated than that of Meyer. This is helped by 50% of Day's CB recruits being rated > 0.95, comapred to 33% for Meyer. Day is being helped a bit here by sample size so it'll be interersting to see how CB recruiting goes in the next couple years. I for one am also interested in seeing Tim Walton getting the best out of our guys on the field; it already seems like he's been a great asset on the recruiting trail for us.

The 2023 class already has top 100 CB Dijon Johnson in the fold. Currently it looks like the staff are trying to round out the class with 3 more CBs and they've been actively recruiting a number of them (Jermaine Matthews, Kayin Lee, Calvin Simpson-Hunt, etc.). There even have been recent rumors that the Buckeyes have been trending upwards for the nation's 1 overall recruit in the 2023 class, CB Cormani McClain. It'll be fun to see how things shake out.

S Recruiting Overview

AVG. S RECRUIT COMPARISON
Year Urban Avg Day Avg
2012 0.91140  
2013 0.95170  
2014 0.96950  
2015 N/A  
2016 N/A  
2017 0.97120  
2018 0.97580  
2019   0.91205
2020   0.92460
2021   0.91290
2022   0.99370
2023   0.92740
AVg 0.95231 0.92605
TOP 10 S RECRUITS FOR URBAN AND DAY
Rank Urban Recruit Score Year Position   Day Recruit Score Year Position
1 Vonn Bell 0.9876 2013 S   Sonny Styles 0.9937 2022 S
2 Tyreke Johnson 0.9876 2018 S   Ronnie Hickman 0.9485 2019 S
3 Isaiah Pryor 0.9712 2017 S   Malik Hartford 0.9352 2023 S
4 Erick Smith 0.9695 2014 S   Lathan Ransom 0.9286 2020 S
5 Josh Proctor 0.9640 2018 S   Andre Turrentine 0.9269 2021 S
6 De'van Bogard 0.9239 2012 S   Jantzen Dunn 0.9267 2021 S
7 Jayme Thompson 0.9158 2013 S   Ryan Watts 0.9206 2020 S
8 Najee Murray 0.8989 2012 S   Cedrick Hawkins 0.9196 2023 S
9 N/A N/A N/A N/A   Jaylen Johnson 0.8851 2021 S
10 N/A N/A N/A N/A   Bryson Shaw 0.8756 2019 S

The first defensive victory for Urban! His average safety recruit's rating is clearly higher than that of Day. In fact, this might be our first position group where Ryan Day has recruited more players in number than Urban Meyer (10 v 8 recruits) (helped by the 0 S recruits in 2015 and 2016, Urban's S recruits those years were ATHs). 62.5% of Urban's S recruits were rated > 0.95, compared to 10% for Day. Hopefully Knowles can get this fixed QUICK, and he's trying to get his first elite S committment in the #1 S in the 2023 class, Caleb Downs. Downs is one of the most important recruiting battles of the 2023 class in my opinion when considering the need for elite safties (yes we have Sonny Styles but we need more imo) for Knowles defense and the importance the staff is putting on Georgia. Looking forward to the 2024 class, there are a number of elite safeties the staff are communicating with (Peyton Woodward, Zaquan Patterson, Mike Matthews, etc.). This continues for the 2025 class as well (DJ Pickett). Hopefully Caleb Downs can be the first domino to fall.

Secondary Recruiting Overview

AVG. SECONDARY RECRUIT COMPARISON
Year Urban Avg Day Avg
2012 0.923967  
2013 0.956820  
2014 0.975400  
2015 0.895800  
2016 0.865133  
2017 0.958367  
2018 0.934575  
2019   0.912050
2020   0.913967
2021   0.936240
2022   0.938433
2023   0.936267
AVG 0.932590 0.929456
TOP 10 SECONDARY RECRUITS FOR URBAN AND DAY
Rank Urban Recruit Score Year Position   Day Recruit Score Year Position
1 Jeff Okudah 0.9955 2017 CB   Sonny Styles 0.9937 2022 S
2 Shaun Wade 0.9904 2017 CB   Jakailin Johnson 0.9745 2021 CB
3 Vonn Bell 0.9876 2013 S   Jordan Hancock 0.9680 2021 CB
4 Tyreke Johnson 0.9876 2018 S   Dijon Johnson 0.9540 2023 CB
5 Damon Webb 0.9830 2014 CB   Ronnie Hickman 0.9485 2019 S
6 Eli Apple 0.9749 2013 CB   Malik Hartford 0.9352 2023 S
7 Marshon Lattimore 0.9737 2014 CB   Lathan Ransom 0.9286 2020 S
8 Cameron Burrows 0.9729 2013 CB   Andre Turrentine 0.9269 2021 S
9 Isaiah Pryor 0.9712 2017 S   Jantzen Dunn 0.9267 2021 S
10 Erick Smith 0.9695 2014 S   Jyaire Brown 0.8756 2022 CB

I wanted to do a quick secondary comparison as well since the other two levels of the defense were compared. Due to the difference in safety recruits, Urban also has a higher average secondary recruit rating compared to Day. This is driven by 41.38% of Urban's secondary recruits having greater than a 0.95 rating, compared to 25% for Day.

ATH Recruiting Overview

AVG. ATH RECRUIT COMPARISON
Year Urban Avg Day Avg
2012 0.879600  
2013 0.863500  
2014 0.924900  
2015 0.965500  
2016 0.881867  
2017 0.942100  
2018 0.945400  
2019   0.893050
2020   0.895800
2021   0.921400
2022   0.897500
2023   N/A
AVG 0.91216 0.90016
TOP 10 ATH RECRUITS FOR URBAN AND DAY
Rank Urban Recruit Score Year Position   Day Recruit Score Year Position
1 Curtis Samuel 0.9721 2014 ATH   Denzel Burke 0.9214 2021 ATH
2 Jerome Baker 0.9697 2015 ATH   Steele Chambers 0.9126 2019 ATH
3 Torrance Gibson 0.9613 2015 ATH   Kye Stokes 0.8975 2022 ATH
4 L'Christian Smith 0.9454 2018 ATH   Cameron Martinez 0.8958 2020 ATH
5 Brendon White 0.9421 2017 ATH   Craig Young 0.8735 2019 ATH
6 Jordan Fuller 0.9403 2016 ATH   N/A N/A N/A N/A
7 Sam Hubbard 0.9230 2014 ATH   N/A N/A N/A N/A
8 Noah Brown 0.9187 2014 ATH   N/A N/A N/A N/A
9 Malik Hooker 0.8858 2014 ATH   N/A N/A N/A N/A
10 Tyvis Powell 0.8796 2012 ATH   N/A N/A N/A N/A

I didn't include ATHs in specific positions so I've grouped all of them here at the bottom. The calculations above are for all ATHs recruited by each coach but I did some manual calculations based on if the recruit played on O or D. Urban's ATH recruits who ended up playing O had an average of 0.949375. This would have moved Urban's average offense recruit rating to 0.92604. Urban's ATH recruits who ended up playing D had an average of 0.89728, compared to 0.90016 for Day. This would change Urban's average defensive recruit's rating to 0.9292977 and Day's average to 0.932538.

 

If you've made it this far thanks for reading! Would love to hear your takeaway below!

This is a forum post from a site member. It does not represent the views of Eleven Warriors unless otherwise noted.

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