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Vegas Insiders Would Still Favor OSU over Michigan in a Rematch...

+10 HS
MAXIDON's picture
November 28, 2022 at 2:45pm
44 Comments

Thought this was interesting, though it wont make us feel any better (probably will make some of us feel worse) but OSU would most likely be a -2 to -3.5 favorite on a neutral field despite losing badly to Michigan at home. This according to Vegas sports book and analytics experts Chris Andrews, Ed Feng etc. Primary reasons

1) UM scored primarily on explosive plays. Which, as Bill Connelly has preached, have a huge random component to them. Ie I doubt we would sit in Cover 0 again if we had a rematch. UM would have to find another way to score

2) The OSU offense was still elite. Outplaying the UM offense at a statistical success rate of 47.4% compared to 37.9%

Again none of this matters....probably. There is still the slim chance we could play them again in the playoffs. It also gives us a little insight into how interesting rematches will become once B1G divisions go away. We all saw Georgia and Alabama 

 

 

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