Let’s state the obvious, OSU is the underdog and even after completely thumping Clemson they are given zero respect/no chance.
Next reason:
I look at numbers, and typically numbers don’t lie. Alabama’s closest game this year was with Florida. Now Florida’s defense isn’t anything special. Their defense ranks 51st in FPI while their offense comes in at 4. Now, I mention this because the BEST defense Bama has seen this year is Georgia’s (#12) and won 41-24.
Now how OSU stacks up. OSU has beaten the #2, 3, 6 ranked defenses by scoring an average of 37.6 points.
Alabama hasn’t seen an animal like OSU yet. I understand Florida’s offense is #4, with their defense being #51, and Bama only won by 6. OSU on the other hand has the #2 offense and #8.
I will leave you all with this. Clemson had the #25 passing defense, Bama has the #77 pass defense. The Tide have no idea what’s coming tonight. I’ll call it one last time, OSU by +10