Preview: #3 Ohio State vs #1 Michigan State

By Joe Beale on March 10, 2012 at 10:31p
25 Comments
"Can someone tell me who's idea this was?"Tom Izzo is hoping for a "300" performance.
Ohio State Buckeyes #7 Ohio State 27-6, 13-5 Big Ten Roster | Schedule 3:30 PM ET - CBS —— Banker's Life Fieldhouse Indianapolis, IN Michigan State Spartans #8 Michigan State 26-7, 13-5 Big Ten Roster | Schedule

There is a sense of familiarity in this preview that I'm writing today. Is it because Ohio State is aiming for their third straight Big Ten Tournament title? No, actually it's because today the Buckeyes are once again taking on the Spartans of Michigan State on a Sunday and once again there are title implications. I previewed this exact match-up one week ago, and also previewed it for a Saturday night tilt back on Feb. 11, and so the outlines should be etched in stone by now.

Yesterday OSU dispatched the erstwhile B1G co-champion Michigan Wolverines in rather dominating fashion, pounding the boards and owning the paint on their way to a 77-55 victory. Meanwhile, the Spartans took care of their end of business by clubbing the Badgers of Wisconsin over the head 65-52 in the first game of the day.

The implications of this game go beyond mere conference hardware. With Syracuse, Duke, and Kansas losing in their respective conference tournaments, the list of teams to get #1 seeds in the NCAA tournament has become a bit more crowded. The winner of today's game will hold bragging rights as the best team in the nation's best conference, and will have an excellent argument to join Kentucky et al on that elite list when the selection show begins to reveal the much anticipated NCAA dance card.

# Name YR HT/WT PTS REB ASST P # Name YR HT/WT PTS REB ASST
4 A. Craft SO 6-1/190 8.7 3.1 4.6 G 11 K. Appling SO 6-1/190 11.5 3.0 3.9
32 L. Smith Jr. SO 6-4/205 6.1 4.5 2.1 G 30 B. Wood SR 6-2/190 8.3 3.0 2.0
44 W. Buford SR 6-6/220 15.0 4.9 3.0 F 13 A. Thornton SR 6-5/205 5.0 3.4 1.2
1 D. Thomas SO 6-7/225 15.3 5.0 0.9 F 23 D. Green SR 6-7/230 16.3 10.3 3.6
0 J. Sullinger SO 6-9/265 17.3 9.4 1.2 C 5 A. Payne SO 6-10/240 7.0 4.1 0.3

Opponent

At this point in the season, and having played twice already, the two teams are very familiar with each other. Still, Tom Izzo gives the Spartans an advantage in any match-up because of how well he prepares a team to play. He is also a master motivator, using stunts like the one pictured above to fire up his team. He'll need all the advantages he can get to stop a red-hot OSU squad that is on a mission at the moment. 

One player who will not be available for the Spartans this time around is freshman forward Branden Dawson, who has just undergone knee surgery to repair a torn ACL suffered in the game last Sunday. Dawson was MSU's 3rd leading scorer and their 2nd leading rebounder, as well as being a decent defender. They will compensate for this loss by moving 6'5" guard Austin Thornton down to forward and starting 6'2" senior guard Brandon Wood.

Wood is usually the guy who comes off the bench to give the Spartans some scoring spark. He gives them some extra outside-shooting and ball-handling to go with his senior leadership. Wood is not much of a drive-to-the-hoop guy in a half-court set, but he's deadly in the transition game, especially when he pulls up and shoots from distance. He kept the Spartans' attack going last week with several timely baskets on transition opportunities. Whether the loss of Dawson hurts MSU's usually stout rebounding presence remains to be seen. 

Draymond Green's contributions to Michigan State's season have been well-documented. But equally important to the team's chances today will be the contributions of Keith Appling. Appling is the spark that lights the fire in MSU's offense, and when he is getting to the hoop at will or popping it from outside, it opens up opportunities for the rest of the team. Sparty cannot afford for him to be bottled up by Aaron Craft today.

MSU's defense is stifling and they give up points almost as reluctantly as Ohio State does. Green and sophomore center Adreian Payne clog up the middle, forcing teams to try to beat them from the perimeter. Payne is not much of an offensive threat, but he can be lethal if you allow him to pound the offensive glass and ram home missed shots. Also, his back-up Derrick Nix can provide some points off the bench. Nix averages almost 8 points a game, but he has come on of late, scoring 11 against the Buckeyes and 9 in each of the first two B1G tournament games. 

Buckeye Breakdown:

Ohio State is in prime position to earn a #1 seed in the Big Dance due to their recent resurgence. After the February swoon, many pundits and observers of the game had written them off as an elite team and were debating whether the Buckeyes would get a 2 or a 3 seed. Now that they are running on all cylinders, and while other supposedly-elite teams are stumbling, it's time to seize the day and "become who you were born to be". 

Matta drives his team to victory over MSU in the 2009 B1G tourney (Our Honor Defend)Sparty always brings out Matta's best.

One Buckeye who seems to be seizing the tournament by the neck is Deshaun Thomas. The sophomore forward has averaged 22 points in the tourney thus far and has shot a sizzling 19/28 from the field. The renewed emphasis on getting the ball inside has benefitted Thomas and he has been murder on his opponents. 

What I have noticed in general in the two B1G tournament games is how OSU has emphasized quickly moving the ball inside. By comparison, it seemed that the Buckeye guards were hesitating to get it to the big men earlier and that extra second or two that they used allowed the defense to get in position and led to many charge calls on Sully in the paint. Now it looks like right off the ball screen Sully is rolling into the post and the guards are whipping the ball inside quickly before the defense is prepared. This has led to many more good looks and far fewer charge calls.

I've also noticed quite a bit more activity on defense. Sullinger is actually hedging on ball screens now and forcing opposing guards to make a decision on how to attack. He still gets lazy and hangs back from time to time, but in general I see him being more active and forcing double-team traps much more often. This was evident last night whenever Trey Burke tried to move past a ball screen; he was immediately trapped between Sully and Craft and forced to back out and re-start the offense.

Finally, Ohio State has been more patient with the offense in these last two games and it has led to many more open looks for the shooters. It's amazing how your shooting percentage from distance goes up when you can just stand there and compose your shot for a second or two before any defender runs out at you. As a result, this statistic for OSU has improved a bit for the season and now all 5 starters are above 35% shooting from beyond the arc. This could be huge in the NCAA's.

Etc

  • The Buckeyes have won two of three conference tournament meetings with the Spartans, winning the last matchup 82-70 in the 2009 semifinals (see picture). They've also won four of the last five meetings overall.
  • With the win over Michigan yesterday, the Buckeyes improved to 19-8 in Big Ten tournament play, including wins in eight-consecutive outings, a record win streak for any league school. 
  • Once again CBS will have the game today with Jim Nantz doing play-by-play and Buckeye legend Clark Kellogg providing commentary. Presumably, Steve Kerr will also be around for extra (superfluous) commentary like he was for the game yesterday.
25 Comments

Comments

buckeyedude's picture

I saw 300. Very good film. But, Meet the Spartans was good too...

Let's go Buckeyes!

 

 

 

741's picture

I don't care what anybody says, I think Carmen Electra is hot.

BuckeyeChris's picture

So, everything I am hearing says that, regardless of the outcome today, we're a likely 2 seed. It's only a question of where. Is that what you guys/girls are hearing? 

slippy's picture

Uh, not sure if that's a typo or if that's what they're really listed at but is there really any chance in hell that Draymond Green and DT are only 5 lbs apart at the same height?

Joe Beale's picture

That's how ESPiN has them listed. You were thinking that Green must be a lot heavier? Just remember, muscle is heavier than fat. ;)

LadyBuck's picture

I thought Green was a couple inches taller than DT for sure. It looked that way Sunday, at least.

LadyBuck's picture

Yes! I just finished a LotR extended edition marathon last weekend. That is definitely one of the best scenes in the series. If this works for today, I say we adopt it for the rest of March. 

On a more basketbally note, Deshaun Thomas has been stepping up and scoring like none other this tournament. Some of the put-backs he has are mind boggling. I have to admit, the thought of him on the starting line-up with his shot selection, or lack thereof, scared me to some degree earlier this season. However, he's definitely an improved player. He has been tons of fun to watch grow up this year.

Johnny Ginter's picture

NEVERMIND, just saw it, i'm dumb

LadyBuck's picture

LOL. I was wondering what was up with the pensive baby.

BuiltfortheNuthouse's picture

What's really going to help us is that sullinger is becoming a rim protector, in the last two games he's had 5 blocks (combined).

" I went for two cause I couldn't go for three." 
-woody Hayes 

Packer3Baller's picture

Loving what Deshaun is doing in the post in this tournament. Indy is his city, and he is playing like it. If he and Sully both get to the twenty point plateau, I don't see how we lose. Provided Day-Day doesn't go for 40. GO BUCKS! 

If winning isn't everything, why do they keep score?

PharmBuck's picture

FWIW, I've heard from a good source that Sullinger has been playing on a hurt foot for some time now, which would explain some of the poor efforts. He seems to have gotten over the pain lately though.

"You're pissed because we went after a committed guy? Guess what, we got 9 guys who better go do it again," said Meyer. "Do it a little harder next time."

awwwwwwop's picture

Lunardi just said that the winner of this game is a #1 regardless of who it is fwiw

"Who cares? Go Bucks." - Aaron Untch

Johnny Ginter's picture

if OSU is a one seed i won't complain but i'll probably make this face:

: I

osubuckeye4life's picture

The winner of today's final regular season game pitting the top teams in the toughest conference deserves a number one seed.

Linardi now has Mich St. as the final number 1 in the West and OSU as the 2 in the South. 

Let's GO BUCKS!!!!

Chris Lauderback's picture

Impressive stats on Matta from Baptist's blog yesterday. Seriously:

In 12 years as a head coach at Ohio State, Xavier and Butler, Matta's teams have won eight conference championships and six conference tournament titles and played in the title game another three times.

In six years before that as a Division I assistant, his teams won four conference titles and four tournament titles.

http://www.buckeyextra.com/content/blogs/hoops-and-scoops/2012/03/03-10-...

Now if he can just carry over more of that in the Big Dance...

 

 

Buckeyebrowny919's picture

am i the only one that doesn't want a #1 seed in Pheonix?

To give anything less than your best, is to sacrifice the gift - Steve Prefontaine

Chris Lauderback's picture

The #1 seed in the B1G tourney is 6-2 in title games. The #3 seed is 1-1. The top seed has won 4 of last 5 B1G tournaments.

JakeBuckeye's picture

THE MAN Joe Linardi says the winner gets a one seed. Shit just got real.

osubuckeye4life's picture

The thing is if we beat Mich St. we won't be the West number one since the opening rounds are played in cbus right? Would the committee flip flop us and UNC?

 

Teddy V and Kitts no Hightower on the title game for the first time in many years.

JakeBuckeye's picture

The location of the games switch by who is what seed. For example when Lindardi had Kansas as the number one seed out West their opening round games would have been played at Omaha. If we get the number one out West I'd imagine we'd play in Greensboro or somewhere.

Chris Lauderback's picture

Kitts, Wymer and...wait for it...Valentine.

Kitts is still the worst official in CBB though.

VestedInterest's picture

I'm sure there is a collective facepalm from both camps, so it seems like a wash, but gametime will tell the tale of the tape.

Buckeyebrowny919's picture

foul fest '12

To give anything less than your best, is to sacrifice the gift - Steve Prefontaine