Here are the latest odds of making the College Football Playoffs (CFP) as estimated by FiveThirtyEight. They calculate the odds based on future chances of teams winning, and on the chances if a team "wins out" all the remaining contests.
| Team | Probability % | If Win Out % |
| Michigan State (8-1) | 9 | 97 |
| Michigan (8-1) | 17 | 85 |
| Ohio State (8-1) | 42 | 98 |
| Oregon (8-1) | 37 | 98 |
| Oklahoma (9-0) | 45 | 99 |
| Oklahoma State (8-1) | 25 | 98 |
| Texas A&M (7-2) | 14 | 54 |
| Georgia (9-0) | 80 | 99 |
| Alabama (8-1) | 53 | 99 |
| Cincinnati (9-0) | 30 | 62 |
| Notre Dame (8-1) | 14 | 31 |
And so if you win your "Power 5" conference, then you are in with near 100% certainty -- unless you are Michigan or Texas A&M.
If you are not in a "Power 5" conference, like Cincinnati and Notre Dame, then you are probably out regardless.
Get all the details here:
https://www.yahoo.com/sports/fivethirtyeight-updates-ohio-state-chances-...
