Bucks Still Big Bet in Vegas: OSU's National Title Odds Are Falling

By DJ Byrnes on August 29, 2014 at 12:00p
Corey Smith, Dontre Wilson, Mike Thomas

Left to Right: Corey Smith, Dontre Wilson and Mike Thomas at OSU's media day [Walt Keys, ElevenWarriors.com]

18 Comments

A lot of people in the national media scene, upon hearing of Braxton Miller's season-ending injury, immediately wrote off Ohio State's 2014 campaign. Odds rocketed over night from 12:1 to 50:1.

Those closest to the team, however, were confident in Ohio State's ability to respond. Sure, Braxton Miller was a loss, but Urban Meyer's recruiting efforts were about to come to fruition with or without Braxton.

That is to say, Ohio State will still be a damned fine football team.

And it appears Vegas may have overestimated the loss of Braxton a bit as well. Ohio State's national title odds have already been bet down to 20:1. The opening line to Navy dripped from (-19) to (-13), but it now stands at (-16½).

The LVH sportsbook, for example, originally listed Ohio State as (-17½) favorites, and despite being nicked due to Braxton's injury, the line has been bet back up to (-16½).

From Dave Briggs of The Toledo Blade:

“On our side of the counter, we’re scratching our heads,” LVH sports book director Jay Kornegay told The Blade. “We were having a discussion about it the other day. So, is Barrett just looking really good in practice? Does it look like they’re not missing a beat? ... There's no way I would ever have thought going from Miller to Barrett would be worth one point.”

What's some reasoning behind the Navy line's fluctuation?

“We got flooded with even more OSU money, including a little bit of respected money,” said Dave Mason, Bet Online’s sports book brand manager, in an online message. “Sure, Miller’s injury is big, but OSU still has a ton more talent, including Barrett, than Navy. Since the number went back up to 16.5, we are still getting hit with Buckeye money.

“Navy will be one of our bigger needs come Saturday. Already, 77 percent of the action is on the Buckeyes. ... Obviously, the bettors have faith in OSU’s young quarterback.”

As Kenny Hill and Texas A&M proved last night... the talent surrounding the quarterback can go a long way.

Ohio State, even sans Braxton, is a young, talented and hungry team with a chip on their shoulder. Bettors are just catching up to what Ohio State fans have known since the beginning.

18 Comments

Comments

Mortc15's picture

If I weren't a broke college student, 50:1 odds on OSU, I'd have put maybe $200 down on that. That's a big time payout if they ended up not missing much of a step between the qbs. I can totally understand why people are still betting OSU, but i can also see why the oddsmakers are in disbelief, too.
 

Buck-I4Life

+2 HS
Buckeye BadDog's picture

Well, I for one am not surprised in the least.

“There are only two ways to live your life. One is as though nothing is a miracle. The other is as though everything is a miracle.”
- Albert Einstein

"Nothing that comes easy is worth a dime." - Woody Hayes

+1 HS
AndyVance's picture

This is great and all, but what would Warren G. Harding do with these odds, and who would he have to kill to bankroll the parlay?

+3 HS
Squirrel Master's picture

As I said, the #5 ranking wasn't just because of Braxton, this is a hell of a team. top Dline, 4-5 speedy weapons on offense, stable of running backs, great Oline coach and talent across the board.

JT might be considered the weak link, I don't, but he is far from a Joe Bauserman situation.

I saw a UFO once.......it told me to have a goodyear!

+1 HS
kalabuckzoo's picture

Unsuccessful in posting an image of it, but espn has West Virginia as 26 point favorites for the Alabama game.  Hey espn, will you take my bet?

http://scores.espn.go.com/ncf/scoreboard

+2 HS
droessl's picture

LOL.. i'd put ALL THE MONEY on Bama +26

+1 HS
BuckeyeSouth's picture

Wisconsin -6 @ LSU is a bit surprising as well.

Embrace it.

kalabuckzoo's picture

that one is flipped as well.

brandonbauer87's picture

I actually logged in last night to take the 50:1, and saw it had dropped to 20:1. I'm not as interested anymore. 

+1 HS
causeicouldntgo43's picture

At least you didn't bet when it was 12:1 before the torn labrum. 20:1 is still not too bad, but not nearly as good as 50:1. I was ready to put down some coin down at 50:1 as well.

+1 HS
BucksHave7's picture

I always ask myself this question heading into the new season.   Would this years Buckeye team beat last year's Buckeye team head to head?    I actually would take this years team.  Im expecting the Defense and Return Game to be much stronger this year, making up for the dropoff without Braxton.

BucksHave7

PittBuckeye's picture

The money is going to come rolling in on OSU at 50:1 because they have a lot of talent, and it's a very high reward bet. And when the money comes in the odds drop. None of this really proves anything, it also doesn't say a whole lot about peoples perception of Ohio State. Just that of all the teams with really long odds Ohio State was by far the best bet due to LV's knee jerk reaction to Miller going down.

+1 HS
jsbuckeye's picture

I got in right away on the 50:1 heres to hoping!!!!!!

+5 HS
Gobucks2204's picture

I just wish I could have bet on the Cavs before Lebron came home to Cleveland.

+2 HS
BuckeyeJAK's picture

I can actually see our offense looking better. Less predictable and not so willing to rely on just Braxton  Gooooooooooo Bucks!!!!!!!!!

Mark May is a mental midget

AeroBuckeye2001's picture

The Ohio State University Class of 2001
BS Aero & Astronautical Engineering

+1 HS
JohnnyKozmo's picture

You are going to get that long of odds ever again for OSU while Meyer is there, and while Brax was a big piece, he was only 1 piece.

The line on a game will move as more people bet one way or the other.  So as more people bet OSU, the line goes up, because the casinos have to limit how much they pay out.

socalbuck2014's picture

I was in vegas this week I saw the line at -13. By the time I left it jumped 3.5 points.. I was too busy playing craps to place a bet. I dont see how Navy keeps this close. Ohio state can score on d amd special teams.

Im also shocked with the complete lack of respect for Rod Smith. Tomorrow he goes beast mode for 200 yards on 12 carries.

Pay it forward