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Tiebreaker Watch

+5 HS
ziplock007's picture
November 5, 2023 at 10:49am
30 Comments

All,

We all know by now the Tiebreaker if there's a triangulation by the B1G 3.

This calculation assumes all finish 11-1.  Therefore, I'm penciling in an extra Loss for Minnesota on week 12 against OSU.

  • OSU's B1G Worst Slate: Wisconsin, Minnesota, Purdue
  • Stalion's B1G Worst Slate: Nebraska, Minnesta, Purdue
    • yes, OSU and Stalion share two common opponents, therefore it comes down to Wisconsin vs. Nebraska (Nov 18th, stay tuned)
  • PSU's B1G Worst Slate: Illinois, NW, Iowa (no common opponents)

This is getting close... Iowa over Wisconsin (who's QB broke his hand) really hurts.  Iowa is the only of the 7 combined crossovers with a winning conference record (wow).

Yesterday wasn't helpful either as Illinois edged Minnesota and Indiana shocked Wisconsin... Fortunately, the Spartans actually won a conference game over Nebraska (Michigan's only non-shared opponent).

Here's the current calculations (*WHICH ASSUMES Minnesota loses to OSU in 2 weeks, thus an extra loss)

What do we have here?
OSU W L TTUN W L PSU W L
Wisconsin 3 3 Nebraska 3 3 Illinois 2 4
Minnesota 3 4* Minnesota 3 4* Northwestern 2 4
Purdue 1 5 Purdue 1 5 Iowa 4 2
                 
Grand Total 7 12   7 12   8 10

Well, what to root for next week (again, this all assumes 11-1 by the trinity, thus PSU > Stalion's next week)

  • Wisconsin is the key
    • Can they triumph over Northwestern next week?
    • (And Over Nebraska in 2 weeks?)
  • Can Rutgers please beat Iowa next week... perhaps they'll polish up their redzone offense a bit and learn to throw accurate passes in the first half
  • Indy over Illinois next week?

I understand Michigan is going through investigations for certain misgivings and their post-season eligibility is not 100% certain... and this is all moot when OSU goes 12-0 (likely since they will have new signals by then).

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