Given just their records, average scoring margin, their opponents W-L records, and a small measure of opponents' quality how would you rank these nameless FBS teams for the CFP? Assume that all P-5 conferences are relatively equal, thus a win over a 5-5 SEC team is equal to a win over a 5-5 B1G team.
Try to be objective as possible, and avoid trying to guess who the teams are. I'll edit this post with the answer key tomorrow.
| TEAM | REC | avg score margin | FBS OPP REC | P-5 OPP REC | P-5 OPP REC (W) | P-5 OPP REC (L) | WINS OVER P5 OPP > .500 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A | 10-0 | 22.6 | 45-56 .446 | 30-40 .428 | 30-40 .428 | NA | 1 |
| B | 10-0 | 13.7 | 36-51 .413 | 29-38 .432 | 29-38 .432 | NA | 3 |
| C | 10-0 | 18.3 | 52-38 .578 | 44-36 .550 | 44-36 .550 | NA | 4 |
| D | 10-0 | 15.0 | 42-48 .467 | 41-39 .513 | 41-39 .513 | NA | 3 |
| E | 9-1 | 26.4 | 45-53 .459 | 35-43 .448 | 31-37 .455 | 4-6 | 3 |
| F | 9-1 | 17.6 | 61-38 .616 | 55-24 .696 | 48-21 .695 | 7-3 | 7 |
| G | 9-1 | 14.7 | 55-44 .556 | 37-33 .528 | 27-33 .450 | 10-0 | 2 |
| H | 8-1 | 26.8 | 31-48 .392 | 26-33 .441 | 17-32 .347 | 9-1 | 2 |
| I | 9-1 | 13.6 | 49-49 .500 | 43-36 .544 | 36-34 .514 | 7-2 | 3 |
| J | 9-1 | 10.6 | 49-52 .485 | 31-40 .436 | 26-34 .433 | 5-6 | 2 |
| K | 9-1 | 20.8 | 36-44 .450 | 36-44 .450 | 33-37 .471 | 3-7 | 3 |
AVG SCORE MARGIN - Average scoring margin including losses
P5 OPP REC (W) - Record of P5 opponents a team defeated
P5 OPP REC (L) - Record of P5 opponents a team lost to
WINS OVER P5 OPP > .500 - P5 opponents with winning records a team defeated
| RANK | AVG RANK | LTR | TEAM | BEST P-5/CFP Ranked WINS |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | C | Clemson | ND(9-1), Miami (6-4), NC St (6-4), FSU (8-2) |
| 2 | 2.67 | D | Iowa | Pitt (7-3), Wisc (8-2), Northwestern (8-2) |
| 3 | 3.17 | F | 'Bama | Wisc (8-2), UGA (7-3), Ark (6-4), A&M (7-3), Tenn (6-4), LSU (7-2), Miss St (7-3). |
| 4 | 4.33 | A | tOSU | PSU (7-3) |
| 5 | 5.5 | B | Ok State | WVU (5-4), Tex Tech (6-5), TCU (8-1) |
| 6 | 6.17 | G | ND | USC (7-3), Pitt (7-3) plus Navy (8-1) |
| 7 | 6.5 | E | OU | Tenn (6-4), WVU (5-4), Tex Tech (6-5), Baylor (8-1)+ |
| 8 | 7.67 | I | UF | Tenn (6-4), Ole Miss (7-3), UGA (7-3) |
| 9 | 8.83 | H | Baylor | Tex Tech (6-5), WVU (5-4) |
| 10 | 9.17 | K | UNC | Pitt (7-3), Duke (6-4), Miami (6-4) |
| 11 | 11 | J | MSU | Ore (7-3), TTUN (8-2) |
+Mea Culpa - I failed to give OU credit in the last column for its best win, Baylor, giving the Sooners 4 wins over P-5 schools with a winning record. I did however count it in the other columns. That may have edged OU ahead of ND, so call it a tie for 6th between OU and the Irish.
Unanimous #1 this week - Clemson
Unanimous #11 - Sparty
Buckeyes received rankings between 2 and 9, with mean of 4.33 and mode of 4.
