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Quarterback Regression

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SilverHaven's picture
September 25, 2015 at 2:48am
57 Comments

As Coach Urban Meyer puts it, "discombobulating" things are happening with the Buckeye offense, especially with the quarterbacks.  A telling statistic that demonstrates this, but is not being mentioned, is the quarterback rating or QBR.  Those have dropped to unimaginable levels. For the starting QB Cardale Jones, the QBR has plunged this year from 87 to 6.  That's right, the single digit 6 is not a typo.

cardale Cmplt atmpt pct yds td int qbr
2014 Year 56 92 60.9 860 7 2 58.7
Virginia Tech 10 19 52.6 187 2 1 87.4
Hawaii 12 18 66.7 111 0 0 42.7
Northern Illinois 4 9 44.4 36 0 2   6.3

And of course, these QBR figures don't tell the whole story.  Cardale's longest pass against Hawaii went for 24 yards-- it was a "pop" pass in the back field to Jalin Marshall who ran for 24 yards.

The regression in performance has also happened to JT Barrett.  He had a sterling QBR of 83 for all of 2014.  He began 2015 against Virginia Tech with a perfect score of 100, one pass out of one attempt for over 20 yards and a TD, and one run for 40 yards.  But his QBR dropped to 17 in the Northern Illinois game.

JT cmplt atmpt pct yds td int qbr
2014 Year 203 314 64.7 2834 34 10 83.0
Virginia Tech 1 1 100.0 26 1 0 100.0
Hawaii 8 15 53.3 70 0 0 47.6
Northern Illinois 11 19 57.9 97 1 1 16.8

What is going on here with two good quarterbacks regressing?  An embarrassment of riches has become an embarrassment.

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