Preview: No. 4 Ohio State at No. 16 Northwestern

By Kyle Rowland on October 4, 2013 at 9:15a
31 Comments
Northwestern will rock all-blacks for Saturday's clash
Ohio State Buckeyes #4 Ohio State 5-0, 1-0 Big Ten Roster | Schedule 8:00 PM ET - ABC —— Ryan Field Evanston, IL [Tickets] Northwestern Wildcats #16 Northwestern 4-0, 0-0 Big Ten Roster | Schedule

Urban Meyer is making his first trip back to Evanston since a signature win early in his career. His first game as Bowling Green’s head coach resulted in a stunning win at Missouri, but the Falcons stumbled to three losses in the MAC. On Nov. 17, 2001, Meyer and Bowling Green were presented with another historic opportunity when they faced the defending Big Ten champions, Northwestern.

After four quarters, the scoreboard read: Bowling Green 43, Northwestern 42. And that scoreboard tells an incredible story.

The game was played in late November because the terrorist attacks of 9/11 canceled the original date. So the Falcons loaded the buses and headed to Evanston.

“Coaches are weird ducks, man. I don’t know my address, but I can tell you every play in that game,” Meyer said Monday.

Current Northwestern head coach Pat Fitzgerald was the Wildcats’ linebackers coach that day. And funny things happen when you lose. Asked if he remembered anything about the day, he couldn’t recall a single detail.

It was a back-and-forth game but only after Northwestern built a two-touchdown lead. From there, the teams traded points as if it were a basketball game. 

“It was a pretty memorable game,” Bowling Green offensive lineman Dennis Wendel said. “It seemed like we were down the whole game, always playing from behind. Every time we’d score a touchdown to pull within seven, they’d score again and go up 14.”

In the fourth quarter, the Falcons again pulled within seven. Even with plenty of time remaining, Meyer opted to go for the onside kick. The defense had offered little resistance all game, so defensive coordinator Tim Beckman unselfishly went along with the plan.

“It’s one of those memories that you’ll never forget as a player or coach,” Beckman said this week, looking back the game.

Northwestern is having some fun this week.
Northwestern is having some fun with this one.

The Wildcats recovered the kick and as they were running out the clock, All-Big Ten running back Damian Anderson fumbled. Bowling Green recovered.

“All they had to do was get a first down to run the clock out,” Wendel remembers. “It was a miracle we even got the ball.”

The Falcons marched down the field to score a touchdown with 36 seconds left. But Meyer was going for the win, a decision that was made midway through the fourth quarter. Bowling Green was an innovative team and had several trick plays in its back pocket each game. The one they chose to run against Northwestern was called “Wildcat.”

“We pitch it to a kid from Alaska (Cole Magner), and he goes in to score and we win,” Meyer said.

Sounds easy, and according to Wendel, it was. Asked if the team thought the play would work, he didn’t hesitate.

“Oh, yeah. Absolutely,” Wendel said. “We had a lot of plays like that each week. We did fun things with formations all year. I don’t know how many halfback passes and quarterback throwbacks we ran that season. Almost all of those plays worked.”

Bowling Green quarterback Josh Harris finished with over 500 yards of total offense and was named the national player of the week. The Falcons walloped arch-rival Toledo the next week to finish the season at 8-3, a six-game improvement from the previous year’s 2-9 record.

“It was basically Urban's big coming-out party,” Magner said. “That’s what I think makes Urban such a good coach. He really gets the most out of his guys. Maybe we had no business being in that game. But not a single player on the field felt that way. We always thought we had a chance to win, we always thought we were going to win. We’d be shocked if we lost.”

The following year, Bowling Green started the season 8-0 and climbed as high as 16th in the rankings. Meyer took the Utah job following the season and has enjoyed two undefeated seasons and two national championships since. But all these years later, he still looks back fondly at that November 2001 day in Evanston.  

“We had a six-hour bus ride, and we refused to leave the locker room for about two and a half hours,” Meyer said. “Those kids wouldn’t leave and I wouldn’t leave with them. We were just crying and enjoying it. It was an incredible comeback.”

Said Wendel: “The locker room was mass chaos. We always sing our fight song, Ay Ziggy Zoomba, but you were scared you were going to get trampled. It was an unbelievable atmosphere.” 

Opponent Breakdown

The anxiousness for Ohio State when scouting Northwestern starts and ends with the Wildcats’ offense. Northwestern’s dynamic spread offense is led by two quarterbacks, one that primarily throws the ball and one that’s used more as a runner.

Trevor Siemian is the passer, completing 67 percent of his passes with four touchdowns and two interceptions. He’s thrown for 671 yards in four games this season. Kain Colter, the runner, gets a majority of the snaps, but Siemian can be effective when called upon.

Colter has been a sensation throughout his career at Northwestern, literally doing it all, no matter the position. This season, he’s rushed for 237 yards on 39 carries, a healthy average over six yards. But he’s improved his passing, completing an astounding 77 percent of his passes. That completion percentage has kept defenses honest when Colter is behind center.

Linebacker Curtis Grant admitted that the Wildcats are a little easier to defense since each quarterback has their specialty. But head coach Urban Meyer sees the challenge awaiting Ohio State.

“I don’t think we’re going to play them much different,” he said. “Of course, the one’s a little more run heavy and you have to be aware of that and the other’s more pass-heavy, but it’s not drastically different as far as their ability.”

Combined with running back Venric Mark, Northwestern possesses one of the top backfields in the Big Ten. The senior suffered a leg injury in the season opener at Cal, but he’s expected to return against the Buckeyes. He rushed for 1,366 yards and 12 touchdowns during the Wildcats’ 10-win season in 2012. Mark doubles as the active career leader in punt return average.

Channeling his Airness

“We just got another weapon on our offense,” wide receiver Tony Jones said. “At any given moment, Venric can make a big play. That’s definitely going to be helpful on Saturday.”

Fitzgerald referred to Mark’s return as “a heck of a free-agent pickup.” It certainly left Colter happy. His job is to get the offense humming, and with Mark playing alongside him, that task becomes a whole lot easier.

“He’s going to make a guy miss and get some yards,” Colter said. “He has a chance to take it the distance every play. It’s going to be great [having him back]. It’s going to help our offense.”

Northwestern runs a similar offense to Ohio State, and the Wildcats are sure to watch film of the Cal and Indiana games of recent past. Both games show that the Buckeyes struggle when opponents get in space. But what about the Northwestern defense?

The unit isn’t particularly eye-catching. The Wildcats give up 300 passing yards a game, but they also have 10 interceptions, including four pick sixes. Northwestern leads the Big Ten in takeaways by a wide margin. It’s getting plus-three per game.

The struggles in the secondary exist because of every coach’s nightmare – youth, inexperience and a lack of depth. The Wildcats are playing all underclassmen. Pressure on the defensive line could provide a boost for the maligned unit. Defensive lineman Tyler Scott has three sacks a year after recording nine.

Allowing big plays to the Buckeyes could be the backbreaker Fitzgerald fears most. Ohio State’s offense has a boatload of playmakers who can step up at a moment’s notice. Their 48 points per game average isn’t by accident. Ten touchdowns have come on what coaches would define as “big plays” – those of 25 or more yards. Northwestern ranks 11th in the Big Ten with eight touchdown passes thrown against them.

Two Wildcat linebackers to keep an eye on are Damiem Proby and Chi Chi Ariguzo. Proby, incredibly, has two pick-sixes on the season, while Ariguzo is Northwestern’s leading tackler with 35 stops. He’s averaging nearly nine tackles per game and finished with a career-high 12 in the Wildcats’ last outing against Maine.

A key in most big games is to score early. When you’re the road team, it helps take the crowd out of the game, and when you’re playing at home, it keeps the fans loud and boisterous. An early touchdown by the Wildcats on Saturday night would send Ryan Field into hysteria. Ohio State hasn’t trailed all season and could become rattled.

Buckeye Breakdown

Wacky, turbulent, you name it. The past several weeks for the Ohio State Buckeyes has been nothing short of newsworthy. With the Miller-Kenny Guiton debate coming to a halt, normalcy is now taking over the Buckeyes.

Meyer and Tom Herman admitted they were worried during Miller’s three-game absence. They feared Miller would be out of sorts when he eventually returned. Maybe he’d be timid, too. Instead, Miller thrived against the best defense Ohio State has faced all season.

“I don't think he's been set back as much as I was worried that he would be,” Herman said.

Miller threw four touchdown passes against the Badgers and he entered Saturday’s showdown at Northwestern filled with confidence. He knows big games are the moment to prove yourself individually and as a team. During his career, the spotlight games are when Miller has come up the biggest.

Braxton Miller seems to shine under the lights.
Miller seems to shine under the lights.

This week, he gets to face off against a Wildcat secondary that’s struggled. One week ago, Miller’s four touchdown passes occurred on a defense that had given up zero touchdown passes all season. He said the offense has some formations that can exploit Northwestern’s deficiencies.

The Buckeyes already have 19 touchdown passes on the season, two more than all of last year. The school record could come down in October. In 1995, Ohio State had 33 touchdown passes.

“We couldn’t do that last year,” Meyer said. “There were games I refused to call it because they were going to be covered and we couldn’t throw it. Now, this Saturday, we are going to try the same thing. That’s a big part of who we are.”

A big part of who the defense is will be on the sideline. Christian Bryant’s season-ending injury cast a major shadow over a big win last Saturday.

“Honestly, I didn’t even enjoy the win,” safety C.J. Barnett said.

Meyer called it a “sucker punch.” But the team realizes the season must go on and injuries are part of the game. The goal now is to find a replacement and rally. Bryant wasn’t just a good player but also a solid leader. Someone, or even multiple players, must step up.

“Our job is to be prepared,” Meyer said. “It’s going to be hostile. It’s a big game for them, but I’ve got news, it’s a big game for us, too. There are two teams out there playing for a lot.”

On Saturday, Bryant’s coverage ability and statement tackles will be missed. With Northwestern’s up-tempo offense geared on attacking the secondary and finding space, a big-hitter becomes an asset.

“Pitt Brown is going to be in his place and Tyvis Powell and Vonn Bell – those are the three people you’re going to see start running around out there,” Meyer said. “There’s no secret formula. Someone’s got to step up.”

How it Plays Out

Ohio State lost to Northwestern in 2004. Since then, the Buckeyes are 4-0 against the Wildcats, winning by an average margin of 43 points – 52-9. Ohio State has won 28 of 29 games against Northwestern, dating all the way back to 1971.

Saturday presents a monumental opportunity for the Wildcat football program. They’re coming off a 10-win season, finally won a bowl game and now they get all the national attention that comes with College GameDay and a primetime TV slot on ABC.

Northwestern Bucknotes! Free!
Bucknotes are your guide to Saturday's action. Print, consume and instantly, you're the smartest fan in the room.

Past history points to a Buckeye win, but history isn’t playing on Saturday night. Northwestern is a football team that’s on the rise, armed with legit football players. For so many years, everyone in Big Ten country is used to seeing an overmatched Wildcat team, even with the back-to-back Big Ten titles in 1995 and ’96 and another in 2000.

Fitzgerald, an All-American on the conference championship teams of the 90s, has turned the program around. And this time, it doesn’t look like a couple year stay. He and the program are in it for the long haul.

Saturday night just doesn’t figure into the plans. Ohio State is in the midst of a 17-game win streak and on a mission to the national championship game. Fitzgerald is only 2-6 against top 10 teams during his eight-year career, while Northwestern has lost its last 36 games against top-5 opponents.

The Buckeyes have outscored opponents 116-21 in the first quarter this season. Another quick start in a hostile environment would quiet the crowd, though Ohio State is expected to have 10-15,000 fans in attendance.

A fully healthy Miller and a bevy of offensive weapons should win a game that could evolve into a shootout. The bottom line: the Silver Bullets can slow down Northwestern’s offense, but the same task for the Wildcat D presents a significant challenge.


ELEVEN WARRIORS STAFF PREDICTION: Ohio State 40, Northwestern 24

31 Comments

Comments

IBLEEDSCARLETANDGRAY's picture

Last week I dared Stave to throw at Roby and beat us with his arm and he almost did it. This week I'm just saying one thing: Go Bucks!

"Sherman ran an option play right through the south" - Greatest Civil War analogy EVER.

Baroclinicity's picture

Gotta love the Fitz jersey on the Jordan statue!
It's hard to hate Northwestern.  I, of course, hope we win, but I will never gloat in a victory over them. 
That being said, take care of business, fellas.

When you're holding a hammer, everything looks like a nail.

Buckeyevstheworld's picture

It's hard to hate Northwestern.

They are in Ohio State's way, so it's easy for me to dislike them.

"YOLO" = I'm about to do something extremely ignorant/stupid & I need an excuse to do it.

Run_Fido_Run's picture

I agree, I "hate" NW this week, but normally have a soft spot for them. Hopefully, I won't have to "hate" them next week, too.

mh277907's picture

Though I think OSU will score more, I think NU will score more than 24...

buckeyebobcat

TheShookster's picture

I'd much rather see the Jonathan Toews jersey on the Jordan statue, but as stated above it's really hard to hate Northwestern. 
I was thinking the score would be 45 to 21, so close to what the 11W prediction is, but a question for all: how much is the weather going to affect this game if the weather forecast holds up? 

Tim's picture

I'm hoping there isn't a lightning delay, which sounds like a real possibility.  If it does rain throughout the game, I think we'll see a lot more Hyde than we might otherwise, and I'm fine with that.

mh277907's picture

If it rains all day the natural grass could be a mess. I would like to think that this would help Ohio State as we are able to run a power run game. Then again, the quick throws and getting the ball in WRs' hands in space could cause a lot of problems for the Buckeyes' secondary because of the soft ground.

buckeyebobcat

buckeyepastor's picture

Ugh.  That sort of forecast is going to make for a sloppy game.   Will likely neutralize some of the speed on both sides.  Makes me nervous in that you tend to see a lot of unusual "twilight zone" type things with lousy field conditions.  
If the storm there tomorrow night is anything like the storms we had in Central Nebraska this week, it will be a very long night of delays, going into the early morning.  
 
 

"Woody would have wanted it that way" 

Oldschoolbuck's picture

Forecast is for 1"-2" of rain & 30 mph winds. Passing game may be problematic; we might be able to load the box in D & pound it with El Guapo, Hall & EZE.

TheShookster's picture

Yeah...with how much I (and all of you) look forward to watching these games every week, the last thing I want to see is a lightning delay.

Hovenaut's picture

I like Pat Fitzgerald, hard not to. He's proven himself a good coach who's all in. 
They're going continue to have a great year, and they'll get a few good wins along the way.
Not tomorrow night though. 
It wouldn't bother me at all if Northwestern makes it to Indianapolis in a couple of months either. 

avail31678's picture

IF (IF) we were to lose one game this season, I'd want it to be this one.  I like NW and Coach Fitz.  And, NW winning would actually hurt TTUN in the conference race, whereas beating NW helps TTUN. 
I'm nervous about this game, but I think our O gets the job done.  Hopefully the D surprises and plays super inspired (man were they pumped up for Wisky!). 
Go Bucks!

hail2victors9's picture

An ESPN article noted the play types per quarterback:
75% run, 25% pass when Colter is QB
50% run, 50% pass when Siemian is QB
So, while Siemian is definitely the "Passer," you can't sell out based on personnel.  Both had a lot of success versus Michigan last season.
 
And all of you that say you can't really hate Northwestern...While I agree, if they win tomorrow or even come really close, that feeling wanes a bit. 

Those who stay will be CHAMPIONS!

~Bo Schembechler

gobucks96's picture

still wouldn't hate them, I'd just want a rematch....

zbd's picture

This game is the first real game of the year. Time to end the hype and show us if OSU is for real at Northwestern. 

Dr. House's picture

god those black and purple uniforms are awesome, why can't ohio state get black and scarlet uniforms

onetwentyeight's picture

Because we actually have "tradition" and history and don't need to rely on uniform gimmicks like nouveau rich teams do? 

Dr. House's picture

yeah i get that but an black and scarlet uniform busted out once a year would look awesome.

buckeyedude's picture

I really like the ones from last week and vs. TTUN last  year. They were very similar and I liked both and wouldn't have a problem if they were permanent.

 

 

ATXbucknut's picture

As far as B1G teams go, I like Nerdwestern.  But tomorrow night their undefeated season comes crashing down.

Frankly Scarlet's picture

I get the feeling OSU will need more than 40 to win this game. Fitz will have his guys JACKED, and a part of me thinks the first quarter could be an ambush w/NW going up by two scores before the good guys finally settle in.

 
"Buclkle your chinstrap, we're gonna grind meat!" - Woody Hayes  
 

QBYBuckeye's picture

When the teams step on the field, history is irrelevant.  The game will be decided between the lines on Saturday night.  Only the Buckeyes can beat the Buckeyes.  If we prepare all week, stay focused and intense, and play smart and loose, we win decisively.  OSU 45 - NW 17

New York Buckeye

aboynamedtracy's picture

I'd be interested on hearing why you think the opposition will only score 17, if you don't mind elaborating. I'm pretty confident in a victory, but I'll be wildly (and happily) surprised if NW'ern doesn't put up 25+.

buckeyedude's picture

I wonder if they could practice on a drenched field? Prolly too late now.

 

 

TennesseeBuckeye's picture

Great write up Kyle!
I can't see NW offense out scoring ours (could it happen -sure, but not likely). The question is how much is Northwestern going to score. If the safeties keep ball in front the front 7 do a terrific job this will free up corners up for tight coverage, allowing the front 7 some sacks and TFL, leading to a blow out. If however the safeties are having trouble corners will have to do opposite of last week drop more into zone coverage allowing more passing yardage moving the ball down the field and scoring some pts. I don't see their running game having much headway against our defense but they may bust a long run or two. Last week was bound it smash mouth football, this week is more of a finesse game after all we're playing the brains. At Evanston we are 24-2 when scoring 10 or more points, one loss was a 14-13 game back in 1936, the other the 2004 game game which ended in a tie in regulation 27-27, before MW went on to win33- 27. We lost some games between '36 and '04, but we scored 0-'38, 3-'40, 7-'48, 0-'58. When scoring 20 or more we are 20-1, that loss was the tie we lost in regulation I just mentioned.
In '38 we finished 4-3-1 5th in Big Ten NW finished 4
  '40 we finished 4-4 5th again NW was 3rd
  '48 we finished 6-3  4th in Big Ten they finished 2
in '58 we finished 6-1-2 we finished 3rd and they finished 7
 '04 we finished 8-4 5th in conference while NW finished 4th
By the way the last two teams made up for it by beating the team up north.
The only way for an upset is for them to shut down our offense and have a huge passing day. Not gonna happen, Wouldn't be prudent at this juncture!
Worst case we win 28-24, I'm thinking we score 35-42 maybe more if Coach Meyers allows them to open up in 4th Q, but Northwestern is not the same team we use to whip, Fitz has done a great job. I'm thinking they scare 17-24, maybe 28 but it will be a shoot out and we'll have at least 38 to 45 in that case.
Can't wait to see what's in store
Go Bucks!

I may not be able to outsmart too many people, but I can outwork 'em.
Woody Hayes

Breakawayspeed's picture

NW will most certainly be stoked for us and may come out and hit us in the mouth.  But emotion can win out against bigger, faster, and  more talent for only so long.   Bucks should have this game in hand by halftime but ,if they don't, I fully expect them to come from behind to win. 
If I recall correctly, NW could not hold a two score 4th quarter lead against TSUN last year.  Their vaunted defense was exposed and it does not appear things have been greatly corrected this year.
Urban will have the troops focused, the Silver Bullets are starting to gel.  Northwestern loses 48-24

osu_killernuts's picture

Long time reader, first time poster....it's good to be part of 11W nation.
 
If Ohio State comes out with a fire in their belly as they did against Wisky, it could be a rough night for NW.  Based case scenario for NW is that they trade punches with the Bucks in the first half.  If Ohio State jumps on NW early as they have grown accustomed to this year, I have  a bad feeling that NW may lose focus and have the mentality of 'here we go again.'
 
I'll go with Ohio State 41 - Northwestern 27, in a game that isn't as close as the final score.

Hate is a strong word.  I hate ESecPN almost as much as I hate the whole SEC conference which is a close second to TTUN.

Oldschoolbuck's picture

+1 for the rookie :-)

lsjSnail's picture

I'm glad they are looking at the Indiana game, because this is a whole different team now.

okiebuck's picture

I really need to see our defense play like the Silver Bullets of old. If we wrap up and tackle in space the Buckeyes will roll; if not; it's going to be a shootout. If that's the case Urban/Herman cannot take their foot off the gas of the Buckeye Express!
Put the hammer down; Go Bucks!

"Fate has cards that it don't want to show"