So, I just looked this up. In any game he starts, CJ Stoud has thrown four touchdowns or more 63% of the time. 

He went 7 for 12 last year (which drags down his average.) This year he is 5 for 7, or 71%.

So saying CJ will throw four touchdowns is hardly a bold prediction. In fact, him throwing only three TDs would be a statistical oddity.