What do you mean, statistically? As in, he will not put up good enough stats?
He just won the national championship and would have been the #1 overall pick in this draft. He is among the 2-3 favorites for the Heisman this coming year. He will be right in the mix.
Tua was very close to taking it last year as a second year player and is the front runner to win it going into this year.
And above that, he illustrates my point that frosh are playing more and more and a good frosh year can easily set-up a player to be in the running in years 2 and 3. Not saying it will be easy, but I could definitely see it happening in the next decade.