WildBear Buckeye's picture

WildBear Buckeye

MEMBER SINCE   December 08, 2011


  • SPORTS MOMENT: Rushing the field after the 1994 OSU-Michigan game.
  • MLB TEAM: Cubbies
  • SOCCER TEAM: Arsenal

Recent Activity

Comment 05 Nov 2019

This tweet from Birm less than 10 min ago (no point in embedding because emojis don't come through, apparently):


And this from jbook:

So I would guess something is going on with Knighton.

Comment 02 Nov 2019

The abridged version is this: For every player, we compare his team's performance when he's on the field vs. when he's off it, and then we adjust for the skill of his teammates and opponents on every snap and consider whether each play was a run or a pass.

Sounds like the "adjust for the skill of his teammates" part isn't working as intended.

I'm not even blaming the people who came up with this model (probably someone from 538) -- when your experience comes from video game football, this is what you get. I'd blame the editor(s), except I think ESPN realized long ago that quality of content is irrelevant to their bottom line.

However, this actually isn't very different from what coaches do when they "chart" stuff. This particular is an example of "garbage in, garbage out". But if you put together football people who know what to look for with modeling people, you could come up with a model that's actually quite informative. Too bad the better business decision for ESPN is to have Stephen A. Smith do football draft analysis.

Comment 01 Aug 2019

I'm not going to pay money for several hundred pages of Michigan fans being excited about their upcoming season. So I won't be getting "my" copy any time soon.

Trying to predict Day's success based on ... um ... "historical evidence" (I guess?) does seem ... let's say unlikely to be accurate. Specifically, there is no accounting for keeping the very robust structure Meyer put in place (performance tracking, Marotti, Pantoni, player personal development, etc, etc) while almost certainly improving on Meyer's recent schematic swoon. Day is not subject to practically any pitfalls encountered by new coaches because he's basically hopping into an idling Ferrari.

Comment 01 Aug 2019

They did, but Meyer got pantsed by Iowa and Purdue in consecutive years. In Herman's case, it was the first game of the season both times. No, Herman's record at Texas so far is nowhere near Meyer's record at OSU after two years, but Herman faced a much more challenging rebuild. I think it's too early to say Herman isn't a great coach. Let's see what he does over the next two years.

Comment 01 Aug 2019

won’t find two guys who value faith more that Urban and Coach Day

I've see some of this from Urban has said (no idea if it's an accurate description of his life or lip service), but I've seen exactly Ryan Day has said about faith.

That isn't related to Robinson directly, I just don't know where the impression that Day values faith would come from.

Comment 29 Jul 2019

Told you.

You want a fucking cookie?

While going back to a thread from a month ago to rub it in is pretty petty, the dude got negged into oblivion for a prediction that turned out to be true. And not just that, the snarky responses to him got tons of knee jerk upvotes. To offset that BS as much as I can, I'm negging them and you and upvoting Benny. He said something you and others didn't like that turned out to be true, at least for now. Certainly he characterized the Robinson situation more accurately than anyone who said "We got him!" That doesn't deserve downvotes.

Comment 28 Jul 2019

Highly respected OSU recruiting experts like Bill Greene and Birm are saying this is real and OSU is out. Not sure why you would troll the school you're about to commit to like this.

Comment 28 Jul 2019

Any indication that Robinson's announcement will be pushed back? Unless it's OSU or Texas, it seems like he would need a little more time to think about it.

Comment 28 Jul 2019

It is still July after all. Nothing is final for another 5 months. I can't imagine OSU just gives up on Robinson, regardless of what happened today.

Comment 27 Jul 2019

Always were, always will be.

This doesn't make any sense. 50 years ago you would have called Army the bluest of blue bloods. 100 years ago ALL the blue bloods were in the Ivy League.  At this moment I think FSU has more of claim to blue blood status than Texas or Michigan, and it's getting to be a close call with ND. What FSU did between 1980 and about 2003, and then again 2011 - 2014, is more impressive than anything Texas has ever done, more impressive than Michigan has been since the 40s, and more impressive than ND has been since the 70s. I suppose ND's 60 years from 1920 to 1980 buy it many decades of leeway, but even that will run out eventually. Same with Nebraska, except their dominance continued into the early 2000s, so their grace period started later.

Bottom line, "always" is a silly word to use.

Comment 27 Jul 2019

Parsons was never in that class. And Emory Jones wasn't a major loss IMO. QB scouting wasn't great when Jones was handpicked early on, and Day came in too late to get in on the top QBs. Baldwin would have been quite serviceable, but it was making the best of a bad situation.

I think Cox was the biggest loss, since his position benefits most from player rotation, meaning you can't possibly have enough talent there. I'm sure LJS would have done wonders with him. I'm not nearly as certain about Woodbey, since coaching, not talent, has the problem in the secondary. There's enough secondary talent on the roster now to field a lights-out defense, but only if the coaching is good.

Comment 27 Jul 2019
This is simply not how things work. Corporate entities break contracts routinely when the corresponding penalties are easier to handle than fulfilling the contract. If you treat it as an ethical question you put yourself at a big disadvantage. This is a consequence of corporate personhood you have to live with.
Comment 01 Jul 2019

An ill-advised tweet is unlikely to affect a recruit who is either "locked up" or not really considering a school. Seriously considering, but undecided is when a tweet can do the most damage.