wigmon's picture

wigmon


MEMBER SINCE   February 10, 2017

Recent Activity

Comment 29 Mar 2020

There was a bit more to the statement than that.  Said that it depends on conditions and that opening would likely be targeted with some restrictions still in place.  If 30 states aren't having issues, then it seems reasonable that some states may be able to start functioning normally while big city areas continue to struggle.  We do not have to have an all or nothing solution.

Comment 28 Mar 2020

IF you don't have a Roth IRA, start one.  Still early enough to contribute for last year and this year which I think was $7k a year.

If you already have one, I don't use web sites, just my brains.  right now playing a lot of covered calls because call prices are really elevated.  Not hard to make 20% in a couple of days, but you need to be patient (not every day is a buy day).  With the wild market swings you could just play QQQ or some similar ETF so you aren't tied to one stock or you can buy short ETFs to hedge your investments.

Comment 27 Mar 2020

"And the societal risk of having 150 people on each side-line vs. 100K+in a stadium ought to be beyond obvious."

So as a society we care more about being entertained, than the well being of college athletes?  You don't think those athletes come in contact with anyone other than on the football field, or are we going to quarantine them during football season?

Listen, I think this whole thing is being overblown, but I don't see any chance the NCAA is going to risk the health of student athletes (and lawsuits) if we still perceive there is too big a risk of having fans in the stands.

Comment 27 Mar 2020

Receivers don't block, or get tackled, or catch a ball thrown by someone or stand on the sideline next to dozens of players or practice 2 hours a  day of doing all those things?

I don't know whether there will be football or not in the fall, but I feel pretty certain there won't be games without fans or we'd already be doing it. 

Comment 27 Mar 2020

All of those other teams had more than 3 guards on roster.  Certainly losing a starter would impact any team, but they at least had guards who could play.

Example.  MSU lost their SG before the start of the season.  They weren't as good as they could have been, but still good enough to win the conference.

Comment 27 Mar 2020

None of the people who have died in LA or OH have died due to lack of staff/medical equipment.  Could it become an issue?  certainly.

I'll refer to an updated study in the UK.  Initially, the group suggested 500k would die in UK.  They are now saying 20k and they suggest half of those would have died within a year whether they contracted corona or not.  Some of their reasons for revision are social distancing and that there mortality rate projections were off at least 10-20 fold.

Comment 27 Mar 2020

Up to 60M in this country get the flu every winter.  I guarantee we have more than 100k cases in the country.  The good news is the percentage that show little or no symptoms is very high, unlike the flu.

Comment 27 Mar 2020

One other thing about Louisiana, most of the blame on increased cases is due to Mardi Gras celebrations which took place at the end of Februrary.  OH was not doing any social distancing at that time and we have nothing comparable that would have accelerated the spread of the virus.

Comment 27 Mar 2020

All we have done is prolong when the deaths will occur.  The vulnerable won't be any less vulnerable a couple of months from now and this virus will likely last 12-18 months (H1N1 lasted about that long).

Comment 27 Mar 2020

IF they are worried about spectators who are just sitting there spreading/getting it, I think they would be just as worried about players who are in closer contact spreading it.  IF no spectators, no football games.

I could see golf and baseball playing without fans as there isn't much close contact in those sports.

Comment 27 Mar 2020

Cowan and Simpson get techs and flagrant fouls affecting the end of those games (not saying they weren't deserved).  We played poorly  in the first UM game, they just played worse in what was an ugly game.  Purdue, IU, Rutgers are awful road teams.  Got run out of the gym by Wisky and Iowa and eventually by MSU.  Give props to coach for getting them back together after losing some games we shouldn't have in the middle of the season, but we weren't playing better at the end of the year than the beginning.

Comment 27 Mar 2020

Dr. Fauci has modified his stance considerably on the mortality rate for this virus.  From the NE Journal of Medicine:

On the basis of a case definition requiring a diagnosis of pneumonia, the currently reported case fatality rate is approximately 2%.4 In another article in the Journal, Guan et al.5 report mortality of 1.4% among 1099 patients with laboratory-confirmed Covid-19; these patients had a wide spectrum of disease severity. If one assumes that the number of asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic cases is several times as high as the number of reported cases, the case fatality rate may be considerably less than 1%. This suggests that the overall clinical consequences of Covid-19 may ultimately be more akin to those of a severe seasonal influenza (which has a case fatality rate of approximately 0.1%) or a pandemic influenza (similar to those in 1957 and 1968) rather than a disease similar to SARS or MERS, which have had case fatality rates of 9 to 10% and 36%, respectively.2

Comment 26 Mar 2020

Can you cite?  I read an article where 1 hospital said that because they had 13 deaths in 24 hours.  Not that that is insignificant, but I heard their sick numbers were stabilizing.  They were doubling every 2 days for a few days, now they are at 4.7 days.

Comment 26 Mar 2020

Tate played a fair amount of PG in high school.  Towns and Sueing arent at his level of ball handling, though agree, they bring more than what we had this year at the 3 and 4.

While Muhammad hasn't missed a lot of games, he's played a fair number in clear pain where he wasn't near 100%.  Could say the same thing about Young who probably would have sat out quite a few games the last few years if we had better depth.

I think we are playing with fire only having 3 guards, but understand it will be difficult to convince a really good guard to come and play maybe 20 minutes.

Comment 26 Mar 2020

Please cite the study that states only 10% of those who are infected have no symptoms.  I am guessing the statistics you are quoting is 10% of "confirmed cases" are asymptomatic.  The Princess cruise information is readily available and on a ship with an older than average population, 60% of those that tested positive for the virus were asymptomatic through quarantine (3 weeks).  While this is only an educated guess as we don't know what we don't know, its reasonable to believe that the vast majority of asymptomatic carriers are not getting tested (they have no reason to think they should be), thus we have no idea how many there are.  The cruise ship data is probably the best we have to go on since they tested everyone and knowing that it was an older population and that younger people mostly are asymptomatic, the 80% number is a reasonable estimate.

Comment 26 Mar 2020

Not true.  The cruise ship data, which was a considerably older population than average tested every person on board (3600).  Of the patients that tested positive, 60% were asymptomatic. 

Anecdotal evidence to support this comes from the OH Dr. Anton who stated nearly 2 weeks ago that at least 100k Ohioans already had the virus, yet today, we've only confirmed about 800.  No doubt that her numbers (based on contagion rate estimates) was off considerably, but even if off 10 fold, it would suggest that most people getting this don't show symptoms.

Then of course is the Oxford study released a couple of days ago suggested that half of the UK already had the virus, but that only 1 in 1000 require hospitalization.

The studies you refer to are 80% of "confirmed cases" are mild or asymptomatic. That doesn't include the numbers who have never been tested because they show no symptoms. 

Comment 26 Mar 2020

HOax.  Speculation was that someone was planning to transfer.  Every player on the roster was listed at some point in the thread, but no one said DW was transferring.

Comment 26 Mar 2020

They were aggressive early on trying to trace the origins of how someone got the disease and testing individuals they came in contact with.  They abandoned that a few weeks ago.  Given that 80% or more of people who get the virus are asymptomatic, their number of infected is still much higher than number of cases reported.

Comment 26 Mar 2020

There was a study released by Oxford a couple of days ago suggesting that half of the UK already had the virus based on the assumption that the first recorded case was in mid Jan and that the virus had been circulating at least 2 weeks prior to that first case.  On the good side, they are saying that less than 1 in 1000 who get the virus will need hospitalization, so essentially no worse than the common flu.

Comment 26 Mar 2020

In some patients, they believe ibuprofen has exacerbated the situation and worsened symptoms.  The suggestion is to take aspirin (or tylenol) for fever, though no one has come out and flatly said don't take ibuprofen.

Comment 25 Mar 2020

The larger picture is that many more in this state have died from the flu than this virus the last 2 weeks.  OH just stated that over 14000 people have been tested for corona and given that it was requiring Dr orders, I assume most of those 14000 were those showing symptoms.  The number of confirmed Corona seems very low for us to be using the same practices as other areas like NYC.

Comment 25 Mar 2020

Thanks for the update and prayers for a quick recovery for all.

A co-worker has a brother and sister in law that have the dry cough and fever (101ish) but no respiratory issues.  Dr didn't test them, but told them to stay home.  Their 2 kids have no symptoms, but undoubtedly have it.

Comment 25 Mar 2020

Diallos defense wasn't ready this year either.  Positioning and strength are the issue.  I just don't see him being good enough on defense to justify minutes over Sueing, LIddell, Young and Towns and how much he will hurt the flow on offense (what I perceive he will be able to do on that end).