This will be fascinating to watch.
California schools may ignore the law and deny student-athletes to be paid because it breaks the NCAA’s rules. Remember, NCAA is a voluntary association and all members agree to abide by the ruling body’s rules. In this scenario, students would sue the California universities.
Result 1: University wins and the law becomes unenforceable and eventually repealed.
Result 2: Students win. NCAA now has a mess on their hands. It wouldn’t take long for California schools to have a HUGE swing in their favor. After all, who wouldn’t go there to get paid AND be eligible for championships? OH, AL, GA, FL, SC, TX, etc., would pass similar laws very quickly. You think SEC, OSU, etc., wouldn’t respond immediately? And that’s just the football side. What about KS, NC, KY and all those basketball blue bloods?
Result 3: While the California situation plays out in the courts over a number of years, other states (SEC, OSU, etc.) pass similar laws. At some point critical mass is reached whereby NCAA can only ban them all from post-season participation if it wants to hasten its own demise.
The NCAA and its member institutions aren’t dumb. They see where this is all headed. My guess is that an olympics type compensation model will be adopted within the next 3-5 years.