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NYWoodyFan


Albany

MEMBER SINCE   November 21, 2015

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  • SPORTS MOMENT: USA Olympic Hockey and 85 Yards through the Heart of the South
  • COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYER: Archie Griffin

Recent Activity

Comment 06 Jan 2020

We choked because we hadn't been there before as a staff and team--and we had a lot of help from the refs. But you don't punt the ball 25 yards to Trevor Lawrence with a useless 2 point lead when the game is right there to win on 4th and 4. Remember, Etienne should have fallen down at the 1, and Clemson should have run out the clock, so they gifted us a critical strategic error. (Day should watch Earle Bruce's first Rose Bowl.) You can't give a great offense a chance to win when it is 4 down time. 

OSU needs one coach to focus on strategic decisions if Day is going to spend his intellectual energy on calling the offensive plays. "Hey coach we need to go for two here." "Hey coach, we are gassing them with up tempo. "Respectfully Coach, but do you want the game to end with Trevor Lawrence having the ball, or do you want to go for the win with Justin Fields?" "Hey coach, if we do a punt safe here, we can break them with good field position."  "Should we think about this red zone possession as a 4 down situation?" "Last I checked coach, it takes 3 touchdowns to beat one field goal." etc.

We can focus on the refs, but it was critical strategic decisions that lost the game. We got conservative, and the lessons of Woody Hayes, Bruce ,and Meyer.

It's difficult to fathom that the coach who called that fake punt against Wisconsin made the strategic calls against Clemson. Audacity. Go for the Jugular. Next time you have a chance to win a game with a four yard RPO, go for it.

If we don't learn that lesson, we are doomed to repeat the great chokes of season's past.

This game was lost with bad strategic decisions--that was in our control. The SEC officiating was predictable, and not in our control.

Comment 04 Jan 2020

The new redshirt rules, which Meyer did not get much use of, make it a bit of apples and oranges.

Comment 02 Jan 2020

The running scheme last season was designed increasingly for Dobbin's style, and the line got a feel for what he needed, the timing.

I think the timing will adapt to Teague and Chamber's style of attack.Home runs are great, but consistent pounding backs that take away 3rd and longs will pair well with these extraordnaryreceivers. And Fields will once again be a home run threat on the read option post-injury.

Comment 30 Dec 2019

In some way, we are missing the point. 

It's not the bad "luck" of the reversals. It's the bad luck of highly emotional events--momentum turners--being taken away and turned into emotional and momentum deficits going the other way, even if the reversal is partly 50/50 justified. Even a just and honest reversal is a huge momentum shift, the closer the call, the worse it is emotionally for the team that got "robbed."Those calls were all essentially turnovers, and all those calls could easily have gone Ohio State's direction. The ejection was a decisive event. By the time of the touchdown reversal, everyone knew what was coming.

At some point superstitious humans (all of us) begins to feel that fate is against them, or that the fix is in. All our lucky jerseys and various talismans show how superstitious we are about events we can't control.

Every close call reversal represents a turning point in the invisible game of momentum, and taxes a team's confidence that things will go right .  We should start quantifying the number of close reversals as part of the statistical pattern, both to check for bias and to measure impact.

And, if we are going to keep fighting the Civil War in politics and football, we should be conscious of it. Sure, southern teams hate each other, but Clemson is in the heart of the Confederacy, and SEC officials weren't going to cut any breaks to the Northern team. Witness the close calls that all tipped Clemson's way, when a ruling could have easily been justified either way. I don't think any other conference would have ejected and overturned. Those were game savers for Clemson.

Two interceptions, dropped passes, missing the fumbled Clemson punt, not going on 4th and 4, Borland's missed pick six. Dobbins ankle, Field's knee,etc. Ohio State lost in a perfect storm. The only breaks I recall  for the bad guys was one key Clemson drop, Higgins concussion, and one Clemson missed pick six, and one big mistake, when Etienne didn't down the ball at the one so Clemson could run out the clock.  

the failure to go for it from the 39 with a two point lead, punting and thinking we were going to stop Lawrence and  Clemson on 4 straight downs somewhere, doomed Ohio State to a low percentage chance to win the game, maybe 20-30 percent. Day needs to understand  on his road to greatness that this loss was on that decision. You go for the win when you have a knockout opportunity against a Quarterback with a Heisman in his pocket and a set of NFL backs and receivers. 

Chances on 4th Down and 4: 50 percent to ice the game

Chances to win if Clemson takes over on downs: Not much different than punting, probably 20-30 percent.

In short, this was a staggering upset by a very good team against a young but great team. It's a sickening event. We missed the Burrows-Ohio State narrative of the ages, a real loss to CFB history.

Comment 23 Nov 2019

9 minutes to go in the 2nd quarter. We have not crossed the threshold of greatness. If we are a great team, it’s yet to come.

Comment 18 Nov 2019

Overlooked in this piece is that Penn State has the best tight end in the country, Freiermuth. The game will come down to that match up--Werner or White against the guy who moves the chains. This sort of talent may be why the we created the bullet position to avoid another Iowa-style debacle. Given the pass rush OSU can bring, Freiermuth is the first escape valve.

The Penn State offense also depends on Clifford's legs when things break down, as they often do. Can the Buckeyes bring pressure and keep Clifford contained, while covering the TE and back. 

Dotson and Handler will get their catches andyards, and Noah Cain is significantly better than the other backs in getting tough yards.

This is going to be a barnburner.

Comment 22 Oct 2019

I keep arguing for an eight team playoff.

Best way to keep the schedule at present length is to modify Conference Championship week and have cross-over games , East 1 versus West 1, East 2 versus West 2, etc.voiding rematches only as practical. Thus, the 3rd inter-division game is played during "Championship Week" and only two inter-division games are scheduled for the regular season. Other than the inevitable Rutgers v Illinois game at 7 v 7, most teams would be fighting for bowl positioning or eligibility. And, if I am playing for Rutgers, ending the season with a chance to win, rather than being fed to the Lions, seems appealing. Plus it would boost everyone's strength of schedule.

Would be especially entertaining for Big and SEC.

Comment 22 Oct 2019

Anytime you create a system like this, you first have to possess a great understanding of the laws of unintended consequences.

Giving points for pitching a shut-out? 

Make it simple. 4 highest rated conference champions. No wild cards or mulligans. No Notre Dame.

Comment 21 Oct 2019

If Ohio State has -2 turnovers and a missed field goal, we probably get upset. its about playing aggressively and not getting tight with the play calling in the red zone. When things go wrong coaches tend to panic.

Thus this is Ryan Day’s biggest game as a sideline coach. We will find out who we are against aN underdog playing for redemption.