Moutarde's picture

Moutarde


New York City (via Cincinnati)

MEMBER SINCE   September 24, 2015

Favorites

  • COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYER: Stanley Jackson (kidding)
  • COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAYER: Tim Duncan
  • NFL TEAM: Bengals
  • NBA TEAM: Spurs
  • MLB TEAM: Reds

Recent Activity

Comment 02 Nov 2019

I think they would have had better results if they started with Chase Young and then used the following "analytical analog method" for the rest of the top 50.

Comment 02 Nov 2019

EPA seems like a bit of a silly stat, because it just seems to take the longest scoring plays made when there is a long down or distance.

More fascinating would be "WPA" (win probability added), that is, how much more likely a win becomes after the play is made, taking into account the situation, home-field and quality of opponent.  I think the Olave catch against Wisky and the Fields TD against Wisky (after they made it a 3-point game) would top that out, as well as the Victor catch against MSU.  For example from last year, Chase Young tackling MIles Sanders on 4th-and-5 on the final PSU drive would be a huge WPA play.

EDIT:  Did a bit of research and found this from last year.  The Young TFL against PSU had a 33% WPA, but the Haskins to Hill TD pass caused a whopping 133% swing, from -64% to +69%.

https://www.elevenwarriors.com/ohio-state-football/2018/09/97045/penn-state-had-a-961-win-probability-what-happened-from-there

Comment 29 Oct 2019

Might as well get this out of the way in advance:

- Buckeyes pay their players and the parents of players.

- Ohio State has lower academic standards.

- Ohio State hires tutors to take classes for football players.

- Ryan Day does human sacrifice before each game.

- Refs have been paid off by the Council on Foreign Relations who are trying to usher in a a New World Order.

- Aliens. (As in Chase Young is not really a human being but a highly evolved, specialized killing machine from outer space--look at the hair.)

- Tattoos.

- Jimmy Hoffa's body is buried under the Woody Hayes Athletic Center.

Any others?

Comment 29 Oct 2019

Very funny.  I went around that site a bit just out of curiosity and found it to be fairly rational.  Mostly the sorts of reactions you’d have if your team lost a big game.  No whining about “refs stole it” or “cheating” or “paying players” or “academic standards”.  Wonder which team’s fans behave that way...?

Comment 28 Oct 2019

7.2 yards per rush from J.K. also don't hurt.  That's a half-decent Yards Per Attempt for a passer.

Also more blowouts where backups are in or the running game is chewing clock.