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LvilleBuck


MEMBER SINCE   October 02, 2019

Recent Activity

Comment 05 Dec 2019

White is 215 lbs. He may be a good cover LBer but you can't put him out there to play man coverage on a WR, which is what Wade does. They had to move him to LBer and like everyone said, Werner is good enough to cover the TE's he faces. If we face a true 10 personnel team (4 WRs, 0 TE), then maybe White gets some play. Wasn't he in the dog house with the new staff too? Or is that dead wrong?

Comment 01 Dec 2019

If favorites win out, between OU and Utah, give me whoever wins by more next week. 

Comment 01 Dec 2019

This. They went Cover 1 and kept it simple for the new guys. It was what was needed, but it's not going to be that simple against Clemson, LSU, or Oklahoma. The secondary needs to be able to be multiple to stop them. I am slightly concerned that one DB caused that much of a difference. 

Comment 01 Dec 2019
Follow @cfb_professor on twitter. He accurately predicts the rankings and has only been off less than one spot per team this year. He seems to know the formula the committee uses and talks about the factors I mentioned. He admits it is very much a toss up between utah and oklahoma up to this point.
Comment 01 Dec 2019
PSU vs A&M and Minny vs Auburn would be two very interesting games. If A&M beats PSU that really looks bad on B10. They shouldn't but PSU wheels seem to be falling off with the Shorter transfer and poor effort vs Rutger and Franklin to FSU rumors. And Auburn and Minnesota are both 2nd tier teams in their conference this year so that would be telling in the never ending dick measuring contest that is conference pride.
Comment 01 Dec 2019
Top 25 wins not same as quality wins. Quality wins are teams with winning records according to the committee. Baylor, Ok St, Iowa St, UT for OU and Wash, Arizona St, and Cal, BYU for Utah. So Oklahoma has more T25 wins and same amount of QW's. BUT, Utah has better game control by far which makes it tough to determine. I think its 60/40 chance OU > Utah on Tuesdays rankings.
Comment 25 Nov 2019
Connelly's advanced box score is interesting. The difference in the game was how each team handled their passing down situations. OSU thrived while PSU caved. 
OSU was a perfect 9 for 9 on passes in passing situations (albeit, all Fields' three sacks were also in these passing situations). Meanwhile, OSU's defense absolutely dominated PSU in passing situations (i.e., the Chase Young and Co. effect). 
Even though OSU outrushed PSU, it was mainly due to more overall attempts. The YPC difference was negligible. In fact, Journey Brown averaged 5.82 YPC to Dobbins' 4.36. 
Comment 18 Nov 2019

I think OSU will have just as good of a resume as LSU when it's all done, but their Margin of Victory will push them into the #1 seed. They need to blow out the B10 CG so that LSU beating Georgia doesn't push them back to #1, since I think OSU will be #1 after PSU and Michigan. 

Top 15 teams: OSU - 4  (PSU, Mich, UW, UW).  LSU - 4 (Bama, Auburn, Georgia, Florida) 

Top 16-40 teams: OSU - 3 (Mich St., Indiana, Cincinnati)    LSU - 2 (Texas, Texas A&M)

Beating UW twice won't look as good as beating Florida and Auburn, but statistically it is about the same difficulty. 

Comment 15 Nov 2019

I have always thought the safer long term play here is to just buy big tobacco because that's who will have the resources to make big $ from this once it's legalized. Anything small and mom and pop is pure speculation. No matter how much you think you know, there is always a lot more people that know more. 

Comment 15 Nov 2019

16 games. NFL has a huge PR problem with this and they can't look soft. That stuff turns people off and makes it unwatchable to the casual fans. 

Comment 14 Nov 2019

This is what I came on here to say. OSU will be #1 if they keep playing the same way they have been. The committee has been super impressed, as we all have, with HOW OSU is beating teams. 

It's not all about SOS. Margin of Victory is a big factor. It's why Minnesota and Baylor are ranked so low. They win, but don't dominate their easy schedules, thus far. 

Comment 13 Nov 2019
Ok Ari Waaerman just posted a one on one interview in the athletic with Dijon Robinson. Someone please summarize. From the Twitter comments, he told Ari USC "is out"
Comment 11 Nov 2019

Just saw this comparison made and I think it's spot on. 2019 Alabama = 2015 OSU. Loss kept OSU out of CCG and got left out of playoffs despite just winning the National championship the year before and only having one loss. I think the same thing happens to Bama, barring any chaos in the top 4. 

Comment 11 Nov 2019

Assuming OSU and Clemson and LSU win out, the last spot will come down to PAC12 winner or  B12 winner. If Oregon wins out I think they are in line to get that spot over Oklahoma unless it's Baylor that goes undefeated. Utah and Oklahoma both have "bad" losses but winning the conference should give them the benefit of the doubt. Alabama will hover around 4-6 for the rest of the year but will get bumped down conference championship weekend. Happens to everyone that doesn't play in their final game. 

This is the year you want OSU to definitely get the #1 seed. Style points are going to play a factor. Clemson is turning it on and has a much better defense than LSU with a comparative offense. Would love for LSU to look shaky or even lose to Georgia because whoever the fourth team ends up being looks like a step below Clemson and LSU. 

Comment 11 Nov 2019

OSU is definitely the computer darling this year. The biggest area I am interested in finding out about this team is how the defense plays against a true, highly efficient spread offense. Penn St will be the closest we can get before the playoffs. Facing Clemson and LSU will be a huge step up from anyone else on the schedule. The best teams on our schedule almost all have similar offenses (UW, Michigan, Minnesota in CG). 

Comment 11 Nov 2019

I hate seeing Georgia #4. More than I would hate seeing Alabama there. Losing to LSU by 5 is more impressive than losing to South Carolina in OT. Georgia would get run off the field by Alabama this year.

4-10 is really a crapshoot but it will sort itself out. 

The question is this: Assuming the favorites win out, will the committee give the #4 spot to a one loss conference champ (Oregon, Utah, Oklahoma) or will they say Alabama. I think they go with the PAC12 champ in that scenario.