Lighteyes's picture

Lighteyes


MEMBER SINCE   January 04, 2017

Recent Activity

Comment 18 hours ago

Always remember: The NCAA is, effectively, the schools themselves. It's not really an independent entity, it makes a rule book in accordance with what the schools themselves want the rules to be.

In this case? There's no dead period rule because the schools themselves don't want a dead period rule. Every single school that's hiring someone wants to get their dude on board as soon as possible. 

Comment 19 hours ago

Usually there's an offset clause, in that the money the firing university owes is offset by money paid from a similar job.

Which is why Butch Jones is reportedly making minimum wage for his role as an 'analyst' at Alabama - there's no financial reason for him to take an actual salary and might as well get a bit of petty revenge on the school that fired you by making them cut every last dime of those checks.

Comment 19 hours ago

No offense, but I think you're putting too much blame on JT and not nearly enough on the offensive gameplan, receivers, and awful QB coaching. Maybe the fact they're completely unprepared for Burrow means that he leads a drive or two, but the rest of the mess that was the 2016 offense would still have been there.

Comment 19 hours ago

The 2 INTs in the end zone came in the fourth quarter with Ohio State already down 24-0 and Clemson just playing prevent defense to burn clock, so while those would have prevented the shutout, the game was effectively over given that the defense was completely worn out.

They did miss 2 FGs early, but neither was really due to the offense driving - one came off an INT and the other from a long return by Parris Campbell. Ohio State didn't have a real 'drive' on offense until well into the second half. 

The fact it was a shutout was a bit of a fluke; the fact that Ohio State lost was not. 

Comment 19 hours ago

Uh, you saw how Burrow played in 2018 right?  One of these sets of stats is Joe Burrow's first season as a starter in 2018, the other set is JT Barrett's much-maligned 2016 season:

233/379 passing, 61.5% completion percentage, 2555 yards, 6.7 YPA, 24 TD/7 INT, 135.3 QB rating, 27 sacks.

219/379 passing, 57.8% completion percentage, 2894 yards, 7.6 YPA, 16 TD/5 INT, 133.2 QB rating, 35 sacks.

Is either set completely better than the other? Probably not, right? Like, you could argue the first guy is better (more TD, fewer sacks, better completion percentage) or you could argue for the second guy if you love YPA...but it's not a dramatic difference.

I know you're being a bit facetious, but the Joe Burrow that has dominated this year in 2019 is not even remotely similar to what he was when he left Ohio State...nor was 2016 Ohio State's QB coaching, offensive line and receiving corps nearly as good as what LSU has this year. I'm a fan of Burrow (how could you not be?), but the idea that Burrow would have been anything close to what he is now is completely off-base.

Comment 06 Dec 2019

JK Dobbins wins by 177 yards.

(In my mind, it's 177-0, but in reality, more like Taylor getting 40 yards and JK around 220)

Comment 05 Dec 2019

JK, without a question.

Winfield has had a crazy good season for Minnesota - leading the nation with 8 turnovers forced (7 INT, 1 fumble), three sacks, 80 tackles, and was a game-changer in their critical win over Penn State. Okudah has been a complete shutdown corner and a better pro prospect, but Winfield is an absolutely a deserving winner.

Taylor has only 100 more yards and one more TD than JK, on 29 more carries, and no-showed in his team's biggest game against Ohio State.

Comment 04 Dec 2019

That only works if the last guy actually set up a good organization...which is unlikely given that you probably just fired him for losing.

If you're Washington or Ohio State or Oklahoma, absolutely, keep the organization and structure set up by an awesome Hall of Fame coach who was wildly successful and leaving voluntarily. Find a natural successor on the staff and hand over the reigns, let the new guy take a mix of the old success and a dash of his own improvements.

If you're Arkansas and fired Chad Morris for going 0-16 in the SEC and getting blown out by a C-USA team? Uh no, let's not keep that same structure in place. Even if the odds for your outsider hire aren't fantastic, they're certainly better than promoting from within and keeping the same plan that resulted in you being completely noncompetitive every Saturday. 

Comment 04 Dec 2019

It was, but it's worth noting that Urban's policy went both ways: Assistants agreed to give it two years, but Urban wasn't going to push people out after two years. In most cases, it was certainly a benefit to Ohio State to cut down on turnover, but Tim Beck and Bill Davis are prominent examples of coaches where even after the first year, it would have been fair to cut bait and Ohio State would clearly have been better served to do so.

It's not clear if Day shares that same "two years" agreement. When he got the official job in January, there were a couple assistants who hadn't been here two years who left/fired (Johnson and Grinch)...but it might be different when it's guys Day specifically hired compared to guys that he had no input on. 

Comment 03 Dec 2019

The conference's coaches, however, voted Minnesota's P.J. Fleck as the Hayes-Schembechler coach of the year.

The cynic in me believes that when push comes to shove, some of the coaches looked at their ballot and went "yeah, they're 12-0, but if I had Ohio State's resources and talent..." even if there's no real objective evidence for that.

PJ Fleck did have a great year and is a deserving candidate though; hard to really say he's not worthy of his own share of the COY.

Comment 02 Dec 2019

For the players, sure. Stay focused on every game, don't underestimate anybody. All Wisconsin, all the time until you're singing Carmen Ohio after the game.

But for me, the guy sitting at home on the couch who does have the luxury of looking ahead/behind? From where I sit, the trend is pretty obvious: Wisconsin is good enough to make it a game against Ohio State because they don't beat themselves and they maybe find a way to complete a few big passes...but when push comes to shove, the huge talent discrepancy and Wisconsin's one-dimensionality make them much less of a threat to actually seal the deal than a "talent-equated" team like Penn State, TTUN, or CFP opponents. 

Comment 02 Dec 2019

I'm honestly less worried about this game than I was for Penn State, TTUN, would have been for Minnesota, or anybody in the CFP.

Ohio State regularly plays Wisconsin and the games play out pretty much the same way every time: Ohio State shuts down the Wisconsin running game, Wisconsin maybe makes a couple plays in the passing game but not a ton, Wisconsin plays sound football and doesn't beat themselves so the game stays close for a while (maybe all game), but the raw talent edge eventually wins out. 

Comment 02 Dec 2019

It's true that they're different players, but I just don't see them playing a third string RB at all against a top 10 team (Wisconsin) or back-to-back Top 4 teams in the CFP. Dobbins is going to get like 90% of the RB snaps except for a handful of plays here or there when he needs a breather after a 40-yard run or has to readjust his pads after a tough hit or similar situations. 

And this is backed up by the snap counts in B1G play: Against Michigan State, Wisconsin, and Penn State, neither Crowley nor Chambers got snaps, while McCall got a grand total of 7 snaps in the Wisconsin game. 11W hasn't yet posted the updated count after the TTUN game, but offhand, I remember a couple of McCall plays, but don't think either Crowley or Chambers saw the field at all.

Comment 01 Dec 2019

Yeah.

Chris Ash is the obvious example for Hafley here. If Ash stays at Ohio State for one more year to coach another Top-5 defense and Hooker/Lattimore/Conley, he probably gets a bunch of mid-tier P5 jobs and might be having some success elsewhere. Instead, by jumping to Rutgers and getting crushed for 3.5 straight years, Ash won't get another shot at a head coaching role for years and very well might even need to spend a couple years as an 'analyst' before getting a position coach role.

Comment 27 Nov 2019

Maybe so, but my point was: If they couldn't scrape up the money and open the vault for Schiano (a guy literally everybody in the state wanted), it's completely unrealistic to think they're suddenly going to find the money to pay Hafley.

And guess what: If they want Hafley, they would need to open their wallets. He's also been rumored as a candidate for the Arkansas job. Arkansas will absolutely be paying in the $4 million range that Schiano was asking for (source: Chad Morris was earning $3.5 million a year) AND Arkansas has openly said they want to up their assistant coach salary pool which Rutgers reportedly wasn't willing to do.

(If I was Hafley, I wouldn't take either Arkansas or Rutgers because he could easily spend another year at OSU and get a higher-tier job...but it's not my $30 mil guaranteed contract, so...)

Comment 27 Nov 2019

But if Rutgers can offer the level of salary and support it was ready to pledge to Schiano before negotiations break apart...

This isn’t happening. If Rutgers wasn’t willing to open their checkbook and pay market value for the only guy who’s ever had success at the school, a guy the entire fan base and boosters wanted...it seems laughable to think they’re doing it for a dude with one season as a collegiate coordinator.

Comment 26 Nov 2019

It's not a perfect parallel though because a 2019 loss to TTUN wouldn't cost them any of their goals.

In 1969, losing to TTUN cost Ohio State the conference title, a bowl berth, and a national title. In 2019, a loss to TTUN does none of that - Ohio State would no longer have a shot at being mentioned in the same breath as 1995 Nebraska or 2001 Miami or other legendary teams, but they'd be able to win the B1GCG the next week, go into the playoff as the #3/#4 seed, and win the natty if they could handle Clemson and LSU.

Comment 25 Nov 2019

Of course, the unspoken problem with all that math is you still need to eventually hire a football coach. If you're hiring any remotely qualified coach, you're looking at a minimum of $20m+...and by the way, if it doesn't work, you're right back here in 3 years paying yet another buyout and yet another coach. 

I mean, I guess there's a theoretical option to go with a wildly under the radar assistant who comes super-cheap and just accept you're basically just in a holding pattern for 3-4 years while you wait on finances to stabilize...but I doubt Rutgers would (intentionally) choose that path.

Comment 22 Nov 2019

Three hundred seventy seven yards and a cloud of dust.

(just to make it more easily searchable: 377)