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d5k


MEMBER SINCE   April 13, 2012

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  • SPORTS MOMENT: 2006 carrying turf off the field
  • NFL TEAM: Who dey

Recent Activity

Comment 12 Mar 2020

SARS killed 10% of infected and southeast asia did shut everything down for it.  Countries that experienced SARS have done the best at limiting the spread of Covid-19 because they know how bad it can get.

If say 10k people all get pneumonia (main dangerous symptom of covid-19 for older patients) in 1 day in an area, how many areas do you think have ICU beds to handle that?  The speed of spread is what matters.

Comment 09 Jan 2020

Victor and Mack have been solid contributors that earned their time and overall great Buckeyes, but the amount of times Olave and Wilson were on the sideline in critical moments should have been zero this year and Olave was on the sideline 50% of the time when Mack was healthy, with Wilson only in the game 40% or so.  I think the talent gap there is wide enough that the young guys should have got most of the key reps despite the desire to lean on seniors.  I am excited to see Olave and Wilson lead an even more talented group next year and I would expect them to rotate out less in key situations as they will be both the best and most seasoned players in the rotation.

Comment 02 Dec 2019

Oklahoma is 8-9 point favorites and moneyline has Baylor +250ish (2.5/3.5 = ~ 71%) .  So you can get your wish if gambling were legal where you live!

Comment 02 Dec 2019

http://sagarin.com/sports/cfsend.htm

Sagarin has Oklahoma in a tier w/ Georgia but pretty similar overall but SEC might say it has a B1G bias if using OP's criteria with Wisconsin and Michigan 7 and 8.

Comment 02 Dec 2019

Btw, other statistical models like S&P+, Sagarin, also have Cincinnati in the 30s (around where Texas is).  Our argument isn't that we have better quality wins than LSU.  It is that we beat the shit out of pretty good teams while LSU snuck out some close ones and gave up a ton of points.  

Comment 02 Dec 2019

I've said it in a couple other posts, but #6 and #14 could be flipped if you sneeze on the keyboard while tweaking the code of the model.  A lot of parity in that range.  So saying Auburn and Florida are 6-7 could easily move to 13-14 since all of those teams are so close statistically.  FPI may be biased, statistically, but not toward a conference.  

Comment 02 Dec 2019

Worth pointing out that unbiased ranking systems like this typically don't account for major injuries like QB.

Comment 02 Dec 2019

Bama, LSU and Georgia are in a tier 2 while OSU and Clemson are 1a and 1b in an honest interpretation of the FPI's rankings.  And the other 2 SEC teams are in a virtual tie between 6 and 14 in the rankings.  Calling Auburn 6 sounds ridiculous, but saying they would be 1 point favorites over Michigan on a neutral field doesn't sound ridiculous, right?

Comment 02 Dec 2019

Another thing, no one ever seems to call out the fact that once you get beyond the top 3-5 teams, there is a ton of parity.  Teams 6-14 are within just over a point.  A win @ Michigan is not worse than any of LSU's non-Alabama wins because of the ordering.  Michigan (and PSU and Wisconsin) is just as good as any of the SEC teams listed outside of Bama, LSU and Georgia.

Comment 02 Dec 2019

Alabama with Tua having an attached hip might be the 2nd best team.  Using FPI top 25 for resume, sure, but why ignore the fact that OSU is a touchdown better than LSU in FPI?

Comment 02 Dec 2019

There's a lot of talk about subjective reasons why Michigan loses to Ohio State.  The real reasons are Ohio State recruits better players, and in some of these blowouts, also out-schemes the opponent.  There also isn't a player in OSU's starting 22 that Michigan would not have wanted on their team.  Many of them were on Michigan's recruiting boards.  Michigan also got a few that OSU wanted, but the trend has gone way the other direction.

Comment 02 Dec 2019

Myers is one of the unsung heroes of the team, imo, and the scheme changes fit Dobbins's skill set so well giving him the ability to read and cut up the defense instead of plunging into the A gap over and over with a QB with no run threat beside him.

Comment 12 Nov 2019

This is where the committee always mixes and matches between best and most accomplished teams.  If the goal was the best teams, OSU would stay at #1 and Bama would stay in the top 4 due to statistical resume, best talent, and eye test.  If it was most accomplished, LSU would move up and Minnesota and Georgia would be above Bama who has no quality wins and 1 loss.  In reality, they mix and match somewhat randomly between the two and don't seem to recognize the difference.  This year they seem to be erring on the side of 'best teams' so maybe we stay at #1 but I would bet against it.

Comment 08 Nov 2019

My post isn't total conjecture it is based on the facts we have.  Based on Chase's statement, he paid back a loan last summer but compliance only reported a potential violation just now.  This is why I said we have a bigger issue due to the timing if anyone related to OSU told him to pay it back and he didn't just do it under his own volition or on advice from someone close to him.  My educated guess which you seemingly misread to be negative/trolling is that the latter is more likely. (EDIT: Note that this is the good scenario for OSU)  Unless Chase is lying about repaying it those are really the only 2 options in terms of the potential compliance timeline.

I guess you are suggesting a potential third option is that this was a loan from the beginning and Chase paid it back on contractual terms.  I have a bridge to sell you if you think that is what likely happened.

Comment 08 Nov 2019

From an NCAA perspective it shouldn't really matter unless the person is a booster or connected to OSU and providing "impermissible benefits".  Classifying the person as a friend or agent is semantics really.  Whether the person providing the loan was looking out for Chase's best interest isn't really relevant to Chase's eligibility under NCAA's rules.  I am not a lawyer and even if I was I wouldn't go near NCAA bullshit.

Comment 08 Nov 2019

If you have zero credit history it is hard to get a credit card with more than a $500 limit.  Our financial system is broken but that is another matter.  Clearly he has likely future income to use as collateral for a loan but that makes the sleazelords at the NCAA uncomfortable.