We won't know for some time. Different parts of the country are treating things very differently. Out here in the New York city metro area, we were hit extremely hard, well beyond just the nursing homes and at risk age demographic. I know several people that were infected, and know several people who had a family member, co worker or friend die. I am not super old (just turned 40), so it's not like my circle of friends, co-workers and family are in nursing homes.
My point is, New Yorkers are taking this very seriously. it is rare to see a person in public without a mask. Our numbers are continuing to go down as our economy has slowly began to open back up. A few months ago, we were the Covid capital of the world. Even as testing has increased (New York has been testing super aggressively for the last 2 months), numbers are still going way down. We are still very apprehensive and cautious as a whole. Other areas, mainly in the south, the opposite is happening. Numbers are increasing, people are fatigued with everything and seem (my opinion, not fact) to be taking this virus less seriously.
My point with all of this is that it is going to be very hard to take anything right now at face value. So much could change from month to month, area to area.
I think fall is going to be interesting, I'll be happy if football is played period, regardless of whether or not fans are in the stands, but that is just my opinion coming from one area that was devastated by this virus.