House Money: Crimson Tide Still Cruising, Mike Gundy and the Cowboys Looking to Pull a Stunner in Week 11

By 11W Staff on November 8, 2018 at 3:15 pm
Mike Gundy and the Cowboys have their sights set on an upset in Norman.

Rob Ferguson-USA TODAY Sports

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The regular season is nearing its culmination with just three full weekends remaining until the conference championships. Alabama and Georgia have already secured their spots in the SEC title game while the majority of the divisions are still very much up for grabs. 

It wasn't our best effort in week 10 with plenty of 4-6 finishes and way too much faith in the Nittany Lions covering the spread in Ann Arbor. Andy Vance was the star of the weekend with a nice little 7-3 showing and he's now up to 53 percent on the season. #NotBad

Most of the staff had Ohio State covering at home against Nebraska, and we all know how that one turned out as the Buckeyes had yet another lackluster performance. The spread was 21.5 and some boo birds were heard throughout the stadium as the country's No. 10 team snoozed its way to a five-point home victory. 

There were a few big-time SEC battles as well with the headliner going down in Baton Rouge. We were split on the spread of 13.5 but Alabama had no problems dominating LSU with a 29-0 drubbing. Just about everyone had Georgia covering the 9.5 points against Kentucky and perhaps we'll stop hearing about the Wildcats following the 17-point loss in Lexington. Props to Vance on being the only one with faith in Missouri as the Tigers pulled off the upset at The Swamp.

Outside of the contest in Ann Arbor, most of the staff had a solid pulse on the Big Ten's weekend. Everyone except except Ramzy had Michigan State (-2) at Maryland. The Spartans won that one by three touchdowns. Andrew was the only one off on the Iowa/Purdue game. The Boilermakers were favored by three at home but ended up winning by just two, 38-36.

  • Reminder: All of our submissions are against the spread. The odds will certainly fluctuate a bit throughout each week, but we'll be using sportsbook.ag for all betting lines.

So far on the season we've got three prognosticators – Hope, Vance, and Ellis – hitting at over the 50 percent mark which is more evidence that #VegasKnows. The Week 11 slate isn't near as impressive as the one we just saw, but there are still some darn good matchups coming your way.

11W Staff Picks: Week 11
  CHRIS RAMZY HOPE HARRISH JONES WEBB ELLIS  WERTHEIM REGIMBAL ANDERSON VANCE
LAST WEEK: 6-4 4-6 4-6 4-6 7-3 3-7 4-6 6-4 5-5 4-6 7-3
OVERALL: 49-50 43-56 52-47 45-54 44-55 44-55 55-44 47-52 44-55 49-50 52-47
ACCURACY: 49% 43% 53% 45% 44% 44% 56% 47% 44% 49% 53%
#10 Ohio State (-3.5) @ #18 Michigan State MICHST MICHST OSU OSU OSU MICHST MICHST MICHST OSU OSU OSU
#20 Penn State (-7.5) vs. Wisconsin PSU PSU PSU PSU WISC PSU PSU WISC PSU PSU WISC
#15 Florida (-7) vs. South Carolina FLOR FLOR FLOR SCAR SCAR FLOR FLOR FLOR FLOR FLOR FLOR
#1 Alabama (-26.5) vs. #16 Mississippi State BAMA BAMA BAMA MISST MISST BAMA BAMA MISST BAMA BAMA MISST
#6 Oklahoma (-17.5) vs. Oklahoma State OKLA OKLA OKST OKST OKST OKST OKLA OKST OKST OKST OKLA
#21 Iowa (-10) vs. Northwestern IOWA NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW NW IOWA
Utah (-3.5) vs. Oregon UTAH UTAH OREG UTAH UTAH OREG UTAH OREG UTAH OREG UTAH
#5 Georgia (-14.5) vs. #24 Auburn AUB UGA UGA UGA UGA AUB AUB UGA UGA UGA AUB
#3 Notre Dame (-18) vs. Florida State ND ND ND FSU ND ND ND ND ND ND ND
#2 Clemson (-18) @ #17 Boston College BC CLEM BC BC BC CLEM CLEM CLEM CLEM CLEM CLEM

The spread for the Ohio State/Michigan State game was at 3.5 when we locked in our picks, but the Buckeyes are four-point road favorite as of this afternoon. We've got some mixed expectations coming off the rough showing against the Cornhuskers. Can Brendon White's emergence as a (potential) new starter raise the play of the country's 68th-ranked defense? 

Penn State is just over a touchdown favorite against the Badgers, and it's gotta be tough to have faith in James Franklin following the Wolverine whooping from last week. Alex Hornibook is questionable and still in concussion protocol, so Jack Coan may get the start in Happy Valley. Most seem to like PSU to cover in this one. 

Alabama hosts Mississippi State and it's tough to imagine anyone putting up much of a fight against the Tide right now. The Bulldogs have some serious NFL talent on defense, however, so perhaps Tua Tagovailoa will complete less than 95 percent of his passes.

Oklahoma State is a pesky team and Mike Gundy has some tantalizing hair. Is there any way that could be enough as a 17.5-point underdog in Norman? The Cowboys took it to Texas two weeks ago but then fell to Baylor in their most recent contest. Most are riding with Okie State to cover. 

Several folks like Auburn to cover against Georgia, and a Tigers' victory (albeit unlikely) would certainly shake up the playoff race. Meanwhile no one is liking the Seminoles to cover the 18-point spread in South Bend, which further goes to show how awful things have been for Willie Taggart. Picks were submitted prior to the news that Ian Book won't be suiting up, but will it really even matter? 

A matchup with Boston College may be the last hope for Clemson to falter since it's looking like no one in the Coastal Division will present any sort of challenge. The Tigers are at home and favored by 18, so we'll see if the Eagles can keep this one close. 

What are your thoughts on the weekend? Can the Buckeyes bounce back and cover the spread? #GetRich

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