OSU, Purdue, Aggregate Recruiting, Mismatches, and why does Notre Dame Suck?

ziplock007's picture
August 16, 2017 at 1:42 am
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Recruiting Matters.  Nothing new.

In fact, recruiting well for 5 straight years is better than a half decade of subpar recruiting.
SBNation calculated the 5-Year recruiting ranking scores for ALL FBS football teams…  The metric isn't perfect, but it’s a good indicator of a team’s current ‘health.’
(https://www.sbnation.com/college-football-recruiting/2017/2/2/14483388/college-football-recruiting-rankings-2017-multiple-years)
If you hadn’t already guessed OSU is #2 trailing only the Tuscaloosa Sabanites.

Purdue, Last of the Power 5… but a darn good ‘mid-major.’
In fact, Hazell’s 3 year run boasted 3-9 to be his ‘best’ seasons.  None of this is shocking until you realize that Purdue’s recruits would make them tops in the MAC (at least in this metric).
Purdue has the 71st best 5-year score; placing them last amongst the Power5 (65 teams in all).
This also means, there are only 6 teams BETTER than the WORST Power 5 member.

  • South Florida 59
  • Boise State 64
  • Central Florida 65
  • BYU 67
  • Cincy 68
  • Houston 70

    South Florida… King of the Ancillaries.  59th in aggregate recruiting sandwiches them betwixt Illinois (58) and Kansas State (60).

This makes newly minted Power5 coaches like PJ Fleck's & Tom Herman's Power5 victories seem even more amazing…

Mismatches and other games
Ohio State (#2 in 5 year recruiting) takes on Army (#118).  A difference of 116!
I had high hopes this would be the year’s largest mismatch… alas, it only trails Oklahoma’s (#8) opener vs. UTEP (#126) as the year’s biggest mismatch (a delta of 118).

Here’s a tally of some of the year’s biggest Should-Be-Over-Before-Halftimers

  • Okla 8 - UTEP 126 (118)
  • OSU 2 - Army 118 (116)
  • Florida St 5 - Lousiana Monroe 119 (114)
  • Clemson 12 - Kent State 125 (113)
  • ​UCLA 11 - Hawaii 122 (111)
  • PSU 21 - Akron 123 (102)
  • PSU 21 - Georgia State 121 (100)
  • ​OSU 2 - UNLV 102 (100)

Don't expect Oklahoma to 'open up the playbook' in week 1.  They won't.

Notre Dame
They’re #8… So why did they go 4-8 last year?  Seriously, they had a future NFL QB and the 8th best recruits.  I’m open to theories… comment below.

Finally… OSU’s Schedule Ranking in terms of 5-year-score

yeah, it matters
DAte Opponent 5 YEar Rank
9/9/17 Oklahoma 14
11/25/17 Michigan 19
10/28/17 Penn State 21
11/11/17 Michigan State 23
10/21/17 Nebraska 26
10/7/17 Maryland 37
11/4/17 Iowa 50
8/31/17 Indiana 53
9/30/17 Rutgers 56
11/18/17 Illinois 58
9/23/17 UNLV 102
9/16/17 Army 118
  • Of course, not all years are equal.  The article makes it clear that Maryland and Michigan are on the rise (it's in the article's title).
  • Also, the talent gap to UNLV & Army is severe.
    These will be games where we root for 70 points, then become downright despondent when they waste the last 5 minutes running stale draw plays for 2 yards each.  (ok, running it up on Army would be classless... but Las Vegas is all about style points)
  • Wait, Iowa is 50th?
    Ferentz is the B1G's 3x Coach of the Year... Perhaps the B1G should also award Recruiter of the Year.
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