Looking at the Schedules, or, The Buckeye Fan's Rooting Guide to other games.

JKH1232's picture
October 7, 2013 at 10:43 pm

So, there's a lot on and on about how, if there are 3.45 undefeated teams, and a one loss Bama, then OSU is going to the Rose Bowl and that would be an absolute tragedy. (Disclaimer: I'm old enough to still think winning the Rose Bowl is awesome, and that's not sarcasm font, my friend.)  There's a lot of info about teams and schedules that gets put into comments on the various threads on the site, and I figured it would be useful to post it all on one place.  So, this is, as of Week 6 in NCAA season 2013, a list of undefeated teams by conference, with notable games left for them to play, and maybe some discussion about it.  I mean this mostly as a certain level of utility.  I'm also putting this together under a series of postulates.  I suppose you can argue with them, but I personally really won't- the list has all of these in mind, and if you don't like my assumptions, well, make your own list.  With your own assumptions.  And blackjack.  And hookers.
Assumption #1: OSU needs to be undefeated to get into the BCS Championship.  I don't think this is really that debatable, since I don't see our Strength of Schedule as quite enough to separate us from a morass of X-1 teams. 
Assumption #2: An undefeated team from a non-AQ conference will not play in the BCS Championship.  The never have, and I don't see it happening the last time, either.  So, I won't list non-AQ teams.
Assumption #3: Well, really more like a point: I don't see there being more than one or two undefeateds at the end of the year.  It's pretty rare.
American Athletics Conference
 vs Rutgers (10/10), vs UCF (10/18) vs. Houston.
@ Rutgers, (10/26) @UCF (11/9) @ Louisville (11/16)
Notes: Obviously, both of these teams play each other, so one of them will not be undefeated at season's end.  Rutgers is a pretty good team, too, and either team might lose to them in addition.  That said, I would not be shocked of Louisville was still standing at the end of the season, but if there are three undefeateds and OSU and Louisville are two of them, I doubt Louisvillie will jump OSU.
Atlantic Coastal Conference:
vs Florida State (10/19), @ Maryland (10/26), @ South Carolina (11/30)
Florida State:
@Clemson (10/19), vs Miami (11/2), @ Florida (11/30)
@Florida State (11/2) vs Virginia Tech (11/9)
Notes:  Obviously, there's also an ACC Championship Game in there for this conference, which also is more chances for someone to lose.  So, each of these schools play at least one of the others, so only two can go undefeated (If FSU loses to both Miami and Clemson.) Somehow, I don't see Miami going unscathed regardless of the situation, and I don't see the winner of FSU vs Clemson getting past their SEC rivalry game at the end of the year either.  Especially Clemson.  (Because, Fuck Clemson.)  So, I think we root for Clemson over FSU, FSU over Miami and South Carolina over Clemson.  Or, that's how I'll be rooting, for no really good reason, I guess.
The Big XII
vs Texas (10/12), vs Texas Tech (10/26), @Baylor (11/7),  @ Oklahoma State (12/7).
Texas Tech
@ Oklahoma (10/26), vs Oklahoma State (11/2),  vs Baylor (11/16)
vs. Oklahoma (11/7), vs Texas Tech (10/26), @ Oklahoma State (11/23)
Notes: Obviously, the good news is that all the undefeated teams have to both play each other and Oklahoma State, who, while they have one loss, doesn't look like too bad of a team.  Also, Oklahoma has the Red River Shootout, which if Texas ever decides to show up to a game, that would be the one to come in for.  Oklahoma may run the table up to Bedlam, though I wouldn't be surprised if they don't.  We'll find out very quickly what Baylor is or is not made of in the conference schedule, and I don't think Texas Tech will stay unbeaten forever, either.  Overall, I don't think any of these teams will come out 12-0, and I don't know if, without a conference championship, they would jump OSU in a three unbeaten scenario.
A quick recap- it's Good Guys and Them, and we play.
vs. UCLA (10/19), vs Oregon (11/7), vs Notre Dame (11/30)
vs. Washington (10/12), vs. UCLA (10/26), @Stanford (11/7), Oregon State (11/29)
@ Stanford (10/19), @ Oregon (10/26), vs Washington (11/15), @USC (11/30)
Notes: Stanford has the best route to undefeated here, but still has to play some good teams.  Oregon has not really hit the bulk of its schedule, and I don't think UCLA will prove good enough to run the table, especially playing in both Palo Alto and Autzen.  And, of course, there's still a Conference Championship to consider.  Still, if we see two unbeatens in college football, counting the Buckeyes, I think it comes from the Pac-12.
Southeastern Conference:
Missouri (!?):
Ah, the hell with it.  Missou hasn't played anyone, they ain't going undefeated.  Besides, the team to look at is
Well, I'm an idiot.  Missou won big between the hedges.  So:
vs Florida (10/19), vs South Carolina (Oct 26th), @ Ole Miss (11/23), vs Texas A&M (11/30)
vs LSU (11/9), @ Auburn (11/30)
Notes: Alabama's game against LSU really just has the opportunity to upset everything for everyone.  Bama doesn't actually have that tough of a schedule, though will play a very tough championship game.  (Most likely the winner of the Cocktail Party.)  That said, if you told me that they dropped a different game, I wouldn't be too shocked.  It's a common trope to bash the SEC around here, but it's a good conference that can have a lot of odd surprises.  The same is probably true of the Pac-12 and ACC, too, so nothing is a gimmie.
Overall, I don't think we'll see three undefeateds, unless those three are OSU, Stanford/Oregon and Louisvillie.  That would be pretty odd, too.  Of course, the best case for us overall is to go undefeated and have no one else- then there's the argument of which 1 loss team we get.  Also, there's a whole lot of football left, so buckle up your chin strap and enjoy.
Edit 1: Updated with hot Week 7 action, though as I write this UCLA and Cal are still playing.

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