yes, being at MSU, chance is slim, and PSU is so banged up, I doubt they will have much fight in them... prob want the season to be over with, so their QB can move on w/ NFL. He had a rough 4 years there.. I respect him for coming to PSU during the scandal era. But man, his O line sucked for entire tenure.
Their D is good but their best player is hurt.
I don't see a close game, unless it is MSU itself blows up with let down, complacency, and just think they will win w/o showing up. then, there is a chance.
More plausible scenario is IF OSU wins (big if), MSU wins, we need chaos:
1. OSU (the other school) beats OK
2. TCU beats Baylor
3. Stanford beats ND
4. NEBRASKA beats IOWA
IF above happens, MSU, AL and Clemson are 100% in. 1 slot battle among teams - OK State, Stanford, Ohio State. 1 loss OK State would have quality win over OK, but schedule sux. OSU has prob best 1 loss against playoff team MSU and would have win against top 10 TTUN. 2 loss Stanford some good wins (ND for one) but still 2 losses vs 1 loss OSU and OK State.
So I think OSU good guys might make it.
again, ND, OK, Baylor and Iowa would all need losses.... I think 2-3 of these losses very possible. all 4 improbable but who knows.