This is fantastic! Would love to see the defensive graphs :)
How about Joey Bosa plays run defense on Saturday, instead of trying to get sacks 24/7. Not being a hater, but I think TTUN took advantage of his pass rushing prowess last weekend.
I think you could probably throw Joe Burrow into one of the most underrated 2015 recruits in the country. The comeback he orchestrated vs. St. Vincent-St. Mary late in the game made a statement about his moxy -- he's building a legend status. I don't see how this guy can be a 3-star player ranked in the 300-400 range nationally. We are going to be very happy we have Joey Burrow in Columbus soon. He plays at the 'Shoe tonight...get yourself comfortable, Mr. Burrow.
It's not about gambling. I was purely mentioning the odds to derive a probability of one of the teams ahead of OSU losing. TCU, Bama, Oregon, Florida State are all favorites but the odds say ~50% chance one of them loses. Just for info purposes, my man.
Based on the moneyline odds in Las Vegas right now and the related probabilities of victory....TCU is -13,650, 99.27% win probability; Oregon is -485, 82.95% win probability; Alabama is -370, 78.72% win probability; Florida State is -196, 66.22% win probability
The chance that at least one of TCU, Florida State, Oregon and Alabama loses, based on moneyline odds in Vegas (which are not adjusted for the juice), is 57.1%. If you adjust for the juice (bid/ask spread that bookmakers get their money from), it's probably closer to around 50% but just some info. Pretty fair chances one of them loses...it's like flipping a coin. Of course, OSU needs to win and they are not favored to do so in Vegas right now.
JB was right...Branden Bowen just de-committed from Utah a couple of minutes ago...
Interesting, although not comprehensive, reads on the D-League vs. Europe linked below. Serbia was specifically brought up in the second article; players sometimes get batteries, lighters, coins, etc. thrown at them. I looked at this team's current roster and Craft would be the only American. Still, I'd sign the contract if it were just me: a very good salary for someone that age ($100k-ish, tax free) and it'd be a real character building experience, but I imagine it'll probably be Mrs. Craft making the decision. Good luck to Aaron! I'll speculate that he signs with another team in Western Europe (far easier sell to the wife), but I have no insight.
I think when all is said and done, Jae'Sean Tate is going to make the largest impact on this team (over four years). I'm so excited for D'Angelo Russell but I fear he may be around for one year (maybe two). Tate isn't a true NBA talent b/c he doesn't have a real position but he does so many things well and he's a grinder. Not a 2-guard, not a small forward, not a power forward...he's all of those things lumped into one and I think he's going to drive fans of other Big Ten teams nuts the next four years. The first year he may struggle but I really think he's going to be a big factor in the Big Ten his JR and SR seasons. Tate is a very good basketball player, even if he doesn't fit any specific role perfectly.
I can't be the only one wondering how JT Barrett's emergence impacts Torrance Gibson's view on OSU -- the 2016 (or even 2015) QB job looked wide open a month ago. Now? Not so much. I don't consider this a problem, btw.
I realize this isn't adding any insight to the article, but great work, JB. Love the insight and candor. A+ work. Thanks.
You've obviously got to tip your hat to Matta and company, but I think its likely Austin Grandstaff played a big part in Mickey's re-commitment.
That sucks. I was not surprised about Bragg deciding against OSU and was not surprised when Mitchell decommitted, but I thought Esa was doing to be a Buckeye. Disappointing, BUT I don't think many of us would have bet on Austin Grandstaff committing to OSU so you win some and lose some.
This leaves more room for the 2016 class, which looks like it could be potentially great.
Who's the blonde? Wowza!
Great write-up. The O-Line looked bad last night. There was one play in 4Q where Billy Price was just plain run over by the attacking defender. Happened much of the night. I'm not so certain Braxton Miller would have done materially better than Barrett last night with the constant pressure, and the dropped passes.
Regarding the O-Line problems, I'm concerned about our RB's. We've got a lot of these hybrid RB/WR guys back there that can't pass block, and Rod Smith did an awful job a few times picking up the blitz looking lost many times. I like having Samuel, Wilson and Marshall on the field but having a RB that can pass block would be nice considering you've got a freshman QB out there with a poor O-Line. Can Dunn or Ball provide any sort of pass blocking help?
I'd be happy with just Ahmad. He seems like a really solid player that'll make an impact for four years.
I'd love to see Carlton Bragg in Columbus, but I can see him going to college for one year and then leaving for the NBA. That first year in college may be him developing his game with the associated growing pains, and may not be as good as what Ahmad could be his JR and SR seasons.
We shall see. I love the basketball recruiting updates on this site. Great work, Mike!
This isn't horrible news for Ohio State basketball, to be honest. Mitchell is an electrifying athlete and he would have been fun to watch in Columbus, but I don't think this is so bad for Ohio State...
OSU was in a scholarship crunch. There are some excellent guys in the 2016 class that have OSU at the top of their list; VJ King, Omari Spellman and Derek Funderburk are all top 50 in their class next year and OSU looks like the early leader for all three. If Esa Ahmad commits, OSU would only have 1 available scholarship (with Mitchell on board) for all three. It'd suck seeing Spellman and Funderburk go to a B1G rival b/c we didn't have the scholarships. I'm sure Matta would try to work something out, but that isn't an ideal way to go. Mitchell is now gone, but there will be another very strong recruit to take his place this year or next.
Esa Ahmad isn't the flashy athlete Mitchell is, but I think his game is more complete (Ahmad can hit jumpers). I think Ahmad is a really good player and could be a major contributor for multiple years. I'm not too optimistic about Bragg committing to OSU -- it'd be great to get him but he'd likely be a one-and-done guy.
It's a shame we won't see either Mitchell display their athleticism in Columbus -- both are athletic freaks in my eyes. I wish Mickey and the family well, but I really don't think this is that bad of news for Ohio State. The recruiting pipeline looks loaded.
It looks like OSU has a serious scholarship crunch for 2016. There are some GOOD players in Ohio that are interested in Ohio State; can you imagine Ohio State having to turn away VJ King, Omari Spellman or Derek Funderburke? All three of those guys are the type of talents that could potentially be the gem of any recruiting class, and the crystal ball predictions for all of them are for OSU (albeit it’s still EARLY). That just goes to show why OSU didn’t show much interest in Moyer, a very good player in his own right.
I think Bragg ends up going to Kansas or Kentucky, which is fine. I still want to land Esa Ahmad if he wants to come to Columbus, but if not it looks like that’ll open up a spot for someone else in 2016 that’ll be an impact player.
I sure hope we don’t have to turn away a player that is top 50 in his class b/c we don’t have an open scholarship. It’s a good problem to have. It’s amazing where Thad Matta has taken this program. Big thumps up to Thad.
A coincidence that it was 4/20?
Haha, I like it. That tune is one of my all-time favorites but nothing beats Troublesome 96
That's gotta be a David Lighty jersey.
After a rough start his freshman year, he turned out to be a very good player. I think fans should respect his decision -- he can make good money for someone in his early 20's even if he ends up playing in Europe. I hope he makes an NBA roster, but playing Europe could be pretty cool if you're up to living abroad. People will tell Ross, "Look at DeShaun Thomas...what a mistake he made leaving early". DeShaun Thomas is getting paid ~$150k/year, which is big money for someone that age, and playing in Paris, France (not a bad place to live!). He's also on the same team as David Lighty. We forget about these guys when they go abroad, but they do well for themselves.
Good luck to Q. I'll never forget that "cold-blooded 3" he made to beat Arizona in the Sweet 16 last year!
I wish Ohio would do what Indiana does with IU, Notre Dame, Purdue and Butler, or the "Crossroads Classic".
Who wouldn't get excited about a 4 or 8 team tournament in December for Ohio? Ohio State, Xavier, Dayton, U of Cincinnati, Ohio U, Kent State, Akron, Cleveland State, etc. There's lots of good basketball programs in the state of Ohio and this would be a good test to prepare you for Big Ten play, and probably the NCAA tournament, too.
These pre-conference match-ups vs. Louisiana-Monroe, Delaware, North Dakota State, Bryant -- who the hell cares? It's nice to develop young talent, but to be honest, I think young talent will develop better in games that are actually competitive.
I'm not interested in this guy. He doesn't look like a PF; he's a SF and we've got no need for that. We need post players, not raw players that throw up ill-advised 3's. No thanks.
I think a primary reason why Russell committed to OSU was because he expects to play early with Craft and Smith departing. I really doubt Kameron Williams starts over D'Angelo Russell. I think Williams will be a nice player at OSU, but Russell could be great. D'Angelo will be given every opportunity to start as a true freshman. I hope he's up to it because OSU needs him.
Myles Turner sounds quite unlikely for Ohio State. We're stuck with another year of hoping Amir Williams can turn into something useful offensively. OSU's 2015 class must get a true post guy, so landing Daniel Giddens would be a tremendous boost to this program. I think a lack of a true post presence hurt OSU's jump shooting this year b/c they got less good looks than they did when teams had to double team Jared Sullinger, and even DeShaun Thomas, down low.
We'll see what happens with Mickey Mitchell. As much as I like watching him showboat (he's a great athlete) on his YouTube videos, I think he's probably going to de-commit.
If OSU can land Giddens and Carlton Bragg to go along with this very nice 2014 class, this program will be right back there contending for a Big Ten title in coming years.