I am in the boat of a few others on this thread, specifically that we have NO RIGHT TO COMPLAIN as we sit here on November 5th. We have no quality wins to date, and we have a cement-block-of-a-loss dangling around our necks. Having said that, I still feel there is a REAL POSSIBILITY that in less than 20 days, Ohio State could be sitting in the Top 4. And when I say “Real Possibility,” I do not mean heavens parting & pigs flying type of odds.
With the # of head-to-head match-ups of teams above us occurring between now & Conference Championships, it is GUARANTEED that 7 teams above us will lose. So in reality, we are really counting on only a few games to fall our way (Oregon @ Utah, Baylor @ OU, either L'ville/USC over ND or Arizona over ASU). If we can have a few of these "hit," the Buckeyes are sitting pretty.
There’s also some clarity we need to discuss with the SEC West. First, an undefeated or 1-loss SEC West team will make it ahead of Ohio State. Let’s just admit to the facts – or conspiracy – and go with it. Believe this or not, but we have a slight rooting interest for BAMA, because them losing to BOTH Miss St & Auburn would be bad news! That would leave the dreaded 1-loss, non-title playing SEC West Team at large for the #4 slot. As for 2-loss SEC West teams, the ONLY SCENARIO I see is a 2-loss LSU running the table & ending the year on a 6-game winning streak. I say this because a 2-loss BAMA/AUB/Miss St would have the combination of 2 losses including losing the last game of the season PLUS not playing in their conference championship. No way the Selection Committee selects a team with this profile (2-losses, losing streak, and no championship game) ahead of a 1-loss, B1G Champion Ohio State that would be riding a 11-game winning streak, including wins vs. Sparty & Nebraska, coached by Urban Meyer, with 1 loss happening in September with a RS-Freshman.