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rock flag and eagle

Member since 17 June 2013 | Blog

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Comment 13 hours ago

He could have watched the Nebraska-MSU game and replicated the Husker's playcalling against Sparty, but he had better things to do with his time.

He doesn't seem like the most perspicacious coach.

Comment 13 hours ago

That's not correct.  A quick look at the stats show that Jehu Chesson (#86) has 8 recpetions on 3rd down this year.  Meanwhile, Amara Darboh (#82) has more than double that.  He has 17 3rd down recptions this year.  Jake Butt (#88) has the same number of 3rd down receptions as Chesson.  #86 isn't Michigan's top option on 3rd down, more like 2a/2b with Butt.

Comment 24 Nov 2015

That's one way of characterizing it.  

Another is that with Tim Beck as OC, OSU is 0-1 against ranked teams.  The very first time they faced a ranked opponent, they shriveled and died.  Not sure what 2012 has to do with this version of Ohio State.  

Comment 18 Nov 2015
I agree. If the committee is truly evaluating each team's entire body of work, they should understand that winning big games early in the season really indicates a lot about a team's focus, coaching, ability to be prepared for anything, etc. Schedule swapping a non-conference cupcake with a tough conference opponents should tell the committee some very interesting things about the major contenders.
Comment 18 Nov 2015
"but it's not the Buckeyes' fault for the Big Ten schedule." I agree, but here's a question for the board: how is it Alabama's fault that the SEC scheduled them to play a conference game September 19th, two weeks before B1G teams needed to play conference play? I guess i just don't get this "chickenshit" thing. The SEC likes having marquee games in September, so the teams' schedules have an opening in November. Not individual teams at fault. Imagine if Ohio state had to play a michigan state or penn state last year in week 3, right after losing to VaTech. The oline hadn't gelled yet, and Barrett was still in over his head. OSU wouldn't have had a chance to make the playoff if they had a more challenging September. I mean, to me, the SEC forcing their marquee teams to be ready for high stakes conference games in early September isn't chickenshit...I think it would be intimidating.
Comment 08 Nov 2015

Very true.  Also, don't forget that Meyer got away from his successful paradigm once before.  

In 2010, after Tebow graduated, Meyer tried to install pass first, immobile QB John Brantley to lead the Gator offense.  The results were dreadful.  Florida fell from the 6th best offense nationally in 2009 to 83rd in 2010.  Not surprisingly, Meyer reacted the same way in 2010 as he did this year.  In 2010, after 7 games, he began integrating Jordan Reed as a QB running threat.  Over the last 5 games of the year, Reed averaged 14.4 rushes per game.  This year, at roughly the same point in the season, he pulled the plug on his Cardale experiment and went back to a QB more adept at rushing.  In the last three games (Minnesota aside) Barrett has averaged 12 rushes per game.   

Comment 05 Nov 2015

Actually, MassiveAttack has the facts confused and is incorrect.  Saban left the SEC after the 2004 season, before Meyer arrived in Florida.  Saban returned to the SEC in 2007.  Saban and Meyer did not coach against each other that year.  They faced off in 2008, 2009 and 2010 before Meyer resigned.  Meyer won the first matchup.  Saban won in 2009 and 2010.  Saban was 2-1 against Meyer in SEC play, and 2-2 now.  

Comment 03 Nov 2015

You mentioned Meyer's superior inaugural class, but didn't mention much additional context.  In case anyone is interested in a bit more context, this is what I remember.  The situations were not similar.  Different recruiting landscape.  

Most signigicantly, OSU had scholarship space to take a large class; Michigan always intended to take a very small class (approx. 25 to 15, respectively.)  Also, in his first year, Meyer was fortunate that many Penn State commits and leans were suddenly no longer interested in going to State College due to scandal and the deposed Paterno regime.  Meyer's top competitors for recruits were Hoke (a good recruiter), Dantonio (ascending, but MSU still hadn't been to a BCS bowl and he was still recruiting diamonds in the rough), Brian Kelly (coming off two 5 loss seasons) and sanctions-limited Bill O'Brien.

When Harbaugh came in his competitors were James Franklin (a good recruiter, sanctions free), Dantonio (coming off two consecutive BCS wins and recruiting better than ever) Meyer (defending national champion and great recruiter) and a similarly mediocre Notre Dame as Feb. 2012 (but now with a national championship game appearance under Kelly's belt.)  

Comment 19 Oct 2015
"For reference, last year Ohio State was 1st in S&P+ both offensively and defensively." OSU was ranked 11th in defense by S&P rating last year, not 1st. They were 42nd against the rush, 8th against pass, according to S&P+ rating. Perhaps you misread Ole Miss as Ohio State, as they were actually the top defense S&P+ team of 2014?
Comment 15 Oct 2015

Could also have something to do with Fournette not being draft eligible this year.

Comment 13 Oct 2015

Urban Meyer does not have a Master's degree in psychology.  

He has a Bachelor's degree in psychology from Cincinnati.  His Master's is actually in Sports Administration.

Comment 11 Oct 2015

ESPN has sort of been chomping at the bit to heep praise on the guy. He is a heck of a coach but they were ready to nearly appoint them Big Ten Champs before the season started 

No, ESPN was not close to picking Michigan to win the Big Ten.

They had them ranked 7th in the Big Ten, 4th in the East Division.  Their preseason ranking said:  "The defense should be solid. The offense? There's plenty of work to do. Jim Harbaugh should instill some toughness on that side of the ball. But what's the ultimate ceiling for a team without any bona fide stars?"  

In fact, no Big Ten writer predicted better than 3rd in the Big Ten East.  Every writer predicted their record between 8-4 and 6-6.

Comment 11 Oct 2015
2014 Florida State was in a slightly different situation. they had already beaten Oklahoma State and Clemson at this point last season. at this point in the season last year, Oklahoma State was 5-1 and ranked about 16th, and Clemson was 4-2 and coming off an Orange Bowl winning season. so Florida State didn't look great last year, but they still had a fairly impressive resume. Right now, Ohio State does not.
Comment 08 Oct 2015

Michigan's strength of schedule to this point is ranked No. 31. Ohio State checks in at No. 74, while the Spartans pull up the rear at No. 83

It says "to this point..."  The Sagarin SOS rating is up to this point of the season.  It doesn't have anything to do with who they have yet to play.

Notice, according to Sagarin's formula he says the strength of schedule is determined by the games played so far...

The SCHEDULE ratings represent what the rating would have to be for a hypothetical team to have a mathematical expectation of winning precisely 50% of their games against the schedule played by the team in question in the games that it has played so far

Your comment is incorrect.

The reason _ichigan has a tougher schedule is because they play Ohio state and Michigan state who are higher ranked

Comment 06 Oct 2015

Well, the tweets didn't strike my ear as all that encouraging.  It seems like the backups haven't gotten nearly as much time/opportunity as last year.  So, even though the stats are the same, they are achieving it by playing the starters much longer.  Outside of Hawaii, I don't recall much opportunity to take their foot off the gas.

For instance, against Indiana, other than QB runs, only 3 OSU players had rushes: Elliot (23 rushes), Braxton Miller (1 rush), Curtis Samuel (1 rush).  That means Elliot took 92% of all Buckeye RB rushes.  But, last year, OSU was blowing overmatched teams out.  For instance, against Cincy in 2014: Elliot (28 rushes), Rod Smith (11 rushes), Curtis Samuel (5 rushes), Jalin Marshall (3 rushes), Bri'onte Dunn (1 rush).  In this case, Elliot shouldered only 58% of the rushes.  

Against Kent State last year, Elliot had 7 of OSU's 41 non-QB rushes.  That's 17% of the load.  The stats may be the same as last year, but they are definitely NOT THE SAME as last year.  Starters shouldn't have to be in until the last play against 2-3 NIU.

Comment 05 Oct 2015

Any word on Indiana's QB and RB injuries?  IU wasn't the same team after Howard went down.  And, Diamont is a big step down from a healthy Sudfeld.  Hard (for me, at least) to pick IU over a legit defense with Diamont at the helm.  Plus, IU currently has the 119th ranked defense nationally.  Even PSU's offense (117th nationally) has a chance to move the ball on a team that porous. 

Comment 05 Oct 2015

Andy Staples (SI writer and Florida Grad) touched on this in his Sunday column.  He agrees.  This feels like the 2009 Gators.

This spring, I asked Urban Meyer how he planned to keep this season from feeling like the 2009 season at Florida. The parallels were pretty strong, but the major difference seemed to be a changed approach by Meyer to handling the departure of assistants and a better chemistry among the Buckeyes than Meyer's Gators had in 2009.

Despite that, these Buckeyes have looked an awful lot like those Gators.

Comment 04 Oct 2015
I suspect that the voters who felt Alabama should be ranked higher didn't feel that Ole Miss won handily. They probably felt that Alabama was the better team but they gave the game away with careless turnovers. In my personal opinion, It's a similar situation to Baylor vs. MSU last year. Baylor threw for over 600 yards and built a 20 point 4th quarter lead, but cooked it away with missed field goals, penalties and not paying attention during an onside kick. I feel Baylor was a better team than MSU, which just didn't happen to win. Play that game 10 times, I bet Baylor Wins 7 or 8. Perhaps the voters feel the same way about Alabama and Ole Miss
Comment 04 Oct 2015
Well, OSU hasn't beaten a ranked team. MSU hasn't beaten a ranked team. Baylor hasn't beaten a ranked team. TCU hasn't beaten a ranked team. Why not Utah? They have a better resume than any of the top 4 at this point.
Comment 02 Oct 2015

If there is a major reason for the benefit of the doubt that FSU received and the skepticism that OSU is receiving this year, it's most likely due to schedule.

Neither team looked great.  But, 4 games into the 2014 season, FSU had already beaten Oklahoma State (ranked approx. 30th in coaches poll, 33rd in AP at the time) and Clemson (ranked 22nd at the time.)  They played better competition.  Why would anyone suggest a defending champ with 2 decent scalps (one ranked) by week four didn't deserve to be in the playoff? 

At this point, OSU hasn't beaten a ranked opponent and VT was ranked approx. 29th in the preseason and gone downhill from there.  They haven't accomplished as much as FSU at the same point in the season.  It doesn't strike me as biased.