kjonesATX's picture

kjonesATX 12th Warrior


Austin (via Columbus)

Member since 29 May 2014 | Blog

Born in Columbus, raised in Austin. Once a Buckeye, always a Buckeye.

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  • SPORTS MOMENT: Attending both the Sugar Bowl over Alabama in New Orleans and the NC over Oregon in Arlington in the span of less than two weeks.

Recent Activity

Comment 2 hours ago

Yea, if the numbers were predictive 100% of the time there would be no reason to go against them.. ever. I do think Stanford is the better team, and the smart bet would be to pick them. Just going with the Friday night, home crowd, in what should be a hyped-up stadium/atmosphere. I mean, seriously, when is the last time a top-10 matchup occurred at UW?

Comment 21 hours ago

Good stuff, and glad to see the data taking hold while slowly removing preseason bias. I bet some of the downers from week 1 aren't looking at this anymore, or are pretty happy to see us ranked #2 now if they are looking..

So you can complain about it, or you can accept the fact that statistically the Rebels are good…actually.

Yep.

I went against you and the data in two games last week, and got them both wrong. Thought UCLA might pull it off, and A&M was the more physical team (opposite of what I thought we'd see). I'm slowly removing my preseason bias too. We'll find out more about the Aggies in the next three weeks with games against Tenn and @Bama (same with Tenn - @A&M and Bama).

This week, I keep going back and forth on the Stanford/Wash game. Ultimately, I think Stanford is just slightly better, but perhaps Washington struggled last week as they were looking ahead. I'll take UW in this one, for no other reason than gut feeling (and home field). The preseason bias, analytics, and Vegas all like TUN to take care of Wisconsin. I agree, and think they do cover the spread. I hate myself for typing that.

I agree with your take on Tennessee. I think they should cover. The Louisville/Clemson game is interesting because of what you mention. Louisville's #1 offense versus Clemson's #1 defense. I'll take defense and home field. Plus some of the guys on that sideline have more experience in big, primetime matchups. Hopefully Clemson's defense puts a dent in Lamar Jackson's heisman campaign, so JT's can gain some ground.

Comment 22 Sep 2016

Houston moved up seven spots, but still sits at #20, 14 places lower than AP voters ranked them. If Houston continues to put up big numbers, this gap will close.

Interesting, that FEI has no more preseason bias, and Houston is #7 in their rankings. They have TxSt and UConn in the next two weeks, and by then the S&P+ will be over 80% data from this season. I'd imagine if they win those two and play well they could be in, or close to, the top-10 going into Navy.

They have cut the gap between themselves and ‘Bama by more than half in just three games. The Buckeyes’ efficiency on both sides of the ball is the primary reason for this increase.

Good to see not only us moving up, but the percentages getting much tighter. We were 31.2% behind Bama in week 1, and then 29.9% behind in week 2. Now, only 9.9% separates us.

I was with you on all 4 games last week, so also went 2-2. This week, I'm with you on the first three (Ole Miss, MichSt, Tenn) because I think they are slightly better teams, and they are all at home. They are all very close, though, and could go either way. I'll go with Arkansas/Bert over A&M, though, as I just don't trust the Aggies or Sumlin. I can't stand Bert, but I believe they are just more physical, and that's the difference. Lastly, I'm gonna take UCLA at home over Stanford. Not extremely confident in that one, but I'll go with home field and the night game being enough to give the edge to them.

Comment 19 Sep 2016

Yep. We had two pieces while we waited for our entire pizza that we took back to the family across the street. Then another piece during the rain.

Fun Fact we learned while in there twice during the day: It was the place's 3rd (?!?) day open. That's right, that place had only been open for business for 3 days and was operating at a high level on their first game day being open. Quite impressive.

Comment 19 Sep 2016

Had a blast. The trip was a first for me, as in, first traveling and tailgating with kid(s). Brought our 9-month old, and had a 2-yr old niece as well (along with in-laws). Very different from just the wife and myself. Still a lot of fun. We ended up in that huge grassy area just south of Campus Corner for most of the afternoon.

As for the game, a couple of times in the first/second qtr, their fans got LOUD. It was impressive. A small part of me wishes it had been a closer game and gone down to the wire. Would have made for an incredible atmosphere. 

Oklahoma fans were awesome. I actually have known several down here in Austin for years, and we usually meet up with them at TX/OU game as well. Good times. Glad to hear you had a great time as well.

Already looking up flights/hotels for Phoenix/Atlanta for NYE, and Tampa for about 10 days later than that..

Comment 19 Sep 2016

I also have a video, from the other side of the stadium that I thought was better than Elika's. About the same as your video. Good stuff.

Comment 17 Sep 2016
Just made it down to Campus Corner, trying to figure out where to post up
Comment 14 Sep 2016
I'm guessing 10K-15K Buckeyes of 85K or so folks. I'm hoping for an O-H-I-O at some point, since that probably means good things for the good guys
Comment 14 Sep 2016
We start out slow and maake some mistakes, but defense keeps it from getting too bad. OU up 20-13 at half, and our adjustments make the difference in the second half. Final tOSU 44 - OU 33 with a late TD that puts it out of reach
Comment 14 Sep 2016

Just checked on Costco Travel, and you can get a rental car Friday morning-Mon morning for about $100. Get an intermediate one that gets good gas mileage and you could get away with 2-3 tanks (probably less than $100) worth of gas.

Comment 13 Sep 2016

And I bet you are tired of trying to explain to folks them come on here and immediately try to knock the rankings simply because LSU is still so high. Let the data have time to sort out who the teams really are this year, and play some different levels of competition, folks.

Comment 13 Sep 2016

I'm with you on all 4 games this week: FSU, Bama, ND, and tOSU. Looking forward to some real movement beginning next week, and for the next month.

Comment 13 Sep 2016

Campus Corner for sure.  Similar to Lane Av.

That's exactly what I was thinking. We are also going to have a rental, and my in-laws will have a car and we thought about trying to set up a tailgate, but with two kids and close to 10 of us, thinking Campus Corner will be cool to walk through and go into bars/restaurants. 

Comment 13 Sep 2016

I've never been there for a game (been to many TX/OU games, but those are in Dallas), and only been through the town once for lunch. I did stay at a Holiday Inn Express last night, though.

I say we start a "those in Norman" thread on game day for a possible meetup, though. I will have my wife, 9-month old daughter, and about 6-8 members of my wife's family with me (all Longhorns pulling for the good guys), so I'm not sure what to expect when we get down there.

Comment 13 Sep 2016

The Big XII - In 2016, one of your power house teams played a game and it wasn't on television.  Shame. On. You.  The financial impacts of their horrendous television deal, and your other blunders, have ripple effects across your conference.  Purdue is about to have better football facilities than, Kansas, Iowa State, and Texas Tech.  You need to get a television deal in place muy pronto, or you're going to continue to slide.

True. Texas and Oklahoma will be fine no matter what happens, but every other school in the conference can't afford to fall much more behind.

Comment 13 Sep 2016

I'm thinking Campus Corner area before the game. Seems to be many choices of bars/restaurants in that area. The other option is the row of tailgates south of the stadium.

Comment 13 Sep 2016

This means that if you want beer that might actually get you drunk, you’ll have to find liquor stores (which close at 9 p.m.).

What that failed to mention, is that beer sold in liquor stores is sold at room temperature.. There are no refrigerators/coolers with cold beer. So if you want normal ABV beer, you have to buy it at a liquor store and then put it on ice before you can drink a cold beer. So dumb.

Comment 13 Sep 2016

I'll admit, losing both 2-year starters at safety was my biggest concern going into spring practice. On top of replacing those two, the two guys with the most experience (Burrows and Smith) were coming off injury. Add in a new position coach? It seemed like the most obvious position of concern, in my eyes. Now? Not so much.