there are basically two ways in:
1) The preferred/more likely scenario - MSU loses and we win two games
2) The two Big10 team scenario - MSU wins out and #chaos reigns to the tune of 3 or 4 upsets (I'm looking at you ND, Oklahoma, Clemson, Baylor)
I have my first coming in in May. I would buy, no doubt.
best case scenario: bama goes down, we move to 2, ND moves to 3.
We destroy ND and take on the winner of Clemson - OK state/Oklahoma
SEC misses the playoff.
So with LSU, Stanford, Baylor, and Utah going down, it would seem the chances of the Pac 10 getting a team in are now zero. The only Big 12 teams with a shot are OK State or Oklahoma (think OSU early loss to VT). At this point, the current top 4 truly control their own destiny now.
If any stumble, the Big 12 champ has the next slot imo
It'd be nice to get Parish Campbell back for the stretch run. Other than him, maybe Dontre gets healthy enough to contribute, anyone else?
agree, 6 is my favorite final format
hah, you think the bama LSU game was close? they held fournette to 31 yards. LSU didn't have a chance.
I think they'll be 6:
everyone else who doesn't control their own destiny (my assumption is the big 12 canabalizes themselves thus making ND/stanford a potential play in game)
the committee left ND and Baylor out of the top 4 last week. Neither did anything to change that. The only change to the top 4 is LSU losing. Clemson stays 1, bama moves up to 2, OSU stays at 3. That opens up spot 4. The only team that did anything to deserve a jump is OK state. I don't think they'll end in the top 4, but the committee has proven in the past not to just move teams up one spot when someone ahead of them loses. They look at the resumes all over again and redo the orders.
OK state won the first big game in the Big 12 and I think the committee will temporarily reward them for that.
so you question ok states schedule and then drop Baylor in the top 4 after they squeeked out a win against K state? That doesn't make much sense.
Bama has one loss, so any slip up will eliminate them. I don't see it happening, but they do have Florida, Auburn rivalry game, miss state. Clemson should win out now that they're past FSU. OSU/Iowa control their own destiny. MSU might get passed as a 1 loss team depending on how the Big 12 and ND/Pac 12 finish. Basically I think an undefeated Big 12 and 1 loss ND/Pac 12 would each get in ahead of Sparty.
If I had to guess how it all shakes out:
1) Clemson 2) Bama 3) OSU 4) Stanford
I don't see losses left on any of the top 3's schedules. I think OK State, Oklahoma, TCU, and Baylor all rough each other up to the tune of at least 1 loss each and get passed up on conf championship week again. This is basically the 4 I had before the season except I had TCU instead of Clemson.
Can someone tell me exactly what ND, with 1 loss, did to move ahead of OSU? Last I checked Pitt losses 4-5 games a year.
i agree with you. no way ND is going to be in the top 4 with a loss. OK state won the first big game in the Big 12, so they go ahead of Baylor for now.
By the way, Florida almost lost to Vanderbilt, LSU's big win against Florida doesn't look that great now. Then they get smoked by Alabama. And we are officially back to Bama being the only good team in the SEC yet again. And nice job Ole Miss. Lost to Bert, the only team in the SEC that gives Vanderbilt a run for their money as the worst team in the SEC.
looks good to me. People could probably argue for Baylor ahead of OSU, but the precedent was set that the defending champ stays in the top 4 until they lose. FSU looked far worse than us last year.
That being said, all of this is pretty much a waste of energy. The final 4 will be:
1) power fives (less Big 12) undefeated after the conf championship games.
2) Big 12 undefeated if there are not 4 undefeated with conf championships to their name. There should be a spot.
3) If there is a spot left after that, hottest one loss conf champ.
2 game is right, but your crazy if you think Urban is going to let him out of the doghouse right after that. I wish it weren't true, but it's time to rally around Cardale again.