Humbuck's picture

Humbuck


Member since 27 August 2013 | Blog

Helmet Stickers: 462 | Leaderboard

Recent Activity

Comment 28 Sep 2014

Brionte was making plays on kickoff coverage, glad he got a redemption carry after his fumble. 

he might have to take the long road to get into a game but I'm glad he is still engaged. 

Comment 27 Sep 2014

The irony is, the second TD was Kwon's fault for drifting too far inside and getting blocked out of his lane.  Grant was not in the game as frequently as he has been.  Looks like the staff is willing to deal with the young guy's mistakes over the older guy's errors. 

Comment 27 Sep 2014

Did you honestly think we would go from 110 to top 10 in 4 games? 

I agree there are lots of things to clean up on defense but this is a process and it won't happen as fast as fans want it to happen. 

Instead of 10-12-14 god-awful plays, they had 3.  I know it is still 3 and it is still 3 more than are acceptable but the D that fell so far will not be a quick fix. 

Comment 26 Sep 2014

The money line is a much better indicator of how Vegas feels about a team.

-900 to -950 for OSU means that if you want to win $100 you have to put up $900-$950.  Tying up $950 to win $100 isn't overly enticing, Vegas doesn't want to give anyone $100 so they make it unattractive to lay money on OSU to win. 

+600 to + $635 for Cincy means if you put up $100 on the Bearcats and they win then they will pay you $600-$625.  Vegas stands to lose big if UC wins, they wouldn't set the line so high if they were worried about losing.  They do want to get action on this bet.  They'll take your $100 all day and feel pretty good about keeping it. 

The money line in this case is a clear indication that Vegas has good reason to believe OSU will not lose this game. 

Comment 26 Sep 2014

I liked the bit about OSU being jealous because Kiel didn't pick us. Since we never offered I guess we didn't really want him.

Gunner committed to IU, LSU and ND before realizing he would never see the field at ND so he transferred to UC.  Gunner is proof UC is the ultimate "fall back" school. 

Comment 26 Sep 2014

UC's starting center is questionable for this game.  When he went out against Toledo it was not good for UC and the trend continued last week as Miami had success on their back up.  If he isn't playing it is a huge issue for UC.  Bennett and Washington are a little bit better than what Toledo and Miami lined up over center. 

Tommy T is saying all the right things about playing in a hostile environment but talking about it and dealing with it are two different things. He has seen them, his players haven't.  No way to know how they react but if history shows anything, the smaller programs have a hard time with 100K+ hostile crowds.   Kiel got his first starts in a 2/3rds full friendly stadium.  He will walk into a firestorm and if he can't settle in right away it will be tough to get it going later. 

UC's only shot is a fast start. As the article points out, teams have adjusted to their schemes as the game goes on. The third quarters have been pretty rough for their offense. 

Comment 24 Sep 2014

Rod can get playing time by demonstrating that he can block for JT in pass pro and act as the lead blocker either for JT or for Dontre/Jalin.  Three years in this offense and he hasn't demonstrated that he is reliable. 

Until he can show he understands the blocking schemes he won't play much.  People fixate on RB's running the ball but about half of what they have to do is block. 

Comment 24 Sep 2014

Rod Smith can't block pass protection or as a lead for the H backs to save his life.  He misses his assignments almost every time. He can run fine when he gets the ball but if he can't block on play action or crush the LB leading on an off tackle H back sweep then he can't be out there very much. 

Zeke blocks a lot better. 

Hyde was a crushing blocker, he just destroyed LB's when he led for Braxton last year and was very good in pass pro.  Before he set himself apart as a runner during his JR year he got the playing time ahead of Smith because he blocked well in this offense. 

If you can't block, you can't play.  Heard that one a million times growing up....

Comment 24 Sep 2014

Based on what I saw from UC their first two games, Jalin and Dontre will both get a lot of touches this week.  UC is pretty weak at the edge and their D plays poorly in space.  Between these two, expect about 20 touches split pretty evenly.  Curtis and Zeke should have monster games as well.  This D is not talented, well coached or disciplined.  Better than Kent State for sure, but a far cry from VT and a lot more mistake prone than Navy.  

Grant is a solid run defender who gets totally lost in pass coverage. UC likes the crossing routes and screen game on running downs so there is a chance he gets exposed when he does enter the game.  UC couldn't run the ball particularly well against MAC defenses, probably worse against us.   I think we see Kwon get his number called a lot when we actually put a MLB in the game.  We'll be working with Perry/Lee/Worley  in a lot of our packages this week. 

Better believe we will see a lot of Mike Thomas.   He is our leading receiver and will remain the leading receiver for the foreseeable future. 

I really don't care who gets named the starter on the depth chart.  Devin Smith is #1 on the chart but Mike Thomas is #1 on the stat sheet, pretty clear he is getting his reps.  If the extent of the senior "loyalty" is only a name on a list, let Grant, Spencer and Smith keep the bold type. 

Comment 24 Sep 2014

Bump and run will destroy UC. They don't like contact at the line.  Three times last year they scored 17 points, the three teams all had physical DB's who pushed their receivers around.  They lost all three games, two were blow outs. 

McKay, their 6'6 195 leading receiver went nuts on Toledo in the first half. The next 6 quarters he has been shut down because Toledo and Miami started pressing him and he couldn't shake them. 

Comment 22 Sep 2014

First half of the Toledo game had me shaking my head. Then I caught on to the fact that Toledo was playing three 2nd and 3rd string DB's who wouldn't be able to walk on at OSU.  Kiel's second half was pretty much ho-hum and UC's defense was terrible, terrible, terrible.  Watched the Miami game and reaffirmed the fact that UC has a god-awful defense that can't tackle or cover.  Kiel threw some risky balls and got away with 3 or 4 that should have been picked plus the two that Miami took away. 

Miami is a bad team on a 20 game losing streak. Sure they played their best but UC needed a red zone stand to keep Miami from tying it up late. 

OSU plays up to the level they are capable of playing and this game isn't close.  If we slip up or get a slow start then it probably stays close longer. 

Comment 22 Sep 2014

Tuberville suspended the true FR for 4 games and handed out "internal discipline" for his starters.  They all played. 

UC is probably checking their mail daily for a power 5 invite.  Renovated stadium/football facilities will help once they are done.  At this point they probably need to wait for some other programs to trigger reshuffling.  Doubt UC is the team that gets the ball rolling on more moves. 

If our DB's play the way Ash has coached them up Kiel could toss them 5 picks.  His arm is great, he throws a pretty long ball. He also locks in on receivers, takes big risks and hasn't proven to be pinpoint accurate with his passes.   Likewise, if bad habits rear their heads, Kiel could continue his video game numbers. 

Comment 22 Sep 2014

Their defense will give us ample opportunities.  Undisciplined, poor tackling and a base scheme that does not match up to our offense very well.  Given their lack of discipline it is hard to imagine how they could draw on the success VT had with the Bear/C-zero looks.  Those schemes require serious discipline and understanding.  I actually hope UC spends time trying to learn them. 

Their offense is a gunslinger's dream.  Upside for OSU, if they simply execute the fundamentals Ash has been drilling into them all summer there will be a ton of chances to turn Kiel into an INT machine.  He locks in on receivers, throws less than pinpoint passes and takes big risks because the mentality of the offense is to go-go-go.  Kiel could throw 4-5 picks or 4-5 TD's based on how fundamentally sound the D plays. 

Comment 18 Sep 2014

UC lit up Toledo for a half.  Toledo was starting 3 back up CB's, ran a soft zone with their DB's lining up 7 yards off the ball.  They rushed 3 and tried to keep everything in front of them.  It was pitch and catch for Kiel.  He has talented receivers who can make 2nd string MAC CB's miss in space.  22-25 passing is an amazing stat. Hard to do that against air let alone humans in pads.

Second half Toledo came out, rushed 4-5 guys and played a tighter coverage scheme.  Kiel went 1-6 and UC gained 13 yards on their next three drives.  Sacked him, rushed him and forced him to make passes into coverage.  Toledo didn't have the bodies to keep up the coverage late and Kiel picked it up again against a tired D late in the game.   7-17 is not a great passing stat. 

He went 7-17 in the second half, he went 22-25 in the first half.  Moral of the story: Send the house, play press coverage. 

Before people start giving Gunner Kiel too much credit, he had one great half and one subpar half against a depleted MAC defense. 

If UC's D was worth a damn they would have coasted to a 40 point win. 

Comment 17 Sep 2014

UC has some solid receivers, no question they will try to spread the field and throw like crazy. 

Bare in mind Toledo was starting 3 back up DB's in that game, a mix of RSFR/SO's,  played a soft zone lining 7 yards off  and only rushed 3 most of the first half.  After halftime they adjusted, starting bringing 4-5 on every pass, got pressure on Kiel, played a little bit tighter in their zone coverage and his throws started sailing.  3 consecutive 3 and outs and only one meaningful second half scoring drive. 

Last thing you want to do with a QB who has never played a down of football is give him all day to throw.  Once Toledo started getting pressure it showed that he was a RSFR with one half of college football under his belt.

Also, Toledo eviscerated UC's defense with a back up QB and back up RB.  They averaged right around 6.5 yards per carry and ran the ball effectively all night. 

I watched the second half twice.  It exposed a lot of UC's weaknesses on both sides of the ball.  They are a solid team but they have fundamental weaknesses and they aren't the kind of thing that they can correct in two weeks.  If they try to play the VT cover zero schemes it will bite them badly, they don't have the secondary to deal with the coverage. If they play their normal schemes there are a lot of things OSU can exploit on the edge.  Their DE's were repeatedly beaten by guys who are not as talented as what we put on the edge. 

If UC doesn't get their starting center back for the OSU game it is a real problem for their OL. 

Comment 17 Sep 2014

Meyer's 2006 Florida team bought into "angry" and came into the national title games ready to release 4 weeks of pent up rage.  It worked.

Comment 11 Sep 2014

Bud Foster spent a lot of time in summer practice with his defense on the scheme they ran last week.  It relied upon shut down corners, LB's and S's who made the correct reads and a DL that rushed with discipline in their lanes.  The amount of discipline, planning time and skill it takes to execute what he did is not something many teams have. 

If Kent State thinks they can change from a 4-2-5 to a cover zero in a week with, great.  They don't have the coaching talent or the athletes or the time to install it correctly.  I seriously doubt they do anything that exotic since they've been hard pressed to run their own schemes without error.

This is a game that our defense should absolutely dominate.  They have no running attack, they rely on short passes and they don't have a seasoned OL that allows them to drop back and pass.  If we run press man as we expect it should make those short passes nearly impossible.  The D has seen the jet sweep once or twice with jalin and dontre, it is not an enigma to them. 

Comment 11 Sep 2014

Tressel's sudden departure was tough at the time but it prevented OSU from suffering through the Lloyd Carr syndrome.  JT wasn't recruiting as well, positions were getting thin and there were going to be tough days ahead.  Another couple years and the program might have been in worse shape than it was in 2011. 

Nothing but respect for Tressel but his best coaching years were  behind him.

Comment 10 Sep 2014

Bud Foster knew our young QB wasn't going to pick him apart.  We could have run a number of man beater plays but it would have required our WR/RB's to get open AND catch the pass, our OL holding up just long enough to get the pass off and finally it would have required Barrett to find the hot receiver and execute the pass.  The odds of all three happening were clearly low and the risk to Foster's D was negligible.  If we beat it once or twice he would have just thrown another look at the young buck.  His bag of tricks was full and his goal was to confuse the young QB. 

The VT D had a lot of new starters but they were not new to the system.  Bud Foster has fielded a lot of top ten D's and his system is very sound.  He doesn't rebuild, he reloads his starting 11.  He has a couple of corners who will play on Sunday and he was pitting very good DL's against an OL that had no chance. 

Bud could have handed over his game plan on Monday to Meyer and Herman and I bet the results wouldn't have been all that different.  OSU had chances and didn't execute.  In a game like this you can't miss FG's,  you can't drop TD passes and for that matter you can't drop first downs and you have to win some 50/50 balls.  Our execution just made it easier on Foster.  We dialed up some plays that worked schematically but failed to convert the scheme into yards.