Abe Simpson dropping truth bombs...
F+ is great, and they seem pretty transparent about wanting to both explain and improve their model.
Our 2016 slate of final 2015 F+ rankings:
It's completely unrealistic, but Bosa. Having that sort of freak talent on the DL will always be welcomed. Obviously if you have the potential to be the #1 overall pick, you go. But since you asked...
I have to disagree with the loss to MSU in '13. Our secondary wasn't up to the task that year. They had the talent, but until Chris Ash came to town our D wasn't quite ready to help deliver a Natty (the talent was there, just not appropriately utilized: e.g. Pitt Brown starting over Vonn Bell until the bowl game).
It's plausible, though not likely, that the committee could leave UNC out even if they beat Clemson. While people have (correctly) stated that last year our fate set a precedent (i.e. that conference champions from a conference with a championship game that only have 1 loss will still get in), Baylor's fate from last year is also informative. Baylor was punished last year because of their soft schedule (at least partially). You want a soft schedule, look no further than UNC which boasts 2 victories over FCS squads. In addition they've bested 1 team that was ranked (Pitt was 23rd) when they played and 0 from the current top 25. If you bust out the FEI strength of schedule, they're schedule is 117th most difficult (according to last week's data).
This isn't to say that they'd be left out even if they beat Clemson, but it may be more nuanced than just a binary decision. Did UNC look awful as Clemson managed to finally Clemson themselves into a loss? We probably have good shot. Did UNC look like we did last year against Wisconsin? Then UNC is playoff bound. Somewhere in between? That's where the rubber meets the road, but we'll still have a chance (not a great one, mind you, but a chance).
In the end I doubt it will matter; while Clemson may be more likely to lose than Alabama (against a Florida team sans offense), that isn't saying much.
Came here to say just this, and that Bert is not thinking outside the box. Bert is taking a good idea that someone else developed and claiming it's his.
First thing that popped into my mind when I saw that list was this:
This is most of it, but not all of it. There were a couple more:
3) Execution in the red zone. Some of these were penalties, but there were also plenty of poorly executed plays (a glaring example being Cardale missing an open Thomas). Both offensively and defensively they seemed to play mediocre to bad in the red zone (the defense's exception being at the end of the game).
4) 3rd downs. We were bad on 3rd down yesterday (2 for 14). The play-calling was sub-optimal at times (and other times downright confusing), and sometimes penalties contributed there as well. During the magical 3 game stretch last year Cardale seemed to pull a rabbit out of his hat quite often on 3rd down (be it scrambling, throwing, or a combination of both), but he and the entire offense just didn't have it yesterday.
Yeah, one of the fronts they ran when expecting pass was: Hubbard, Bosa, Washington, and Lee. That's clearly their best pass-rushing front, and one that will likely get some pressure without having to bring an extra man.
I think VT certainly would have scored more with Brewer at the helm, but I seriously doubt they would have been able to keep pace with the Buckeye offense in the 2nd half. So I think dodged a bullet is a bit too strong, rather we wouldn't have been able to get 2nd stringers reps as the game would have been closer (we also would have had to keep our foot on the gas as well).
But take a closer look at the Wisconsin/Northwestern series, the last time the home team lost in that series was 2000. Past results don't ensure future results and all that, but the safe bet is on Wisconsin because it's at Camp Randall (if it were at Ryan Field, then Northwestern would be the safe bet).
Okie State is a historic power and coached by a legend (John Smith). But that's one addition to a rather short list of non-B1G wrestling power houses.
There's a lot of empty middle of nowhere type of suck in the 330 as well (I'm from that portion).
At least according to these sources he did not do so on the regular, so this could be where some confusion is coming into play:
I could be wrong, but I thought that was one of their TEs; making it even more impressive.
Lee is an animal that was all over the field. Can't wait to see what he's able to do next year.
Absolutely. Tyvis had a nice game, but for my money Lee was the Defensive MVP of the National Championship Game.
because it's clear they were hiring the demeanor more than anything - the "Anti-Bo," if you will,
Will it back fire? Who knows. Personally I believe he will maintain the level of success Bo had, but not be able to surpass it. However, that will be tolerable for Nebraska because Riley won't make waves (like Bo did on the regular).
I can't believe that wasn't reviewed. Not sure it would have actually been overturned, but NONE of the angles they had showed the ball touching the ground.
There's a decent number of us out in SD (though I'm current visiting family in the heart of it all), a large number of Californians are transplants.
Indiana's offense most certainly would have been a challenge before Sudfeld (their starting QB) went down for the season. Without him (and with Roberson and Coffman transferring; the other 2 QBs that played for Indiana last year), they've been starting a true freshman at QB and he's been terri-bad in Sudfeld's stead. The game against Rutgers was the first time he's cracked the 75 yard mark since taking over the starting spot at QB.
Coleman is good, particularly given that he still manages to get yards even now that Sudfeld and any semblance of a decent passing game is gone. But Indiana's Offense will likely make Minnesota's look incredibly dynamic and multi-faceted.
All that said, Cobb and Coleman are both good warm-ups for Gordon (though Gordon is better than those 2, and Wisconsin has a passing attack that's slightly better than Minnesota or Indiana's, but thankfully not much better).
They're currently down 10 with 7 and change to play…hopefully Kansas can hold on.
It's not like we dropped over 550 yards and nearly 50 points on a statistically dominant defense in their own backyard.
Oh ESPN, you're so terribly predictable. But seriously "outlasts?"
Quite possibly the best game of his career. He played angry. I hope he keeps that up the rest of the season.
It's crazy to think that Sparty was +2 in the turnover margin, at home, in not great weather, and still lost by 2 scores.
I knew this team was super talented, but I thought the youth would bite them in the ass a good bit. It did, but it didn't matter. If OSU plays like this, they have a shot at beating anybody.
They did absolutely curb stomp Iowa. While Iowa is not a good team, they typically don't get their doors blown off either. Maybe that's enough to get Minny to crack the top 25, but I doubt it. Had Minny not shit the bed against Illinois (seriously, Illinois?), they'd only have 1 loss (to TCU), and would be in the top 25, possibly even creeping higher than that. But they did, so they'll likely just be in the "others receiving votes category."
Now if Minnesota was in the SEC East, with that record, I'm sure they'd be in the top 15. *dismissive wanking motion*