Spike Albrecht 2.0
He's going to be an above-the-rim Greg Paulus...
Is .577 a bad winning % in a pro league? He would have a ring if not for
Joe Crawford Dwyane Wade and his 21 free throws in a game.
His win % in Dallas was like 75%. He made a bad decision to join the Prokhorov Nets in retrospect.
3 years... and that is debatable since Ravenel gave a lot more fire. But Amir rightfully rode the pine his freshman year behind Sully/Ravenel.
Probably won't happen with him, but this was a factor in guys like Sully and Harrison Barnes prior to the last lockout.
You are right that there's other elements of the equation besides money. But the money is pretty overwhelming and ultimately why I think he will go.
For Sully, he fell partly because of waiting and going into a much stronger draft class and partly because of a medical issue with his back which may have come up anyway. But it would have been a huge upset if he wasn't a top 10 pick in the prior draft just because there was no depth in that draft class.
If he leaves this year he will be a top 3-5 pick. Increasing his draft stock has almost no financial benefit to him (look up the NBA rookie salary scale) and any such benefit is lost by waiting a year for free agency and potentially chopping a year off of his total NBA career. It is very risky to come back. Sullinger lost millions doing it and he's battled through back injuries (unclear how his college career exacerbated those) that might hamper his ability to get a big payday down the road.
It's also an incorrect angle. The rookie scale won't follow the rise in the cap:
Probably won't see any meaningful change in the scale until a new CBA possibly in 2017.
Also, if he enters the draft this year, he will be a free agent a year sooner, making it not only more likely that he cashes in big with 1 less year of potential injury but also there's the time value of money. He'll likely be a strong rookie of the year candidate and outplay much of his draft class early in his career, making it likely he locks in a big extension a year earlier (like Kyrie Irving just did last summer).
Not involved in the voting, but it is ridiculous to criticize a guy for leaving early, especially after his 3rd year (and it was what 16 years ago?).
And D'Angelo is arguably outshining Conley's 1 and done season on a far worse team.
In terms of best college players, Turner and Jackson had higher peaks than Redd despite his great play. I have no frame of reference on comparing Havlicek and Lucas to others but often the NBA careers spoil the comparisons.
We are a bubble team in RPI (but on the very likely to be in side). But in logic/eyes/advanced stats we are nowhere near a bubble team. At some point RPI needs to get thrown in the trash.
We have been really unlucky with injuries imo. We should've been an even deeper team with the way we've recruited. Hopefully Clark/Dixon etc can stay healthy.
I also think Vannett will be even more critical if Cardale wins the job.
Hale coming back over helps a lot. The rest of those guys haven't played a ton or at all, with Schutt's injury woes in mind.
Only reason he didn't play is because of changing positions and not having an offseason at DE. He will play a ton next year. We have no depth issues at DE, DT is the problem child.
Anthony Lee is a senior FYI. Otherwise you are bad at counting. Obviously the best 3 players if you include Loving are not seniors. It is a stretch to say KBD is better than the other guys since he has barely played and Kam has been as inconsistent as the senior perimeter players. All we are going to get offensively from the center position are silver platter dunks that D'Angelo serves up. And Amir will probably screw a few of those up.
But I absolutely love Tate and Russell. It's too bad the timing of this roster where we couldn't have Q or Craft or DT to round this team out. I think the Lighty comparisons might be selling Tate short. He is a beast going to the rim and is probably hugely efficient on drives as a freshman. Once he learns to shoot he could have a very high ceiling.
I'm also expecting a pretty ridiculous broad jump and vertical out of Devin. He's an elite high jumper and won state title in long jump in HS.
More upward mobility, no more recruiting drama, more practice time, etc.
I'm guessing that was the subject of the midnight call.
Is this what made Mike Weber a closer call besides the obvious? The midnight call with Urban/Stan/Weber comes to mind. All that said, he will be missed in a big way. He has done an awesome job and doesn't get the appreciation he deserves.
Judging by how many experienced and talented guys outside of the QB position we have back and with Herman the only coaching staff member to leave, I have a feeling there will be very little to criticize for much of the season. Any of the 3 QBs should be able to win most of those games by 20+.
The practices are what matters. He backed up his film from what I read. He's going to project to do the same things he did in college, catch 50 yard bombs regardless of the coverage thrown his way. But he struggled at red zone routes.
I love Devin as a prospect because his one trick is an amazing one. And yes he is elite at special teams, probably would be a good returner too but we chose to put him on coverage instead because we liked our other returners probably. But he has his flaws, and lack of production in the short game in college does not likely translate into an NFL possession receiver skillset. He is going to be a long ball receiver at the next level too.
And it all worked out at punter...