cplunk's picture


Phoenix, AZ (via Cincinnati, OH)

Member since 23 November 2011 | Blog


  • SPORTS MOMENT: 85 Yards, Holy Buckeye, Miracle on Ice, TSUN whining about the spot
  • COLLEGE FOOTBALL PLAYER: Craig Krenzel, Evan Spencer
  • COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAYER: Freddie Banks (seriously. And no, I can't explain it)
  • NFL TEAM: Cincinnati Bengals
  • NHL TEAM: Washington Capitals
  • NBA TEAM: Phoenix Suns
  • MLB TEAM: Washington Nationals
  • SOCCER TEAM: Tottenham

Recent Activity

Comment 29 Nov 2016

Also, i really, really, really, really, want for the right teams to lose and Michigan to get in at 4, then for us to win our semi and Michigan to beat #1 Bama. Oh my, how confident and arrogant those TSUN fans will be.........and then I want to watch the Bucks beat them in the champ game, in overtime, on a Peppers offensive fumble recovered for the win.

Comment 27 Nov 2016

I must admit, adding the 2016 vintage Whine bottle to my wine cellar has been fun. It fits in nicely between the 2002/03 Miami vintage and the bottles of every-fricking-time-Penn-State-has-ever-lost whines. 

Comment 27 Nov 2016

Go the other way. Florida wins the SEC, Virginia Tech the ACC, Wisconsin the B1G, Colorado the P12, Oklahoma State the no-champ-game B12.

Now try to put in the conference champs.

Comment 27 Nov 2016

Root for Florida to somehow beat Bama.

There is no doubt Bama is in. That will destroy the conference champs idea in a heartbeat.

Comment 27 Nov 2016

PJ Fleck is going to get  head coach offers from schools like Oregon. What a great step for him from W Michigan. Bravo, PJ.

Comment 27 Nov 2016

Not buying yet, but I live in Phoenix. If this happens it will be the second time the Bucks have come here post season since I moved- which is every year I've lived here. I love it.

Comment 27 Nov 2016

I avoid politics on this site, but from an evaluation perspective I'll point out 538 recently hasn't done great in evaluating who will win what.

Comment 27 Nov 2016

About four years after Saban leaves Alabama that whole Alabama running roughshod through the SEC thing will work itself out.

Comment 27 Nov 2016

I see a lot of ways we get left out, but ask yourself this-  if Alabama loses to Florida, will Alabama be out? If not then conference championships probably aren't the key factor.

Can you see a playoff of Oklahoma, Penn State, Florida, and Colorado as being legitimate? Those could be the best four conference champions.

Personally I've always believed you should have to win your conference (and I still do), but the above arguments are great cases for the other side.

We don't know what the committee will do or what it really values- we only know what its chairman has said, and going off what people say rather than what they do is a surefire path to being disappointed in life. No matter what happens this will be a fascinating window into what really matters to the committee. We won't have any real clue until the championships are played; this week's rankings are essentially meaningless since there are still no teams with conference championships.

All I know is we beat Michigan in what they thought was finally their year. It feels great and this has been a good season regardless.

Comment 27 Nov 2016

Going into this season, with all the lost starters, if you told me we'd beat TSUN in double overtime to knock them out of their delusional playoff hopes then I'd have called this season a win without even knowing about the other games, the B1G championship, or the playoffs.

Everything that really matters to me in a season just happened yesterday.

Comment 27 Nov 2016

We're not in the top 4 right now.

The committee starts from scratch every week. You don't drop or rise. The moment the last game ended Sunday night there are effectively 128 Unranked teams to be evaluated and ranked. Those rankings are released Tuesday.

Nobody drops or rises. That is the old poll system. everybody is compared from scratch.

I fully expect us to be #2 this Tuesday based on resume and due to the fact that there are currently exactly zero teams with conference championships.

The issue is not this week, it is after the conf champ games. When 128 teams are compared and ranked from scratch there will be teams that have something we do not have. That is a problem, especially if one of those teams beat us head to head.

We may get in. We don't know how these Champ games will play out (imagine Penn State, Alabama, Clemson, and Washington all lose if you want some chaotic fun). 

bottom line is our resume is great but we don't know if conference championships will outrank that. This weeks rankings are essentially meaningless as there are still no conference champs.

Comment 26 Nov 2016

I have nothing. Wow. Fucking wow.

Michigan State, win that shit and give us another game to get better.

What a freaking all timer. Is anything better than overtime JT? It doesn't matter what happened in regulation he is suddenly a battle tank.

Comment 25 Nov 2016

The number one "wrinkle" I would like to see is a traditional screen pass, which is the tried and true method to beat a defense with its ears back when you can't pass. For some reason, we never throw it. Like ever. Ever. 

It is the perfect play for our issues. It is mind-boggling that we never use it.

The first traditional screen we throw is going to go for a TD.

Please, God, let this team call some screens.

Comment 25 Nov 2016

Not true.Highest ranked team is not a tie breaker.If it was, we'd be going over Penn State if both of us win this weekend. The tiebreakers are:

1) Head to head. Irrelevant per the rules if more than two team tied or still tied.

2) The records of the teams against the other tied teams

3) The records of the tied teams within the division

4) The records of the tied teams against the next highest non-tied team in their division. Do this down the line of the standings, in order, if needed.

5) Records against common opponents

6) Best overall winning percentage

7) Random draw

Comment 25 Nov 2016

I think we're the better team, but I'd be lying if I said I wasn't worried about our offensive or defensive lines. Neither is as good as they get credit for. 

I'm also deeply concerned about our receivers against a good Michigan secondary while a good Michigan defensive line is rushing our decent offensive line. I can easily envision a scenario where JT can't pass, we fall into our terrible run-JT then run-Weber straight forward then run-JT play calling, and then we fall behind. And we need to pass. and we can't pass.

I think we're better and can win, and I also think if we get ahead early we end up stomping them, but I'm worried.